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Djurgarden vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-86
29-16 18-24 15-23 21-23
Position#9
Record12-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#2
Record17-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.8
SwedenSuperettan· Brannkyrkahallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Djurgarden v AIK Basket
21 Sep 2026
DJUR62
AIK 93
27 Sep 2025
DJUR92
AIK 75
24 Jan 2025
DJUR90
AIK 69
01 Mar 2024
DJUR83
AIK 86
22 Mar 2019
DJUR105
AIK 84
29 Sep 2018
DJUR116
AIK 113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Djurgarden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
59avg 78
A22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
65avg 78
H03/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 78
H17/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 78
A06/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
82avg 78
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
89avg 78
A13/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
83avg 78
H20/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
108-86
108
86
+22
108avg 78
A30/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
57avg 78
H11/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 78
H18/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-26
18-29
21-11
22-23
14-18
14-19
20-23
11-22
26-29
28-9
31-16
16-18
10-28
17-20
29-14
22-22
20-17
19-19
25-33
32-32
16-25
23-24
25-32
21-18
24-28
27-15
22-19
26-19
28-13
26-19
28-35
24-15
13-18
16-15
14-24
23-14
20-21
17-18
22-24
168.9Avg total
84.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.385.1171.4+1.152%
Season at home (12)85.278.2163.4+7.175%
Season away (11)87.492.7180.1-5.427%
Last 10 (10)84.484.5168.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)89.485.6175.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.0100.3181.3-19.39%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.883.1167.9+1.753%
vs Weaker (4)91.580.2171.8+11.275%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 75
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
61-62
61
62
-1
36avg 75
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
88-80
88
80
+8
88avg 75
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 75
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
80-108
80
108
-28
64avg 75
A06/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 75
H13/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
72avg 75
A27/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
54-63
54
63
-9
46avg 75
H04/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
85-55
85
55
+30
77avg 75
A17/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 75
A18/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-16
20-20
31-21
15-19
12-17
12-14
22-12
22-13
23-20
27-25
16-22
23-20
22-17
19-19
14-19
15-33
21-22
26-22
18-31
15-15
23-18
15-25
20-24
17-29
26-17
19-12
26-22
10-15
16-11
11-16
17-21
23-13
20-18
18-17
24-7
25-26
20-22
14-33
31-12
155.8Avg total
78.2Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.577.8162.3+6.677%
Season at home (10)81.875.1156.9+6.780%
Season away (12)86.780.1166.8+6.675%
Last 10 (10)78.277.6155.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)78.074.6152.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.088.8175.8-1.850%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.380.2165.5+5.179%
vs Weaker (10)80.873.8154.6+7.070%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
DjurgardenAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A22/11
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H03/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H17/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A06/01
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A07/01
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A13/01
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H20/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A30/01
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/02
Superettan
82.9Avg total
40.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.886.2-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)41.848.189.9-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.782.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.686.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.651.293.8-8.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.142.381.3-3.240%-
vs Weaker (4)46.837.083.8+9.875%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/12
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A12/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H16/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A06/01
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H13/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/01
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H04/02
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A18/02
Superettan
76.4Avg total
38.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.078.4+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.883.0+3.456%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.046.587.5-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.437.882.2+6.671%-
vs Weaker (10)38.936.175.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.0
52.1%
50.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.0
28.9%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
66.9%12.0
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.122.8
47.4%
50.1%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.7
31.8%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.012.0
57.1%
66.9%12.0
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Djurgarden
WLWWLLLWLL
AIK Basket
LWLWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#2
+0.4
Net rating
+0.6
100.0
Offensive rating
97.3
99.6
Defensive rating
96.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.5%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
22.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.9%
3-point %
31.8%
60.6%
Assist %
57.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 97.3Defence99.6 · 96.6Shooting48.8% · 47.5%3-point %28.9% · 31.8%Ball care22.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds38.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Djurgarden   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Djurgarden wins
1
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
22/11/23AIK Basket v Djurgarden87-73
22/03/19Djurgarden v AIK Basket105-84
27/11/18AIK Basket v Djurgarden73-99
29/09/18Djurgarden v AIK Basket116-113 OT
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HSloga Uppsala82-77
11/02/24HRIG Mark67-72
30/01/24ANorrort108-86
20/01/24HKFUM Kalmar94-80
13/01/24AHelsingborg96-113
07/01/24AMalbas86-91
06/01/24AIK Eos72-80
17/12/23HIK Eos96-76
03/12/23HWetterbygden Stars70-83
22/11/23AAIK Basket73-87
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AWetterbygden Stars90-93
17/02/24ARIG Mark85-55
04/02/24HSloga Uppsala54-63
27/01/24AEskilstuna88-80
13/01/24HHogsbo73-82
06/01/24AKFUM Kalmar80-108
16/12/23HTureberg78-75
12/12/23ANorrort88-80
03/12/23AMalbas61-62
02/12/23AIK Eos85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%75%27%
Points / game86.385.287.4
Allowed / game85.178.292.7
Point differential+1.1+7.1-5.4
Avg total171.4163.4180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL77%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %77%80%75%
Points / game84.581.886.7
Allowed / game77.875.180.1
Point differential+6.6+6.7+6.6
Avg total162.3156.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hogsbo2318578%92.378.4+13.8
2 AIK Basket2217577%84.577.8+6.6
3 Tureberg2415962%77.774.5+3.2
4 Wetterbygden Stars25151060%80.376.0+4.3
5 Helsingborg24141058%87.280.7+6.5
6 Huddinge24141058%82.178.9+3.2
7 KFUM Fryshuset24131154%87.086.3+0.7
8 Sloga Uppsala24131154%77.179.6-2.5
9 Djurgarden23121152%86.385.1+1.1
10 Ockelbo23111248%73.477.3-3.9
11 Malbas24101442%72.476.2-3.8
12 IK Eos2291341%79.381.2-1.9
13 Norrort2381535%73.677.9-4.3
14 Eskilstuna2261627%75.486.4-11.0
15 KFUM Kalmar2361726%77.482.2-4.7
16 RIG Mark2461825%67.175.1-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Djurgarden2918152183
AIK Basket1624232386
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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