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Kent State vs Buffalo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#274
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#279
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kent State v Buffalo
02 Jan 2027
KENT v BUFF
upcoming
27 Feb 2024
KENT76
BUFF64
27 Jan 2023
KENT74
BUFF68
04 Mar 2022
KENT70
BUFF65
19 Jan 2021
KENT84
BUFF81
21 Feb 2020
KENT98
BUFF104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
48-46
32-42
51-39
37-47
33-45
51-28
51-48
46-37
40-41
40-38
46-37
28-42
40-33
32-41
43-44
49-15
53-35
30-49
43-42
159.7Avg total
82.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.375.3158.7+8.033%
Season at home (1)102.050.0152.0+52.0100%
Season away (2)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.4159.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.875.2156.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.887.4162.1-12.625%
vs Similar (6)81.577.5159.0+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.374.6159.9+10.679%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
107-65
107
65
+42
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
35-43
29-34
39-34
35-39
50-60
26-34
44-41
43-27
29-40
33-37
45-61
29-42
41-31
24-45
41-47
45-32
16-48
58-31
49-34
156.7Avg total
76.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.779.0156.7-1.333%
Season at home (1)107.065.0172.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)63.086.0149.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.480.3156.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)76.281.6157.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.083.6161.6-5.625%
vs Similar (11)75.181.5156.5-6.427%
vs Weaker (9)74.868.8143.6+6.067%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -5.0-5.0
Kent StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
49-15
49
15
+34
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A12/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
37.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.173.0+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.275.7+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.070.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.473.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.543.175.6-10.612%-
vs Similar (6)35.234.069.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.432.973.3+7.664%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#301
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H09/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.772.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.135.671.7+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.235.772.9+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.070.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.139.476.5-2.238%-
vs Similar (11)31.838.069.8-6.227%-
vs Weaker (9)38.329.968.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kent State wins
2
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
13/01/26Buffalo v Kent State81-87
10/01/25Buffalo v Kent State49-68
28/02/24Kent State v Buffalo76-64
02/02/24Buffalo v Kent State52-83
10/02/23Buffalo v Kent State65-72
28/01/23Kent State v Buffalo74-68
04/03/22Kent State v Buffalo70-65
22/01/22Buffalo v Kent State64-51
05/03/21Buffalo v Kent State81-67
19/01/21Kent State v Buffalo84-81
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ANC Wilmington73-91
07/11/26HRoberts Wesleyan102-50
03/11/26ALouisiana Tech75-85
13/03/26AAkron68-75
12/03/26HOhio86-75
07/03/26HWestern Michigan86-78
04/03/26ANorthern Illinois102-76
28/02/26HAkron70-92
25/02/26HCentral Michigan83-81
18/02/26ABowling Green78-71
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HPenn State-Schuylkill107-65
06/11/26APittsburgh61-80
03/11/26AMarshall65-92
12/03/26AAkron70-73
07/03/26AToledo78-98
03/03/26HEastern Michigan72-67
28/02/26HCentral Michigan70-75
25/02/26AAkron85-99
21/02/26AUMass86-82 OT
17/02/26HNorthern Illinois70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.3102.074.0
Allowed / game75.350.088.0
Point differential+8.0+52.0-14.0
Avg total158.7152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.7107.063.0
Allowed / game79.065.086.0
Point differential-1.3+42.0-23.0
Avg total156.7172.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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