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KFUM Kalmar vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 108-80
33-15 22-21 22-26 31-18
Position#14
Record3-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game82.6
KFUM Kalmar 🏆
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket
Sweden
Position#2
Record15-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game76.9
SwedenSuperettan· Kalmar Sportcenter (Kalmar)
Other2023-24
Meetings · KFUM Kalmar v AIK Basket
06 Jan 2024
KFUM108
AIK 80
16 Oct 2021
KFUM86
AIK 59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Kalmar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
L
52-70
52
70
-18
38avg 63
A14/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
60avg 63
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 63
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 63
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 63
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
86avg 63
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 63
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
81-103
81
103
-22
68avg 63
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
87-71
87
71
+16
70avg 63
A17/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-9
18-19
17-19
11-23
11-14
19-27
14-21
20-15
26-16
13-22
23-14
24-20
27-30
22-18
18-21
11-19
17-15
15-31
20-15
18-18
19-12
24-29
15-28
30-19
19-23
17-26
23-15
24-14
23-25
16-21
12-17
31-24
18-23
24-27
20-29
19-24
27-20
19-18
19-15
22-18
159.7Avg total
77.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.182.6155.7-9.621%
Season at home (6)80.788.2168.8-7.517%
Season away (8)67.478.5145.9-11.125%
Last 10 (10)77.682.1159.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)85.287.0172.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.491.5165.8-17.112%
vs Similar (3)66.780.3147.0-13.70%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
77avg 78
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
66avg 78
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
75avg 78
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
130-97
130
97
+33
137avg 78
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
87-73
87
73
+14
72avg 78
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 78
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
61-62
61
62
-1
36avg 78
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 78
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 78
H16/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
29-7
11-24
26-24
18-26
21-9
25-15
15-18
16-14
20-10
28-18
20-26
44-24
43-22
23-22
20-29
29-22
21-31
24-23
20-18
21-16
26-18
29-18
11-21
14-21
20-16
20-20
31-21
15-19
12-17
12-14
22-12
22-13
23-20
27-25
16-22
23-20
22-17
19-19
14-19
166.6Avg total
88.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.876.9163.7+9.894%
Season at home (8)86.475.8162.1+10.6100%
Season away (8)87.178.1165.2+9.088%
Last 10 (10)88.478.2166.6+10.290%
Last 5 (5)79.873.6153.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.689.3176.9-1.743%
vs Similar (15)86.978.7165.7+8.293%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.871.1150.9+8.675%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
KFUM KalmarAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A14/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A15/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H21/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H29/10
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/11
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H09/12
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A16/12
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/12
Superettan
80.5Avg total
38.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.044.981.9-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.247.285.5-9.023%-
Last 30 away (17)36.043.279.2-7.218%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.580.5-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.886.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.946.283.1-9.412%-
vs Similar (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H16/12
Superettan
82.2Avg total
45.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.682.1+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.238.982.1+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)43.838.282.0+5.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.636.682.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.948.691.4-5.714%-
vs Similar (15)46.536.883.3+9.787%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.233.271.5+5.075%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.3
51.7%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
31.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.410.1
65.6%
66.9%10.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.323.8
47.3%
50.1%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.714.7
64.8%
66.9%14.7
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KFUM Kalmar
WLLWLLLWLL
AIK Basket
WWLWWWWWWW
#14
League position
#2
-10.2
Net rating
+10.6
97.4
Offensive rating
102.0
107.6
Defensive rating
91.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
23.2%
Turnover %
21.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
36.2%
56.3%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 102.0Defence107.6 · 91.5Shooting53.0% · 49.4%3-point %36.5% · 36.2%Ball care23.2% · 21.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 36.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ KFUM Kalmar   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
KFUM Kalmar wins
1
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23AIK Basket v KFUM Kalmar77-64
12/03/22AIK Basket v KFUM Kalmar65-79
16/10/21KFUM Kalmar v AIK Basket86-59
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ARIG Mark87-71
16/12/23AHogsbo81-103
09/12/23HTureberg82-87
18/11/23ASloga Uppsala83-78
11/11/23HKFUM Fryshuset93-96 OT
04/11/23HRIG Mark70-79
29/10/23HOckelbo78-88
21/10/23HSloga Uppsala86-72
15/10/23AAIK Basket64-77
14/10/23ATureberg52-70
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HTureberg78-75
12/12/23ANorrort88-80
03/12/23AMalbas61-62
02/12/23AIK Eos85-78
22/11/23HDjurgarden87-73
18/11/23HHelsingborg109-102 OT
07/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset130-97
29/10/23HNorrort84-68
25/10/23ATureberg79-68
22/10/23AHelsingborg83-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW21%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %21%17%25%
Points / game73.180.767.4
Allowed / game82.688.278.5
Point differential-9.6-7.5-11.1
Avg total155.7168.8145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game86.886.487.1
Allowed / game76.975.878.1
Point differential+9.8+10.6+9.0
Avg total163.7162.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1615194%86.876.9+9.8
2 Hogsbo1611569%91.080.0+11.0
3 Tureberg149564%78.474.1+4.3
4 Huddinge1610662%81.876.3+5.5
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg1710759%87.577.9+9.6
7 Djurgarden169756%86.284.9+1.2
8 Sloga Uppsala158753%77.380.7-3.4
9 KFUM Fryshuset189950%85.487.4-1.9
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos146843%79.681.4-1.7
12 Malbas1661038%71.876.8-4.9
13 Norrort1541127%72.777.8-5.1
14 RIG Mark1541127%69.375.9-6.6
15 KFUM Kalmar1431121%73.182.6-9.6
16 Eskilstuna1321115%71.788.1-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KFUM Kalmar33222231108
AIK Basket1521261880
← all games of the day
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