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KFUM Kalmar vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 78-82
24-17 22-21 13-24 19-20
Position#14
Record8-19
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#9
Record14-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.1
SwedenSuperettan· Kalmar Sportcenter (Kalmar)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KFUM Kalmar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KFUM KalmarSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalmar
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 70
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
102-71
102
71
+31
103avg 70
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
64avg 70
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 70
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
no box
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
81avg 70
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 70
A10/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
75avg 70
A17/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
81avg 70
H23/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
13-21
24-16
20-20
23-11
29-19
24-11
26-30
11-17
14-22
23-27
22-15
21-18
20-18
15-22
15-16
15-12
20-14
20-25
15-19
21-21
15-15
21-15
12-18
23-19
21-17
23-23
17-20
29-27
17-30
21-22
19-18
13-11
26-19
24-18
20-24
18-24
17-27
23-21
23-18
163.9Avg total
82.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.382.5160.9-4.230%
Season at home (13)84.484.5168.9-0.231%
Season away (14)72.780.6153.4-7.929%
Last 10 (10)82.581.4163.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)82.683.2165.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.785.4164.1-6.722%
vs Similar (9)78.282.7160.9-4.433%
vs Weaker (3)75.368.7144.0+6.767%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Malbas
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 78
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
89avg 78
A13/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
83avg 78
H20/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
108-86
108
86
+22
108avg 78
A30/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 78
H11/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 78
H18/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 78
H01/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
62-80
62
80
-18
49avg 78
A06/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
94avg 78
H13/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 78
H20/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-17
19-19
25-33
32-32
16-25
23-24
25-32
21-18
24-28
27-15
22-19
26-19
28-13
26-19
28-35
24-15
13-18
16-15
14-24
23-14
20-21
17-18
22-24
29-16
18-24
15-23
21-23
15-18
13-29
17-10
17-23
25-25
24-19
30-23
19-20
16-19
25-35
27-21
21-12
172.4Avg total
86.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.885.1170.9+0.752%
Season at home (15)86.279.9166.1+6.373%
Season away (12)85.291.7176.9-6.425%
Last 10 (10)86.585.9172.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)82.883.4166.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.1102.7186.9-18.614%
vs Similar (17)83.483.1166.5+0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.282.5174.7+9.783%
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
KFUM KalmarDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KFUM KalmarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A28/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/02
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/02
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/03
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H23/03
Superettan
76.8Avg total
38.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.479.3-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.640.581.1+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.842.177.9-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.376.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.643.480.9-5.833%-
vs Similar (9)38.638.276.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker (3)38.038.776.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A13/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H20/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A30/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H01/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/03
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H13/03
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H20/03
Superettan
86.1Avg total
43.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.483.2+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.447.488.8-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.786.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.451.395.7-6.914%-
vs Similar (17)38.942.481.3-3.541%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.241.087.2+5.267%-
This opponent (KFUM Kalmar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KFUM Kalmartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KFUM Kalmar: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.8
54.5%
50.1%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
66.9%11.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.6
54.3%
50.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.7
30.4%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
66.9%12.4
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KFUM Kalmar
LWLWWLLLWL
Djurgarden
WWLLWLWWLL
#14
League position
#9
-1.4
Net rating
+1.0
99.8
Offensive rating
102.4
101.1
Defensive rating
101.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
20.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.0%
3-point %
30.4%
57.5%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 102.4Defence101.1 · 101.4Shooting51.2% · 50.8%3-point %30.0% · 30.4%Ball care20.2% · 20.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ KFUM Kalmar   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
KFUM Kalmar wins
1
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Djurgarden v KFUM Kalmar94-80
KFUM Kalmarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HHogsbo81-90
17/03/24AOckelbo83-72
10/03/24AIK Eos86-97
09/03/24AMalbas84-79
18/02/24HMalbas79-78 OT
11/02/24HNorrort93-94 OT
03/02/24HWetterbygden Stars71-74
28/01/24AHelsingborg70-81
27/01/24HHuddinge102-71
21/01/24AKFUM Fryshuset76-78
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HEskilstuna89-87
13/03/24HNorrort98-87
06/03/24AOckelbo62-80
01/03/24HAIK Basket83-86
18/02/24HSloga Uppsala82-77
11/02/24HRIG Mark67-72
30/01/24ANorrort108-86
20/01/24HKFUM Kalmar94-80
13/01/24AHelsingborg96-113
07/01/24AMalbas86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KFUM Kalmar
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL30%
HomeWLLWL31%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%31%29%
Points / game78.384.472.7
Allowed / game82.584.580.6
Point differential-4.2-0.2-7.9
Avg total160.9168.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)17% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %11%23%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%73%25%
Points / game85.886.285.2
Allowed / game85.179.991.7
Point differential+0.7+6.3-6.4
Avg total170.9166.1176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2823582%93.078.8+14.2
2 AIK Basket2820871%83.178.3+4.8
3 Huddinge29181162%81.077.7+3.3
4 Wetterbygden Stars29171259%80.376.2+4.1
5 KFUM Fryshuset29171259%87.386.4+0.9
6 Helsingborg28161257%86.580.9+5.6
7 Sloga Uppsala28161257%79.380.3-1.0
8 Tureberg29161355%77.375.4+1.9
9 Djurgarden27141352%85.885.1+0.7
10 Ockelbo29151452%73.876.0-2.2
11 IK Eos28121643%79.581.5-1.9
12 Malbas28121643%73.275.6-2.5
13 KFUM Kalmar2781930%78.382.5-4.2
14 Norrort2882029%73.479.7-6.2
15 Eskilstuna2882029%76.785.4-8.8
16 RIG Mark2962321%67.476.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KFUM Kalmar2422131978
Djurgarden1721242082
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