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Olimpia Milano vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 71-77
24-12 14-19 18-24 15-22
Position#15
Record3-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2017
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.
25 Feb 2021
MIL84
KHM74
25 Oct 2018
MIL81
KHM80
07 Dec 2017
MIL71
KHM77
12 Nov 2009
MIL68
KHM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
90avg 106
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
100avg 106
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
62-94
62
94
-32
82avg 106
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
94avg 106
A11/11
Lega A
Valencia
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A15/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
71-62
71
62
+9
103avg 106
H17/11
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
L
92-94 OT
92
94
-2
no box
H19/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 106
H23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
68-73
68
73
-5
93avg 106
A30/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
72-71
72
71
+1
94avg 106
A03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
15-21
13-21
26-19
13-15
26-20
15-20
18-9
20-25
11-25
10-20
21-24
21-24
15-10
20-10
18-11
19-20
22-25
17-19
16-10
13-16
14-19
16-16
28-11
17-23
13-17
20-18
27-19
21-17
21-29
20-20
23-20
16-23
14-10
20-19
18-21
15-14
26-21
12-15
19-21
154.3Avg total
76.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.585.1164.6-5.630%
Season at home (5)76.481.6158.0-5.240%
Season away (5)82.688.6171.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)76.777.6154.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.677.2154.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.889.8170.7-9.017%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.281.6158.8-4.430%
vs Weaker (13)78.972.1151.0+6.885%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormM.
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
H30/10
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
114avg 107
A02/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
no box
H06/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
124avg 107
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
88avg 107
A14/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H16/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-76
66
76
-10
no box
H19/11
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
67-71
67
71
-4
89avg 107
A24/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
108avg 107
H30/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
12-19
11-13
23-22
25-23
20-16
21-20
20-21
27-21
16-29
25-22
13-24
18-21
22-27
21-16
30-26
16-26
11-20
22-26
16-21
19-28
20-14
16-20
14-15
19-25
13-16
16-19
18-16
15-24
11-14
22-20
19-13
23-21
19-19
20-16
20-17
17-18
23-19
22-21
17-22
156.5Avg total
75.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.080.1158.1-2.160%
Season at home (6)81.277.5158.7+3.783%
Season away (4)73.284.0157.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)75.880.7156.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)72.675.4148.0-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.987.9166.7-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.882.8163.7-2.050%
vs Weaker (11)88.971.8160.7+17.1100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
Olimpia MilanoKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/11
Lega A
Valencia
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/11
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/12
Lega A
73.8Avg total
34.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.676.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.438.976.2-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.277.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.273.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.871.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.044.086.0-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.838.773.5-3.920%-
vs Weaker (13)38.736.875.5+1.869%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/10
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A02/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H06/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H10/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A14/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H16/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H19/11
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/11
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A03/12
VTB United League
78.9Avg total
37.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.283.2-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.241.983.1-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)40.842.683.4-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.778.9-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.447.185.6-8.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.141.582.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)42.639.882.5+2.864%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
51.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.3
30.6%
37.6%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
76.3%13.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.7
50.8%
51.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.1
34.0%
37.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.813.9
70.2%
76.3%13.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLWWWLWL
Khimki M.
LWLLLLWLWW
#15
League position
#8
-3.7
Net rating
-1.8
102.1
Offensive rating
105.8
105.8
Defensive rating
107.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.6%
3-point %
34.0%
53.3%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 105.8Defence105.8 · 107.6Shooting47.7% · 50.9%3-point %30.6% · 34.0%Ball care16.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Khimki M.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
07/01/10Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano79-63
12/11/09Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.68-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17AReggiana72-71
30/11/17AAnadolu Efes68-73
23/11/17HOlympiacos85-86
19/11/17HAvellino92-94 OT
17/11/17HBamberg71-62
15/11/17AValencia103-98 OT
11/11/17ATrento74-55
09/11/17HZalgiris Kaunas62-94
05/11/17HVirtus Bologna72-64
02/11/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-79
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17AUnics Kazan79-80
30/11/17HBamberg82-73
24/11/17AFenerbahce67-71
19/11/17HZenit Petersburg66-76
16/11/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv69-77
14/11/17APanathinaikos65-93
10/11/17HBaskonia91-90
06/11/17HCSKA Moscow81-96
02/11/17AReal Madrid86-80
30/10/17HAstana72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game79.576.482.6
Allowed / game85.181.688.6
Point differential-5.6-5.2-6.0
Avg total164.6158.0171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Khimki M.
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%83%25%
Points / game78.081.273.2
Allowed / game80.177.584.0
Point differential-2.1+3.7-10.8
Avg total158.1158.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow119282%89.177.7+11.4
2 Olympiacos108280%76.271.6+4.6
3 Fenerbahce107370%79.973.6+6.3
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv117464%79.578.3+1.2
5 Panathinaikos117464%78.577.6+0.9
6 Khimki M.106460%78.080.1-2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas116555%81.381.5-0.3
8 Real Madrid105550%84.780.6+4.1
9 Baskonia115645%80.580.0+0.5
10 Bamberg115645%74.780.5-5.8
11 Barcelona104640%82.477.4+5.0
12 Anadolu Efes103730%78.782.2-3.5
13 Olimpia Milano103730%79.585.1-5.6
14 Crvena zvezda103730%75.182.1-7.0
15 Valencia113827%78.079.6-1.6
16 Unicaja113827%73.080.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2414181571
Khimki M.1219242277
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