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Mississippi St. vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 68-71
35-36 33-35
Position#125
Record16-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game64.9
Allowed / game59.5
vs
Position#86
Record16-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mississippi St. v Kentucky
20 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
MISS90
KENT95
27 Feb 2024
MISS89
KENT91
15 Feb 2023
MISS68
KENT71
02 Jan 2021
MISS73
KENT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A26/01
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-20
31-38
22-30
41-39
23-23
36-47
24-33
35-28
36-29
27-37
31-25
35-41
32-26
34-25
33-27
30-25
25-22
39-31
34-25
36-39
125.6Avg total
63.8Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)64.959.5124.4+5.464%
Season at home (15)67.357.9125.2+9.373%
Season away (10)61.361.8123.1-0.550%
Last 10 (10)63.861.8125.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)68.858.8127.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)59.271.1130.3-11.911%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.659.7125.3+5.970%
vs Weaker (10)69.752.1121.8+17.690%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
36-29
33-26
30-30
34-42
51-29
29-31
47-36
36-27
33-26
34-41
34-36
32-32
43-34
33-22
39-45
40-41
33-47
32-42
36-33
140.8Avg total
71.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.868.0142.8+6.864%
Season at home (17)77.665.2142.8+12.476%
Season away (8)68.973.9142.8-5.038%
Last 10 (10)71.769.1140.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)71.274.6145.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.868.8130.6-7.040%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.673.8146.3-1.244%
vs Weaker (16)80.065.8145.8+14.281%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.7+3.7
Mississippi St.Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#214
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Auburn
#106
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H18/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A26/01
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A31/01
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H04/02
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
53.9Avg total
27.9Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.027.456.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.726.456.1+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)28.328.556.8-0.257%-
Last 10 (10)27.926.053.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.025.056.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.631.860.3-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)27.928.856.7-0.950%-
vs Weaker (10)31.622.153.7+9.590%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#308
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A14/01
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A25/01
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/02
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia
#214
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.868.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.932.270.1+5.660%-
Last 30 away (10)30.634.064.6-3.430%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.668.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.669.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.432.861.2-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.033.866.8-0.833%-
vs Weaker (16)39.032.271.2+6.862%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mississippi St. wins
3
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
26/01/22Kentucky v Mississippi St.82-74 OT
11/03/21Kentucky v Mississippi St.73-74
02/01/21Mississippi St. v Kentucky73-78 OT
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AArkansas70-64
09/02/23HLSU64-53
04/02/23HMissouri63-52
31/01/23ASouth Carolina66-51
28/01/23HTCU81-74 OT
26/01/23AAlabama63-66
22/01/23HFlorida59-61
18/01/23HTennessee59-70
15/01/23AAuburn63-69
11/01/23AGeorgia50-58
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AGeorgia68-75
08/02/23HArkansas73-88
05/02/23HFlorida72-67
01/02/23AOle Miss75-66
29/01/23HKansas68-77
25/01/23AVanderbilt69-53
21/01/23HTexas A&M76-67
18/01/23HGeorgia85-71
14/01/23ATennessee63-56
11/01/23HSouth Carolina68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %64%73%50%
Points / game64.967.361.3
Allowed / game59.557.961.8
Point differential+5.4+9.3-0.5
Avg total124.4125.2123.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%53%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWLWL76%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %64%76%38%
Points / game74.877.668.9
Allowed / game68.065.273.9
Point differential+6.8+12.4-5.0
Avg total142.8142.8142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2622485%82.568.7+13.8
2 Tennessee2620677%72.356.4+16.0
3 Texas2620677%79.568.3+11.2
4 Missouri2619773%81.175.7+5.4
5 Texas A&M2518772%75.066.5+8.5
6 Auburn2618869%72.864.7+8.1
7 Arkansas2517868%74.565.7+8.8
8 Kentucky2516964%74.868.0+6.8
9 Mississippi St.2516964%64.959.5+5.4
10 Georgia26161062%69.968.8+1.1
11 Florida26141254%71.866.9+4.9
12 Vanderbilt26141254%71.471.7-0.3
13 Oklahoma26131350%67.967.3+0.6
14 LSU26121446%66.268.8-2.6
15 Ole Miss26101638%67.368.5-1.2
16 South Carolina2691735%64.172.8-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.353368
Kentucky363571
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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