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Varese vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-90
28-22 21-20 21-19 27-29
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game84.7
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record1-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 83
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 83
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 83
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 83
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 83
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 83
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 83
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 83
H05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
177.1Avg total
87.8Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.384.7179.0+9.767%
Season at home (2)94.087.0181.0+7.050%
Season away (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.889.3177.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)90.088.0178.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar (16)85.587.7173.2-2.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.987.9187.8+12.0100%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
107-60
107
60
+47
114avg 81
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
63avg 81
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
106-69
106
69
+37
116avg 81
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 81
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
65avg 81
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
L
60-63
60
63
-3
48avg 81
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
93avg 81
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
59avg 81
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
97-43
97
43
+54
96avg 81
A04/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
16-20
17-21
22-17
19-13
29-21
40-17
19-9
15-22
19-26
24-17
16-28
27-15
35-21
30-13
14-20
17-18
25-19
26-11
12-19
15-23
16-28
25-15
24-29
16-11
22-15
7-17
15-20
23-24
26-8
25-20
20-24
18-27
15-19
14-24
24-20
28-9
30-8
20-22
19-4
156.7Avg total
83.9Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.480.2158.6-1.820%
Season at home (2)93.577.5171.0+16.050%
Season away (3)68.382.0150.3-13.70%
Last 10 (10)83.972.8156.7+11.150%
Last 5 (5)80.473.4153.8+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.089.7159.7-19.70%
vs Similar (6)72.275.8148.0-3.733%
vs Weaker (18)93.668.9162.6+24.7100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
VareseKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
93.1Avg total
47.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.846.292.0-0.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.244.491.6+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)44.348.092.3-3.713%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.293.1+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.696.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (16)44.645.790.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)51.946.097.9+5.950%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H22/05
Division A
Feniks 2010
#52
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H10/10
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/10
Division A
Varese
#7
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TSU
#41
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apop Paphou
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H28/10
Division A
Gottingen
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#11
W
58-17
58
17
+41
A04/11
Division A
78.7Avg total
42.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.679.3+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.637.182.8+8.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.136.176.2+4.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.636.178.7+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.476.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.345.377.7-13.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.335.271.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (18)48.334.282.4+14.194%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.1
53.5%
52.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.1
38.3%
33.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws15.712.5
79.6%
73.0%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.2
55.8%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.4
36.4%
33.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
73.0%12.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLLWLLWL
Keravnos
WLWLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#38
-1.9
Net rating
+14.5
108.5
Offensive rating
112.5
110.4
Defensive rating
98.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.3%
3-point %
36.4%
67.5%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 112.5Defence110.4 · 98.0Shooting55.7% · 55.3%3-point %38.3% · 36.4%Ball care16.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds21.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Keravnos v Varese80-95
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AParalimni97-43
01/11/23AGottingen71-90
28/10/23HApop Paphou94-76
25/10/23ATSU60-63
18/10/23HVarese80-95
14/10/23APAEEK80-67
10/10/23HApollon106-69
05/10/23ARostock74-93
03/10/23HFeniks 2010107-60
22/05/23HAEK Larnaca70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game94.394.095.0
Allowed / game84.787.080.0
Point differential+9.7+7.0+15.0
Avg total179.0181.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game78.493.568.3
Allowed / game80.277.582.0
Point differential-1.8+16.0-13.7
Avg total158.6171.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao440100%88.568.0+20.5
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
6 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
7 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
8 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
9 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
10 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
11 Jonava43175%91.583.5+8.0
12 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
13 Bahcesehir Kol.43175%86.279.0+7.2
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
15 Rostock64267%85.774.3+11.3
16 Varese32167%94.384.7+9.7
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 Caledonia Gladiators32167%68.079.0-11.0
19 Sabah Baku74357%75.779.4-3.7
20 CSM Oradea42250%84.880.2+4.5
21 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
22 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
23 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
24 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
25 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
26 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
27 AEK Larnaca42250%76.079.2-3.2
28 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
29 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
30 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
31 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Alba Fehervar31233%87.791.0-3.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Norrkoping31233%66.075.7-9.7
36 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
39 Karhu Basket41325%80.590.2-9.8
40 Keravnos51420%78.480.2-1.8
41 Kataja61517%73.782.0-8.3
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu3030%57.782.7-25.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2821212797
Keravnos2220192990
← all games of the day
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