Keravnos vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 103-82

24-14 20-30 24-18 35-20

Position#1

Record6-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game65.9

Keravnos 🏆

AEL

Position#6

Record5-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game89.8

Allowed / game74.2

Division ARound 5

Other2022-23

Meetings · Keravnos v AEL

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEL winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keravnos

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Levice

#27

77-68

H19/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Paralimni

99-70

+29

H22/10

Division A

Balkan

#21

76-85 OT

-9

A26/10

FIBA Europe Cup

AEK Larnaca

47-65

-18

A30/10

Division A

Opava

#20

74-79

-5

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

81-53

+28

A18/11

Division A

Levice

#27

80-86

-6

A22/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Anorthosis

103-85

103

+18

H26/11

Division A

Balkan

#21

82-61

+21

H30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

#11

58-52

A03/12

Division A

21-16

22-18

20-13

14-21

23-12

28-17

23-22

25-19

17-19

18-18

13-21

23-13

18-8

13-19

8-15

8-23

14-22

27-23

16-17

17-17

27-8

18-16

16-7

20-22

15-16

22-20

19-22

24-28

25-24

26-16

30-22

22-23

18-22

21-7

22-17

21-15

21-9

10-14

10-13

17-16

148.1Avg total

77.7Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	80.7	65.9	146.6	+14.9	86%
Season at home (3)	99.0	72.3	171.3	+26.7	100%
Season away (4)	67.0	61.0	128.0	+6.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	70.4	148.1	+7.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	67.4	148.2	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.0	74.1	147.1	-1.1	50%
vs Similar (9)	74.3	74.1	148.4	+0.2	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	84.1	65.2	149.3	+18.8	100%

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEL

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

82-81

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

94-102

102

-8

A19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

87-97

-10

A17/04

Division A

Apoel BC

67-81

-14

H21/04

Division A

Apop Paphou

75-58

+17

H15/10

Division A

Anorthosis

103-70

103

+33

A23/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

92-76

+16

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

81-66

+15

H20/11

Division A

Apoel BC

94-111

111

-17

A25/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

94-64

+30

H02/12

Division A

20-22

20-17

23-19

19-23

28-18

23-32

21-33

22-19

24-28

13-30

23-18

27-21

18-17

11-15

19-22

19-27

22-7

24-7

17-23

12-21

30-18

22-7

29-25

22-20

27-16

20-21

24-22

21-17

29-13

14-20

26-13

12-20

30-28

16-29

23-26

25-28

22-15

17-12

26-14

29-23

167.5Avg total

86.9Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	89.8	74.2	164.0	+15.7	83%
Season at home (4)	85.5	66.0	151.5	+19.5	100%
Season away (2)	98.5	90.5	189.0	+8.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	80.6	167.5	+6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	77.4	170.2	+15.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	75.2	88.4	163.6	-13.2	20%
vs Similar (8)	88.9	79.8	168.6	+9.1	62%
vs Weaker (7)	87.0	74.3	161.3	+12.7	86%

This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KeravnosAEL

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.1	35.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	15.6	35.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.2	20.8	37.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.5	15.4	36.9	+6.1	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	18.2	43.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	18.0	45.6	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.5	47%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	16.9	38.9	+5.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	15.9	37.7	+6.0	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	17.2	34.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.8	37.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.6	34.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	16.4	35.7	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.5	15.2	34.7	+4.3	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.7	21.7	37.4	-5.9	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	16.9	36.7	+3.0	57%	-

KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Levice

#27

43-34

H19/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Paralimni

51-29

+22

H22/10

Division A

Balkan

#21

35-37

-2

A26/10

FIBA Europe Cup

AEK Larnaca

31-27

A30/10

Division A

Opava

#20

41-45

-4

H02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Apop Paphou

45-24

+21

A18/11

Division A

Levice

#27

37-36

A22/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Anorthosis

51-40

+11

H26/11

Division A

Balkan

#21

39-29

+10

H30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

#11

31-23

A03/12

Division A

72.8Avg total

40.4Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	34.3	72.8	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	34.3	76.2	+7.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.5	34.3	69.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	32.4	72.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	30.4	71.0	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.6	39.1	75.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.7	35.0	72.7	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.0	30.6	71.6	+10.4	83%	-

This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

40-39

H11/03

Division A

Apoel BC

51-50

A19/03

Division A

Apoel BC

37-58

-21

A17/04

Division A

Apoel BC

29-32

-3

H21/04

Division A

Apop Paphou

46-14

+32

H15/10

Division A

Anorthosis

52-25

+27

A23/10

Division A

Omonia

#11

47-37

+10

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

43-33

+10

H20/11

Division A

Apoel BC

46-57

-11

A25/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

39-27

+12

H02/12

Division A

80.2Avg total

43.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	36.6	76.9	+3.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	44.1	83.7	-4.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	37.2	80.2	+5.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	35.8	81.2	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.3	43.7	80.0	-7.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	45.5	38.8	84.2	+6.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.9	33.7	75.6	+8.1	71%	-

This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	14.9	37.5	+7.6	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	16.3	37.2	+4.5	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.1	38.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	20.0	45.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.3	37.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.1	37.4	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	16.1	32.5	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.2	18.3	40.6	+3.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	24.1	44.9	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.4	22.6	47.0	+1.9	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.4	73.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	33.1	74.9	+8.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	37.5	73.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	36.6	73.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	37.0	77.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.9	33.8	68.6	+1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.1	37.6	73.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.1	34.7	77.8	+8.4	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	42.4	83.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	45.9	88.2	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.4	87.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	41.6	89.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.9	44.7	83.6	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.1	39.8	80.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.1	40.6	85.7	+4.6	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 63.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	16.7	51.3%	51.8%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.1	28.9%	33.2%	21.4
🏀 Free throws	11.4	8.6	75.0%	71.9%	8.6

They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.6	53.2%	51.8%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.6	32.4%	33.2%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	11.9	9.3	78.3%	71.9%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.6	53.2%	51.8%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.6	32.4%	33.2%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	11.9	9.3	78.3%	71.9%	9.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keravnos wins

AEL wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/22	AEL v Keravnos	67-81
06/12/21	Keravnos v AEL	101-57
02/01/21	AEL v Keravnos	55-83
11/11/20	Keravnos v AEL	87-63
05/01/20	Keravnos v AEL	95-76
09/11/19	AEL v Keravnos	75-99
28/01/19	Keravnos v AEL	84-70
12/12/18	AEL v Keravnos	71-74
27/10/18	Keravnos v AEL	67-68
03/03/15	Keravnos v AEL	20-0

Keravnoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/22	A	Omonia	58-52
30/11/22	H	Balkan	82-61
26/11/22	H	Anorthosis	103-85
22/11/22	A	Levice	80-86
18/11/22	A	Apop Paphou	81-53
02/11/22	H	Opava	74-79
30/10/22	A	AEK Larnaca	47-65
26/10/22	A	Balkan	76-85 OT
22/10/22	H	Paralimni	99-70
19/10/22	H	Levice	77-68

AELlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/22	H	Achilleas K.	94-64
25/11/22	A	Apoel BC	94-111
20/11/22	H	Apollon	81-66
30/10/22	H	Omonia	92-76
23/10/22	A	Anorthosis	103-70
15/10/22	H	Apop Paphou	75-58
21/04/22	H	Apoel BC	67-81
17/04/22	A	Apoel BC	87-97
19/03/22	A	Apoel BC	94-102
11/03/22	H	Apollon	82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	86%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	100%	75%
Points / game	80.7	99.0	67.0
Allowed / game	65.9	72.3	61.0
Point differential	+14.9	+26.7	+6.0
Avg total	146.6	171.3	128.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	100%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AEL

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	100%	50%
Points / game	89.8	85.5	98.5
Allowed / game	74.2	66.0	90.5
Point differential	+15.7	+19.5	+8.0
Avg total	164.0	151.5	189.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	83%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Apoel BC	7	7	0	100%	94.4	76.1	+18.3
2	Keravnos	7	6	1	86%	80.7	65.9	+14.9
3	AEL	6	5	1	83%	89.8	74.2	+15.7
4	AEK Larnaca	8	5	3	62%	78.6	65.9	+12.8
5	ETHA Engomi	7	4	3	57%	76.0	79.1	-3.1
6	Apollon	8	4	4	50%	71.9	73.0	-1.1
7	Anorthosis	7	3	4	43%	68.6	77.1	-8.6
8	Apop Paphou	7	2	5	29%	62.7	77.7	-15.0
9	Achilleas K.	7	2	5	29%	67.1	83.1	-16.0
10	Paralimni	7	1	6	14%	67.7	75.4	-7.7
11	Omonia	7	0	7	0%	64.1	73.6	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keravnos	24	20	24	35	103
AEL	14	30	18	20	82

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Keravnos vs AEL Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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