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Keravnos vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 100-87
23-24 24-17 29-20 24-26
Position#2
Record14-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game80.0
Keravnos 🏆
Cyprus
vs
AEL
Cyprus
Position#3
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game73.0
CyprusDivision ARound 22· Costas Papaellinas Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keravnos v AEL
16 Nov 2026
KER v AEL
upcoming
02 May 2026
KER92
AEL60
25 Apr 2026
KER86
AEL66
18 Apr 2026
KER80
AEL87
04 Apr 2026
KER101
AEL58
04 Jan 2026
KER65
AEL63
07 May 2025
KER102
AEL85
30 Apr 2025
KER78
AEL66
16 Mar 2025
KER100
AEL87
12 Dec 2024
KER81
AEL69
12 Nov 2023
KER74
AEL80
07 Dec 2022
KER103
AEL82
06 Dec 2021
KER101
AEL57
11 Nov 2020
KER87
AEL63
31 Mar 2020
KER v AEL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
KER95
AEL76
28 Jan 2019
KER84
AEL70
27 Oct 2018
KER67
AEL68
03 Mar 2015
KER20
AEL0
17 Jan 2015
KER20
AEL0
15 Dec 2013
KER88
AEL57
06 Jan 2013
KER96
AEL60
29 Feb 2012
KER101
AEL54
12 Nov 2011
KER125
AEL50
27 Mar 2011
KER95
AEL68
20 Mar 2011
KER74
AEL85
12 Nov 2010
KER76
AEL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
114avg 82
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
103-73
103
73
+30
107avg 82
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
107-77
107
77
+30
113avg 82
H09/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
61-69
61
69
-8
46avg 82
A12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 82
H17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
91-94
91
94
-3
86avg 82
A31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 82
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
103avg 82
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
113-84
113
84
+29
111avg 82
H28/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
72avg 82
A07/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
26-25
30-22
29-24
31-21
28-20
23-17
21-15
29-11
31-25
20-22
27-19
19-22
14-12
17-26
11-9
19-24
32-22
26-19
25-15
29-22
15-27
17-20
30-25
35-14
31-22
26-19
24-31
29-17
24-16
22-17
23-21
27-18
32-14
28-26
26-26
20-21
19-28
20-19
23-17
179.2Avg total
98.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)95.380.0175.3+15.378%
Season at home (9)101.284.4185.7+16.889%
Season away (9)89.475.6165.0+13.967%
Last 10 (10)98.880.4179.2+18.470%
Last 5 (5)100.084.0184.0+16.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.892.5178.2-6.825%
vs Similar (8)74.176.1150.2-2.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)97.480.2177.6+17.282%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 78
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
86avg 78
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
78-47
78
47
+31
78avg 78
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 78
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 78
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 78
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 78
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 78
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 78
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
76-57
76
57
+19
71avg 78
H12/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
19-18
29-30
15-26
29-22
22-18
22-24
13-19
22-15
26-11
15-4
15-17
24-14
12-22
14-21
16-23
19-13
21-29
26-22
28-14
22-29
27-15
20-17
25-30
20-25
31-18
24-23
16-15
29-16
27-19
20-20
24-15
16-19
25-10
24-20
22-9
16-14
18-19
20-13
22-11
159.8Avg total
86.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.673.0160.6+14.674%
Season at home (10)91.670.7162.3+20.990%
Season away (9)83.275.6158.8+7.756%
Last 10 (10)86.073.8159.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)89.671.4161.0+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.781.6152.3-10.920%
vs Similar (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
vs Weaker (18)89.968.0157.9+21.989%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.4+8.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
KeravnosAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H21/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A05/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H09/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/01
Division A
AEL
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
66-36
66
36
+30
H07/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H28/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/03
Division A
91.5Avg total
52.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.940.486.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.040.392.3+11.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.480.9+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)52.039.591.5+12.570%-
Last 5 (5)52.239.892.0+12.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.043.582.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (8)38.137.976.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)51.240.691.8+10.671%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/03
Division A
81.5Avg total
45.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.180.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.336.980.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.381.0+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.036.581.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.883.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.242.479.6-5.220%-
vs Similar (2)23.540.063.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker (18)47.635.583.1+12.189%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 97.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.827.6
60.3%
51.5%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
70.5%12.3
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.6
50.8%
51.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.8
73.4%
70.5%13.8
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
LWWWLWLWWW
AEL
WWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+24.1
Net rating
+16.0
128.0
Offensive rating
113.3
103.9
Defensive rating
97.3
59.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.5%
3-point %
33.9%
63.4%
Assist %
68.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence128.0 · 113.3Defence103.9 · 97.3Shooting59.4% · 50.9%3-point %38.5% · 33.9%Ball care13.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds39.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Keravnos   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Keravnos wins
2
AEL wins
DateGameScore
31/01/25AEL v Keravnos94-91
12/12/24Keravnos v AEL81-69
22/04/24AEL v Keravnos61-75
29/01/24AEL v Keravnos62-71
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
15/03/23AEL v Keravnos78-92
07/12/22Keravnos v AEL103-82
17/02/22AEL v Keravnos67-81
06/12/21Keravnos v AEL101-57
02/01/21AEL v Keravnos55-83
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AAEK Larnaca82-85
28/02/25HAchilleas K.113-84
11/02/25AETHA Engomi98-71
07/02/25HApollon116-86
31/01/25AAEL91-94
17/01/25HApoel BC102-80
12/01/25AAEK Larnaca61-69
09/01/25HAchilleas K.107-77
05/01/25AAnorthosis103-73
21/12/24HParalimni115-85
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HAEK Larnaca76-57
07/03/25AAchilleas K.87-58
27/02/25HETHA Engomi100-70
12/02/25AApollon91-81
31/01/25HKeravnos94-91
24/01/25AApoel BC94-78
18/01/25HAEK Larnaca66-80
13/01/25AAchilleas K.78-47
08/01/25HAnorthosis86-83
05/01/25AParalimni88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%89%67%
Points / game95.3101.289.4
Allowed / game80.084.475.6
Point differential+15.3+16.8+13.9
Avg total175.3185.7165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %74%90%56%
Points / game87.691.683.2
Allowed / game73.070.775.6
Point differential+14.6+20.9+7.7
Avg total160.6162.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%70%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1918195%84.970.1+14.8
2 Keravnos1814478%95.380.0+15.3
3 AEL1914574%87.673.0+14.6
4 Anorthosis2012860%88.881.7+7.2
5 Apoel BC1911858%82.679.4+3.2
6 Paralimni1881044%78.582.1-3.6
7 Apollon1951426%83.494.0-10.6
8 ETHA Engomi1921711%73.988.8-14.9
9 Achilleas K.191185%64.289.8-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos23242924100
AEL2417202687
← all games of the day
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