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Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-68
31-34 41-34
Position#307
Record8-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#362
Record3-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game80.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#120
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H24/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
31-46
48-33
31-46
32-43
40-40
35-40
41-43
38-38
35-51
26-39
45-42
36-30
27-33
28-32
48-34
30-31
32-28
31-36
35-39
152.2Avg total
72.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.678.6154.2-3.035%
Season at home (10)76.874.1150.9+2.740%
Season away (13)74.782.0156.7-7.331%
Last 10 (10)72.979.3152.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)70.473.0143.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)70.480.9151.3-10.521%
vs Similar (6)75.879.8155.7-4.017%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
65-86
65
86
-21
H10/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
59-87
59
87
-28
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
45-48
36-38
29-48
30-34
29-42
33-33
33-44
31-45
28-42
33-35
32-40
26-41
44-50
22-51
30-32
26-34
47-53
45-33
27-39
149.3Avg total
66.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.480.4147.8-13.013%
Season at home (11)67.783.3151.0-15.59%
Season away (12)67.277.8144.9-10.617%
Last 10 (10)66.882.5149.3-15.710%
Last 5 (5)68.483.4151.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)66.882.3149.1-15.58%
vs Similar (2)76.569.0145.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (1)63.035.098.0+28.0100%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -9.4-9.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -6.4-6.42nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -9.4-9.4
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#120
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A27/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A10/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.172.0+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.133.469.5+2.738%-
Last 30 away (17)37.436.573.9+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.469.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.233.663.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.538.472.9-3.832%-
vs Similar (6)35.033.768.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.328.370.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-51
22
51
-29
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.038.069.0-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.539.370.8-7.823%-
Last 30 away (17)30.637.067.6-6.418%-
Last 10 (10)31.437.869.2-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.438.869.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.739.269.0-9.512%-
vs Similar (2)35.532.067.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (1)36.014.050.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
5
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASouth Alabama66-75
07/02/24AMiami (Ohio)62-59
03/02/24HEastern Michigan76-66
31/01/24ACentral Michigan77-84 OT
27/01/24ABall State71-81
24/01/24HToledo73-89
17/01/24HKent State76-83
13/01/24HBowling Green72-83
10/01/24AWestern Michigan90-95 OT
06/01/24AOhio66-78
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AGeorgia Southern82-81 OT
07/02/24ABowling Green73-87
02/02/24HKent State52-83
31/01/24AOhio70-91
27/01/24AEastern Michigan65-75
24/01/24HBall State59-87
17/01/24AToledo66-77
13/01/24AAkron59-76
10/01/24HMiami (Ohio)65-86
06/01/24HWestern Michigan77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLLW40%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %35%40%31%
Points / game75.676.874.7
Allowed / game78.674.182.0
Point differential-3.0+2.7-7.3
Avg total154.2150.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%15%
Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW13%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%9%17%
Points / game67.467.767.2
Allowed / game80.483.377.8
Point differential-13.0-15.5-10.6
Avg total147.8151.0144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2418675%75.264.6+10.5
2 Bowling Green2416867%76.572.6+3.9
3 UMass2315865%80.372.3+8.0
4 Toledo2415962%80.777.4+3.2
5 Central Michigan24141058%66.871.0-4.2
6 Ohio24131154%78.872.4+6.4
7 Ball State24121250%74.870.9+3.9
8 Kent State24121250%76.573.0+3.5
9 Miami (Ohio)23111248%72.471.0+1.4
10 Eastern Michigan2491538%67.575.6-8.0
11 Northern Illinois2381535%75.678.6-3.0
12 Western Michigan2481633%71.575.5-4.0
13 Buffalo2332013%67.480.4-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois314172
Buffalo343468
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