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Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-77
0-0 46-31 0-0 45-46
Position#107
Record18-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game72.4
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Vanderbilt
USA
Position#37
Record22-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kentucky v Vanderbilt
16 Jan 2027
KENT v VAND
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
KENT91
VAND77
19 Feb 2025
KENT82
VAND61
06 Mar 2024
KENT93
VAND77
10 Mar 2023
KENT73
VAND80
01 Mar 2023
KENT66
VAND68
11 Mar 2022
KENT77
VAND71
02 Feb 2022
KENT77
VAND70
05 Jan 2021
KENT77
VAND74
29 Jan 2020
KENT71
VAND62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vanderbilt winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-40
0-0
45-40
0-0
29-23
0-0
43-40
0-0
23-43
0-0
32-37
0-0
42-35
0-0
43-42
0-0
43-32
0-0
51-46
0-0
33-47
0-0
41-24
0-0
34-43
0-0
49-49
0-0
34-39
0-0
44-47
0-0
39-35
0-0
35-40
0-0
28-21
0-0
44-42
153.7Avg total
77.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.972.4153.3+8.564%
Season at home (19)83.168.6151.7+14.574%
Season away (9)76.280.4156.7-4.244%
Last 10 (10)77.276.5153.7+0.760%
Last 5 (5)76.277.4153.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.289.0159.2-18.80%
vs Similar (15)76.775.1151.8+1.560%
vs Weaker (10)91.360.9152.2+30.4100%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-56
88
56
+32
A24/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H28/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-46
0-0
33-47
0-0
51-30
0-0
37-26
0-0
43-23
0-0
37-32
0-0
31-23
0-0
40-45
0-0
34-48
0-0
57-44
0-0
42-31
0-0
42-45
0-0
36-32
0-0
46-37
0-0
30-36
0-0
50-45
0-0
35-31
0-0
30-38
0-0
42-35
0-0
46-45
153.6Avg total
79.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.273.9161.2+13.379%
Season at home (17)89.672.4162.1+17.282%
Season away (11)83.576.3159.8+7.373%
Last 10 (10)79.773.9153.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)79.875.0154.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.078.5153.5-3.50%
vs Similar (8)82.078.1160.1+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.271.3159.6+17.085%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
KentuckyVanderbilt
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A25/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
34.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.171.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.532.570.1+5.055%-
Last 30 away (10)32.740.373.0-7.630%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.870.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.045.275.2-15.20%-
vs Similar (15)33.537.971.4-4.327%-
vs Weaker (10)42.526.068.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H14/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.233.976.1+8.380%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.633.677.2+9.983%-
Last 30 away (12)40.234.374.6+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.571.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (8)38.937.976.8+1.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.132.476.5+11.785%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kentucky wins
4
Vanderbilt wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Vanderbilt v Kentucky80-55
20/02/25Kentucky v Vanderbilt82-61
25/01/25Vanderbilt v Kentucky74-69
07/03/24Kentucky v Vanderbilt93-77
07/02/24Vanderbilt v Kentucky77-109
11/03/23Kentucky v Vanderbilt73-80
02/03/23Kentucky v Vanderbilt66-68
25/01/23Vanderbilt v Kentucky53-69
12/03/22Kentucky v Vanderbilt77-71
03/02/22Kentucky v Vanderbilt77-70
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26ASouth Carolina72-63
22/02/26AAuburn74-75
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71
05/02/26HOklahoma94-78
31/01/26AArkansas85-77
28/01/26AVanderbilt55-80
24/01/26HOle Miss72-63
22/01/26HTexas85-80
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HGeorgia88-80
21/02/26HTennessee65-69
19/02/26AMissouri80-81
14/02/26HTexas A&M82-69
11/02/26AAuburn84-76
07/02/26HOklahoma91-92
31/01/26HOle Miss71-68
28/01/26HKentucky80-55
24/01/26AMississippi St.88-56
21/01/26AArkansas68-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayLWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %64%74%44%
Points / game80.983.176.2
Allowed / game72.468.680.4
Point differential+8.5+14.5-4.2
Avg total153.3151.7156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWLWLW82%
AwayLLWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %79%82%73%
Points / game87.289.683.5
Allowed / game73.972.476.3
Point differential+13.3+17.2+7.3
Avg total161.2162.1159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%65%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida2822679%86.371.2+15.1
2 Vanderbilt2822679%87.273.9+13.3
3 Arkansas2821775%90.278.5+11.7
4 Alabama2821775%92.983.6+9.3
5 Tennessee2820871%80.569.1+11.3
6 Missouri2920969%80.374.7+5.7
7 Georgia2819968%89.878.8+11.1
8 Texas A&M2819968%88.779.0+9.8
9 Kentucky28181064%80.972.4+8.5
10 Texas28171161%84.675.7+8.9
11 LSU28151354%81.977.1+4.7
12 Auburn28151354%83.579.7+3.8
13 Oklahoma28141450%82.678.1+4.6
14 Mississippi St.29141548%78.279.8-1.5
15 South Carolina28121643%76.276.2-0.1
16 Ole Miss28111739%75.175.8-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kentucky04604591
Vanderbilt03104677
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