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Khimki M. vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-86
20-30 19-19 23-12 15-25
Position#8
Record14-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.2
Khimki M.
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#15
Record8-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2017
Meetings · Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano
08 Dec 2020
KHM93
MIL102
28 Feb 2019
KHM88
MIL90
08 Mar 2018
KHM77
MIL86
07 Jan 2010
KHM79
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A26/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H29/01
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H02/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A05/02
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A09/02
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H12/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#5
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A01/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
20-23
20-17
19-22
26-20
18-25
19-23
25-7
9-11
22-28
18-16
19-11
15-16
12-24
26-21
18-29
15-26
28-18
18-15
23-15
17-15
21-14
20-16
15-32
22-12
22-21
22-27
32-20
24-18
22-13
17-15
15-15
26-18
13-26
13-25
25-18
23-19
14-21
24-22
21-17
157.6Avg total
80.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.677.2154.8+0.458%
Season at home (12)78.774.0152.7+4.775%
Season away (12)76.680.4157.0-3.842%
Last 10 (10)80.277.4157.6+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.584.7158.2-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.677.6155.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (10)83.075.3158.3+7.780%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
102-111
102
111
-9
H26/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A29/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-54
91
54
+37
H04/02
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A09/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
87-105
87
105
-18
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
24-27
20-26
32-28
19-17
17-25
17-14
19-20
15-25
27-23
22-14
19-19
22-8
24-13
26-12
19-21
20-23
25-27
20-21
24-29
18-25
22-17
20-7
24-23
18-28
20-29
25-23
24-25
20-23
13-25
15-17
22-24
17-17
27-12
14-16
19-19
32-23
28-22
31-19
25-29
171.6Avg total
87.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.586.1167.5-4.633%
Season at home (12)82.885.8168.7-3.042%
Season away (12)80.186.3166.4-6.225%
Last 10 (10)87.184.5171.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)86.884.6171.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.887.1167.9-6.438%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.985.5169.4-1.620%
vs Weaker (11)81.872.0153.8+9.882%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Khimki M.Olimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A26/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/01
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H02/02
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/02
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A09/02
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H12/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/03
VTB United League
78.4Avg total
39.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.278.2-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.876.9+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.042.479.4-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.178.4+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.542.576.0-9.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.940.078.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker (10)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H26/01
Euroleague
Varese
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A29/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A01/02
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H04/02
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A09/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H04/03
Lega A
87.3Avg total
43.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.481.7+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.341.385.6+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.477.2-1.543%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.987.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.287.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.544.084.5-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.240.882.0+0.440%-
vs Weaker (11)42.335.978.2+6.473%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.3
49.4%
51.7%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.8
35.8%
37.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.312.8
78.5%
76.3%12.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.9
59.0%
51.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
37.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
76.3%15.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLWWLWLWWL
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWLWWLL
#8
League position
#15
+3.9
Net rating
+6.4
110.0
Offensive rating
119.8
106.1
Defensive rating
113.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.8%
3-point %
35.3%
67.0%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 119.8Defence106.1 · 113.3Shooting51.5% · 56.6%3-point %35.8% · 35.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Khimki M. wins
0
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
07/12/17Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.71-77
07/01/10Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano79-63
12/11/09Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.68-72
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18ANizhny Novgorod82-79
01/03/18ABaskonia77-87
23/02/18HPanathinaikos78-61
15/02/18AZenit Petersburg98-80
12/02/18HVEF Riga73-77
09/02/18AZalgiris Kaunas84-74
05/02/18ACSKA Moscow71-90
02/02/18HUnicaja68-66
29/01/18HSaratov88-75
26/01/18AValencia83-85
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18HSassari116-93
01/03/18HAnadolu Efes77-64
22/02/18AFenerbahce70-89
16/02/18HCantu87-105
11/02/18ABrindisi84-72
09/02/18ACrvena zvezda89-100
04/02/18HCapo d'Orlando91-54
01/02/18ABarcelona83-81
29/01/18AVarese72-76
26/01/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv102-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game77.678.776.6
Allowed / game77.274.080.4
Point differential+0.4+4.7-3.8
Avg total154.8152.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLWLW42%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%42%25%
Points / game81.582.880.1
Allowed / game86.185.886.3
Point differential-4.6-3.0-6.2
Avg total167.5168.7166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2419579%90.079.8+10.2
2 Fenerbahce2417771%80.274.9+5.4
3 Olympiacos2417771%76.974.5+2.3
4 Zalgiris Kaunas2415962%82.380.7+1.6
5 Real Madrid24141058%85.179.2+5.9
6 Khimki M.24141058%77.677.2+0.4
7 Panathinaikos24141058%77.777.4+0.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv24121250%81.384.2-3.0
9 Baskonia24111346%82.180.5+1.6
10 Unicaja24101442%77.679.8-2.2
11 Crvena zvezda24101442%78.383.0-4.7
12 Valencia2491538%77.880.2-2.5
13 Bamberg2491538%75.279.2-3.9
14 Olimpia Milano2481633%81.586.1-4.6
15 Barcelona2471729%80.080.9-0.8
16 Anadolu Efes2461825%76.882.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2019231577
Olimpia Milano3019122586
← all games of the day
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