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Khimki M. vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-90
25-20 29-25 19-20 15-25
Position#13
Record9-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.6
Khimki M.
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#11
Record12-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2018
Meetings · Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano
08 Dec 2020
KHM93
MIL102
28 Feb 2019
KHM88
MIL90
08 Mar 2018
KHM77
MIL86
07 Jan 2010
KHM79
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A17/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H20/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A28/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H31/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
11-12
14-23
21-16
18-19
16-11
22-10
14-10
28-10
12-25
10-21
10-15
26-23
24-24
21-23
29-22
19-17
17-20
11-19
27-8
22-15
16-21
26-25
18-25
22-20
23-26
23-19
30-25
19-20
19-27
29-24
15-13
9-21
15-17
21-16
13-19
21-33
29-32
17-13
18-16
154.1Avg total
76.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.079.6157.6-1.639%
Season at home (11)78.077.3155.3+0.755%
Season away (12)78.081.8159.8-3.825%
Last 10 (10)76.677.5154.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)81.085.4166.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.880.3152.1-8.611%
vs Similar ◀ (7)71.775.0146.7-3.343%
vs Weaker (14)86.075.3161.3+10.779%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/02
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H21/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
22-17
14-24
18-22
30-23
20-22
27-25
17-15
23-21
159.0Avg total
81.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.486.0173.3+1.452%
Season at home (12)86.885.0171.8+1.858%
Season away (11)88.087.0175.0+1.045%
Last 10 (10)81.977.1159.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)74.468.2142.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.683.6167.2-0.156%
vs Weaker (12)87.179.3166.4+7.867%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +5.0+5.0
Khimki M.Olimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A17/01
Euroleague
Minsk
#14
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H20/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A28/01
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
VTB United League
Buducnost
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/02
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
37.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.578.1+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.079.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.238.977.2-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.379.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.485.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.238.472.7-4.211%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.641.378.9-3.729%-
vs Weaker (14)44.137.181.3+7.079%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/02
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
43.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.240.182.3+2.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.080.3+4.360%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.484.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (9)43.438.682.0+4.956%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.140.281.4+0.962%-
vs Weaker (11)44.639.884.5+4.855%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
37.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.110.5
74.5%
76.7%10.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.2
53.2%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.2
40.8%
37.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.318.0
77.3%
76.7%18.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLWLWWLWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLWWWLL
#13
League position
#11
-3.9
Net rating
+8.5
108.9
Offensive rating
117.8
112.7
Defensive rating
109.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.6%
3-point %
40.8%
67.0%
Assist %
50.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 117.8Defence112.7 · 109.3Shooting52.7% · 56.5%3-point %34.6% · 40.8%Ball care17.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Khimki M. wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
25/10/18Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.81-80
08/03/18Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano77-86
07/12/17Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.71-77
07/01/10Khimki M. v Olimpia Milano79-63
12/11/09Olimpia Milano v Khimki M.68-72
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19APanathinaikos85-94
15/02/19AUnics Kazan58-73
11/02/19HLokomotiv Kuban82-84
07/02/19ABuducnost98-90
03/02/19AZenit Petersburg82-86
31/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas74-64
28/01/19ASaratov100-92
25/01/19HBayern60-71
20/01/19HMinsk70-50
17/01/19AOlympiacos57-71
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-83
14/02/19HVirtus Bologna84-86
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL39%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game78.078.078.0
Allowed / game79.677.381.8
Point differential-1.6+0.7-3.8
Avg total157.6155.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWLWWW58%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%58%45%
Points / game87.486.888.0
Allowed / game86.085.087.0
Point differential+1.4+1.8+1.0
Avg total173.3171.8175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)57% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2320387%84.674.9+9.7
2 Real Madrid2318578%86.076.7+9.4
3 CSKA Moscow2318578%87.780.8+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes2315865%84.979.6+5.3
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano23121152%87.486.0+1.4
7 Olympiacos23121152%77.776.7+1.0
8 Baskonia23111248%81.079.8+1.2
9 Bayern23111248%79.280.8-1.6
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv23101343%79.480.4-1.0
11 Panathinaikos23101343%78.079.9-1.9
12 Khimki M.2391439%78.079.6-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2391439%77.979.5-1.6
14 Gran Canaria2361726%79.088.6-9.6
15 Buducnost2361726%74.684.4-9.8
16 Darussafaka2332013%75.085.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2529191588
Olimpia Milano2025202590
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