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Keravnos vs TSU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-79
28-21 18-17 22-18 16-23
Position#38
Record1-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#41
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game85.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Costas Papaellinas Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 79
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
106-69
106
69
+37
116avg 79
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 79
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
65avg 79
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 79
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 79
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
59avg 79
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
97-43
97
43
+54
96avg 79
A04/11
Division A
Varese
#7
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 79
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 79
H12/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-26
24-17
16-28
27-15
35-21
30-13
14-20
17-18
25-19
26-11
12-19
15-23
16-28
25-15
24-29
16-11
22-15
7-17
15-20
23-24
26-8
25-20
20-24
18-27
15-19
14-24
24-20
28-9
30-8
20-22
19-4
22-28
20-21
19-21
29-27
22-19
22-19
14-27
16-15
159.9Avg total
82.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.383.0163.3-2.717%
Season at home (2)93.577.5171.0+16.050%
Season away (4)73.885.8159.5-12.00%
Last 10 (10)82.677.3159.9+5.340%
Last 5 (5)85.277.2162.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.292.8167.0-18.70%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.275.8148.0-3.733%
vs Weaker (18)92.468.2160.6+24.394%
This opponent (TSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSULast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Rustavi
#3
L
77-106
77
106
-29
no box
H25/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
A28/05
Superleague
Benfica
#28
L
62-122
62
122
-60
52avg 78
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
80avg 78
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 78
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 78
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 78
H28/10
Superleague
Varese
#7
L
83-109
83
109
-26
72avg 78
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
80avg 78
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rashi
#10
W
97-78
97
78
+19
103avg 78
H11/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
15-27
25-29
17-27
22-19
22-20
16-22
27-14
15-25
17-32
18-36
12-29
20-12
13-28
25-21
23-25
18-22
27-24
21-22
23-17
11-16
15-22
17-7
20-15
27-24
29-24
23-17
20-21
16-37
17-34
31-17
19-21
14-18
23-25
18-22
30-21
27-19
22-22
25-20
23-17
171.6Avg total
82.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.085.2163.2-7.225%
Season at home (2)74.073.0147.0+1.050%
Season away (2)82.097.5179.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)82.389.3171.6-7.050%
Last 5 (5)85.483.8169.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.093.7176.7-10.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.181.9165.0+1.270%
vs Weaker (16)89.781.9171.6+7.888%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
KeravnosTSU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
58-17
58
17
+41
A04/11
Division A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AEL
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/11
Division A
81.3Avg total
43.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.380.2+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.337.483.6+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.137.277.2+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.081.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.481.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.547.781.2-14.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.335.271.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (18)48.334.582.8+13.894%-
This opponent (TSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rustavi
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H25/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/05
Superleague
Benfica
#28
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A25/09
Champions League
Gottingen
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CIU
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/10
Superleague
Keravnos
#38
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Orbi
#6
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H28/10
Superleague
Varese
#7
L
33-71
33
71
-38
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rashi
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/11
Superleague
86.3Avg total
39.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.483.5-3.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.941.483.3+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.245.583.7-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.047.386.3-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.288.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.351.385.7-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.243.283.4-3.040%-
vs Weaker (16)41.641.282.8+0.362%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
52.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.0
33.7%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.511.6
74.8%
73.0%11.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.923.9
52.0%
52.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.8
30.0%
33.8%20.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.7%
73.0%13.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
LLWLWLLWWL
TSU
WLLWWWLLWL
#38
League position
#41
+6.8
Net rating
-7.9
109.4
Offensive rating
101.1
102.6
Defensive rating
109.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
30.0%
61.4%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 101.1Defence102.6 · 109.0Shooting52.6% · 49.7%3-point %33.7% · 30.0%Ball care16.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Keravnos   ■ TSU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keravnos wins
1
TSU wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23TSU v Keravnos63-60
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HAEL74-80
08/11/23AVarese90-97
04/11/23AParalimni97-43
01/11/23AGottingen71-90
28/10/23HApop Paphou94-76
25/10/23ATSU60-63
18/10/23HVarese80-95
14/10/23APAEEK80-67
10/10/23HApollon106-69
05/10/23ARostock74-93
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HRashi97-78
08/11/23HGottingen85-86
02/11/23AVarese83-109
28/10/23HOrbi99-86
25/10/23HKeravnos63-60
21/10/23ACIU89-85
18/10/23AGottingen81-86
25/09/23ABenfica62-122
28/05/23ARustavi87-75
25/05/23HRustavi77-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game80.393.573.8
Allowed / game83.077.585.8
Point differential-2.7+16.0-12.0
Avg total163.3171.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TSU
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.074.082.0
Allowed / game85.273.097.5
Point differential-7.2+1.0-15.5
Avg total163.2147.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
6 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
7 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
8 FC Porto65183%84.374.0+10.3
9 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
10 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
11 Jonava54180%92.283.6+8.6
12 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
13 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
14 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
15 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
16 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
25 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
26 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
27 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
28 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
29 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
30 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
31 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
34 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
35 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
36 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
37 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
38 Norrkoping41325%65.577.8-12.2
39 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
40 Keravnos61517%80.383.0-2.7
41 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos2818221684
TSU2117182379
← all games of the day
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