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Malbas vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 62-61
19-15 17-12 14-12 12-22
Position#12
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game76.9
Malbas 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#2
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game78.0
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Malbas v AIK Basket
16 Jan 2027
MALB v AIK
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MALB101
AIK 88
02 Feb 2025
MALB116
AIK 78
03 Dec 2023
MALB62
AIK 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
45avg 57
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
75-62
75
62
+13
67avg 57
A08/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
74-64
74
64
+10
65avg 57
H15/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
71avg 57
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
74avg 57
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
67-89
67
89
-22
52avg 57
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
60-81
60
81
-21
47avg 57
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
62-75
62
75
-13
56avg 57
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
70avg 57
H22/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
58avg 57
A25/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-14
20-23
26-26
19-11
25-18
11-16
20-17
15-17
13-16
16-9
30-22
12-15
22-28
28-32
20-18
25-19
17-29
16-18
26-22
12-25
17-17
19-27
19-20
25-26
10-17
15-25
10-13
25-17
17-25
13-12
7-21
14-21
21-11
24-19
16-19
17-23
14-18
13-31
23-13
151.3Avg total
72.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.976.9148.8-5.033%
Season at home (6)68.073.8141.8-5.850%
Season away (6)75.880.0155.8-4.217%
Last 10 (10)72.578.8151.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)66.280.0146.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.488.3154.7-22.010%
vs Similar (6)79.785.2164.8-5.533%
vs Weaker (3)70.766.3137.0+4.367%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 80
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
77-64
77
64
+13
67avg 80
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
80avg 80
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
77avg 80
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
66avg 80
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
75avg 80
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
130-97
130
97
+33
137avg 80
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
no box
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
87-73
87
73
+14
72avg 80
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 80
A02/12
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
24-20
28-17
12-20
14-11
27-19
21-14
15-20
21-20
22-18
20-32
27-15
17-24
29-7
11-24
26-24
18-26
21-9
25-15
15-18
16-14
20-10
28-18
20-26
44-24
43-22
23-22
20-29
29-22
21-31
24-23
20-18
21-16
26-18
29-18
11-21
14-21
20-16
20-20
31-21
169.4Avg total
90.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.378.0167.3+11.3100%
Season at home (7)87.675.9163.4+11.7100%
Season away (6)91.380.5171.8+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)90.678.8169.4+11.8100%
Last 5 (5)99.083.6182.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.288.1175.4-0.950%
vs Similar (14)87.679.0166.6+8.693%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.472.4158.8+14.088%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
MalbasAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A07/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A08/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H15/10
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H29/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/11
Superettan
73.8Avg total
35.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.542.677.1-8.217%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.442.175.5-8.614%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.178.5-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.573.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.074.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.544.077.6-10.514%-
vs Similar (6)40.242.282.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (3)29.733.763.3-4.00%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H29/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-46
87
46
+41
A07/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H22/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/12
Superettan
83.0Avg total
46.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.783.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.8+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)45.438.583.9+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.536.583.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)50.838.889.6+12.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.646.689.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (14)46.636.883.4+9.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.934.277.1+8.688%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.6
47.9%
50.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.7
29.0%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.09.0
56.2%
66.9%9.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.024.3
46.7%
50.1%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.6
35.7%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.515.9
67.7%
66.9%15.9
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
LWLLLLLWWL
AIK Basket
WWWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-8.6
Net rating
+15.2
92.0
Offensive rating
102.1
100.6
Defensive rating
86.9
46.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.0%
3-point %
35.7%
54.9%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 102.1Defence100.6 · 86.9Shooting46.4% · 48.7%3-point %29.0% · 35.7%Ball care20.4% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 36.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Malbas   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas wins
0
AIK Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AHogsbo67-85
22/11/23HHelsingborg75-70
19/11/23HWetterbygden Stars62-75
05/11/23HHuddinge60-81
29/10/23HKFUM Fryshuset67-89
22/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset84-88
21/10/23ADjurgarden82-93
15/10/23HEskilstuna74-64
08/10/23ANorrort75-62
07/10/23AHuddinge79-81
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AIK Eos85-78
22/11/23HDjurgarden87-73
18/11/23HHelsingborg109-102 OT
07/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset130-97
29/10/23HNorrort84-68
25/10/23ATureberg79-68
22/10/23AHelsingborg83-79
18/10/23AHuddinge90-85
15/10/23HKFUM Kalmar77-64
07/10/23HWetterbygden Stars82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game71.968.075.8
Allowed / game76.973.880.0
Point differential-5.0-5.8-4.2
Avg total148.8141.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.387.691.3
Allowed / game78.075.980.5
Point differential+11.3+11.7+10.8
Avg total167.3163.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket13130100%89.378.0+11.3
2 Tureberg107370%80.073.0+7.0
3 Hogsbo139469%89.579.4+10.2
4 Huddinge149564%81.876.6+5.2
5 Wetterbygden Stars1610662%81.274.1+7.1
6 KFUM Fryshuset169756%86.588.1-1.6
7 Helsingborg158753%86.780.0+6.7
8 Djurgarden158753%85.585.5+0.0
9 Ockelbo157847%71.773.9-2.2
10 IK Eos125742%79.780.5-0.8
11 Sloga Uppsala125742%77.185.7-8.6
12 Malbas124833%71.976.9-5.0
13 RIG Mark134931%70.575.5-5.0
14 Norrort1331023%71.677.2-5.5
15 Eskilstuna102820%72.887.2-14.4
16 KFUM Kalmar112918%70.381.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas1917141262
AIK Basket1512122261
← all games of the day
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