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Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game60.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kentucky v Vanderbilt
16 Jan 2027
KENT v VAND
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
KENT91
VAND77
19 Feb 2025
KENT82
VAND61
06 Mar 2024
KENT93
VAND77
10 Mar 2023
KENT73
VAND80
01 Mar 2023
KENT66
VAND68
11 Mar 2022
KENT77
VAND71
02 Feb 2022
KENT77
VAND70
05 Jan 2021
KENT77
VAND74
29 Jan 2020
KENT71
VAND62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vanderbilt win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
28-37
35-34
29-31
44-42
30-31
33-51
48-22
37-35
39-39
50-41
36-46
33-43
45-37
33-40
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season at home (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.682.1153.7-10.614%
vs Similar (16)79.877.6157.3+2.269%
vs Weaker (7)83.970.4154.3+13.4100%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A14/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A22/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
93-47
93
47
+46
H03/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#114
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H11/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
54-60
31-31
44-37
47-34
44-40
39-41
36-45
38-35
40-33
32-39
40-35
44-17
49-30
39-27
35-24
47-42
58-39
46-17
43-45
153.1Avg total
83.8Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.260.2150.5+30.0100%
Season at home (4)90.260.2150.5+30.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.869.3153.1+14.580%
Last 5 (5)86.663.0149.6+23.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.586.0178.5+6.550%
vs Similar (10)78.577.9156.4+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.670.0154.6+14.678%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.5+5.5
KentuckyVanderbilt
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.072.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.736.774.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.072.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (16)34.638.172.7-3.631%-
vs Weaker (7)39.931.371.1+8.686%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H13/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A14/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A22/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#114
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
46-17
46
17
+29
H14/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
39.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.773.2+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.832.172.9+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.573.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.530.570.0+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.628.470.0+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.039.085.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (10)36.335.571.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.632.172.7+8.672%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kentucky wins
4
Vanderbilt wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Kentucky v Vanderbilt91-77
28/01/26Vanderbilt v Kentucky80-55
20/02/25Kentucky v Vanderbilt82-61
25/01/25Vanderbilt v Kentucky74-69
07/03/24Kentucky v Vanderbilt93-77
07/02/24Vanderbilt v Kentucky77-109
11/03/23Kentucky v Vanderbilt73-80
02/03/23Kentucky v Vanderbilt66-68
25/01/23Vanderbilt v Kentucky53-69
12/03/22Kentucky v Vanderbilt77-71
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Arizona78-77
11/11/26HKansas69-89
07/11/26HJames Madison89-80
04/11/26HManhattan85-57
22/03/26AIowa State63-82
20/03/26HSanta Clara89-84 OT
13/03/26AFlorida63-71
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPrairie View A&M89-62
11/11/26HMemphis105-81
05/11/26HWake Forest74-51
03/11/26HBellarmine93-47
22/03/26ANebraska72-74
19/03/26HMcNeese State78-68
15/03/26AArkansas75-86
14/03/26AFlorida91-74
13/03/26HTennessee75-68
07/03/26ATennessee86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game80.280.2-
Allowed / game75.875.8-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Vanderbilt
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.290.2-
Allowed / game60.260.2-
Point differential+30.0+30.0-
Avg total150.5150.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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