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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-87 (OT)
13-20 20-24 18-14 25-18 7-11
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
73-58
73
58
+15
no box
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
76-92
76
92
-16
no box
A14/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H17/06
Basket League
Pagrati
#4
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
A03/10
Greek Cup
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
H06/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
116avg 107
H11/10
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A13/10
Basket League
Bayern
#12
L
79-80
79
80
-1
104avg 107
A16/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
102-87
102
87
+15
130avg 107
H18/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
108-63
108
63
+45
no box
H21/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-13
16-14
19-16
19-28
17-20
28-23
12-21
14-15
17-20
29-15
24-20
23-15
29-24
23-10
25-17
23-14
26-18
21-14
23-19
26-24
20-21
24-22
19-17
22-17
24-17
21-19
17-17
20-20
21-20
17-16
21-24
21-14
29-22
24-19
28-32
29-10
33-13
20-18
26-22
162.3Avg total
88.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
Season at home (2)95.585.5181.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)79.080.0159.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)88.873.5162.3+15.380%
Last 5 (5)92.476.8169.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.281.5164.8+1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.082.0166.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (24)89.869.5159.3+20.492%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-66
103
66
+37
no box
H22/09
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
74-53
74
53
+21
no box
A27/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
A30/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H03/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
A07/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
100avg 110
H12/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
60-75
60
75
-15
no box
H14/10
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-79
93
79
+14
120avg 110
A17/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
98avg 110
H19/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
H22/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
27-15
27-11
30-20
21-15
13-13
19-14
21-11
24-16
25-16
18-21
20-27
16-17
25-21
21-12
19-18
23-16
18-26
11-21
24-6
24-22
15-20
14-21
26-24
21-19
8-16
20-16
11-24
19-19
27-13
22-16
25-31
25-18
17-16
15-19
18-29
24-22
18-19
22-18
24-16
155.0Avg total
81.6Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.382.7165.0-0.333%
Season at home (2)77.084.5161.5-7.50%
Season away (1)93.079.0172.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.673.4155.0+8.270%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.379.3161.7+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.878.5160.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (23)86.271.1157.3+15.191%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A14/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H17/06
Basket League
Pagrati
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A03/10
Greek Cup
Ifaistos Limnou
#7
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H06/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H11/10
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/10
Basket League
Bayern
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
62-23
62
23
+39
H21/10
Basket League
81.1Avg total
45.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.436.180.5+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.232.477.6+12.888%-
Last 30 away (14)43.640.283.8+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.081.1+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.035.684.6+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.839.278.0-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.542.586.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)45.535.080.5+10.575%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H22/09
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A27/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A30/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/10
LKL
Rytas
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A07/10
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H12/10
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H14/10
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A17/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H19/10
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/10
LKL
76.8Avg total
40.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.478.8+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.336.379.6+6.978%-
Last 30 away (12)41.236.477.7+4.858%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.976.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.876.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.033.776.7+9.3100%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (23)42.436.378.7+6.070%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.3
57.2%
52.7%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.1
32.6%
37.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.313.8
68.0%
76.7%13.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.5
57.7%
52.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.96.4
46.0%
37.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
76.7%16.2
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#9
+9.2
Net rating
+2.9
110.2
Offensive rating
115.4
101.0
Defensive rating
112.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
60.7%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.6%
3-point %
46.0%
54.8%
Assist %
64.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 115.4Defence101.0 · 112.6Shooting54.4% · 60.7%3-point %32.6% · 46.0%Ball care16.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/18HLavrio108-63
18/10/18HGran Canaria102-87
16/10/18ABayern79-80
13/10/18AAris84-70
11/10/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-84
06/10/18HIfaistos Limnou93-65
03/10/18APagrati100-66
17/06/18HOlympiacos84-70
14/06/18AOlympiacos76-92
10/06/18HOlympiacos73-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/18HAlytaus Dzukija88-75
19/10/18HFenerbahce75-82
17/10/18AAnadolu Efes93-79
14/10/18HNeptunas60-75
12/10/18HBaskonia79-87
07/10/18ARytas76-69
03/10/18HNevezis81-68
30/09/18AJuventus87-80
27/09/18ASkycop74-53
22/09/18HPieno Zvaigzdes103-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game90.095.579.0
Allowed / game83.785.580.0
Point differential+6.3+10.0-1.0
Avg total173.7181.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game82.377.093.0
Allowed / game82.784.579.0
Point differential-0.3-7.5+14.0
Avg total165.0161.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%96.578.0+18.5
2 CSKA Moscow330100%87.778.7+9.0
3 Fenerbahce43175%88.880.2+8.5
4 Olimpia Milano43175%86.879.2+7.5
5 Anadolu Efes43175%85.882.8+3.0
6 Olympiacos43175%83.881.2+2.5
7 Panathinaikos32167%90.083.7+6.3
8 Barcelona42250%80.881.5-0.8
9 Bayern42250%75.280.8-5.5
10 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%82.382.7-0.3
11 Gran Canaria31233%82.095.0-13.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.083.5-1.5
13 Darussafaka41325%77.582.5-5.0
14 Baskonia41325%79.284.5-5.2
15 Khimki M.4040%78.886.5-7.8
16 Buducnost4040%64.280.0-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Panathinaikos13201825783
Zalgiris Kaunas202414181187
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