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Kent State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-68
42-31 32-37
Position#17
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#231
Record10-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kent State v Buffalo
02 Jan 2027
KENT v BUFF
upcoming
27 Feb 2024
KENT76
BUFF64
27 Jan 2023
KENT74
BUFF68
04 Mar 2022
KENT70
BUFF65
19 Jan 2021
KENT84
BUFF81
21 Feb 2020
KENT98
BUFF104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Concord
#543
W
106-56
106
56
+50
H18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-30
56-26
37-29
36-34
25-22
22-24
38-26
42-46
32-31
37-35
32-35
43-28
30-31
40-34
38-33
39-30
45-28
41-37
40-37
36-49
140.4Avg total
75.9Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.263.5138.8+11.780%
Season at home (9)85.063.4148.4+21.6100%
Season away (11)67.363.6130.9+3.664%
Last 10 (10)75.964.5140.4+11.490%
Last 5 (5)76.868.4145.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.054.0112.0+4.050%
vs Similar (8)68.265.9134.1+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.265.3143.5+12.995%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#157
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
129-62
129
62
+67
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-47
39-49
66-30
63-32
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
34-37
46-54
30-40
40-30
48-33
52-38
39-46
38-40
45-27
46-38
163.7Avg total
85.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.377.0157.2+3.350%
Season at home (11)84.973.6158.5+11.373%
Season away (9)74.781.0155.7-6.322%
Last 10 (10)85.678.1163.7+7.550%
Last 5 (5)85.280.0165.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.984.3160.2-8.433%
vs Similar (12)77.171.9149.0+5.250%
vs Weaker (8)84.475.0159.4+9.488%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.0+3.0
Kent StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Concord
#543
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A25/01
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.7Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.328.865.1+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.728.367.9+11.480%-
Last 30 away (15)32.929.362.2+3.573%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.266.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.022.051.0+7.050%-
vs Similar (8)33.929.263.1+4.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.829.367.1+8.584%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#157
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A18/12
NCAA
SUNY-Canton
#680
W
66-30
66
30
+36
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A25/01
NCAA
77.6Avg total
41.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.373.2+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.374.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.135.471.5+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.177.6+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.039.675.6-3.633%-
vs Similar (12)36.532.669.1+3.958%-
vs Weaker (8)38.535.473.9+3.175%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kent State wins
3
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
04/03/22Kent State v Buffalo70-65
22/01/22Buffalo v Kent State64-51
05/03/21Buffalo v Kent State81-67
19/01/21Kent State v Buffalo84-81
22/02/20Kent State v Buffalo98-104 OT
24/01/20Buffalo v Kent State66-70
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ANorthern Illinois76-86
20/01/23HBall State86-65
18/01/23AEastern Michigan77-63
13/01/23AOhio70-65
11/01/23HToledo75-63
07/01/23AMiami (FL)69-66
04/01/23HWestern Michigan80-72
23/12/22AUTEP47-46
22/12/22ANew Mexico State73-63
18/12/22HConcord106-56
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ABall State91-65
21/01/23HToledo77-86
18/01/23HBowling Green100-71
14/01/23ACentral Michigan78-87 OT
11/01/23AMiami (FL)80-91
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89
21/12/22HSUNY-Canton129-62
18/12/22AWest Virginia78-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%100%64%
Points / game75.285.067.3
Allowed / game63.563.463.6
Point differential+11.7+21.6+3.6
Avg total138.8148.4130.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%89%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%73%22%
Points / game80.384.974.7
Allowed / game77.073.681.0
Point differential+3.4+11.3-6.3
Avg total157.2158.5155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State2016480%75.263.5+11.7
2 Akron2015575%72.261.4+10.8
3 Toledo2014670%84.878.5+6.3
4 Ball State2013765%75.069.3+5.8
5 UMass2012860%71.370.5+0.9
6 Ohio2011955%77.972.5+5.4
7 Buffalo20101050%80.377.0+3.4
8 Bowling Green20101050%78.276.3+1.9
9 Northern Illinois2081240%70.475.2-4.8
10 Central Michigan2071335%67.171.3-4.2
11 Western Michigan2061430%71.573.1-1.6
12 Eastern Michigan2041620%72.281.8-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State423274
Buffalo313768
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