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Kilsyth vs Hobart Chargers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 May 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 83-78
23-26 14-21 28-13 18-18
Position#14
Record4-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game89.6
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Kilsyth v Hobart Chargers
21 May 2023
KILS83
HOBA78
01 May 2021
KILS86
HOBA76
30 Apr 2017
KILS102
HOBA93
15 May 2016
KILS70
HOBA92
25 Apr 2015
KILS88
HOBA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hobart Chargers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
92-108
92
108
-16
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
92-94
92
94
-2
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H13/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H20/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
25-28
25-14
23-22
31-12
24-19
23-16
15-31
31-19
28-24
32-15
21-26
26-14
35-17
12-27
15-23
26-15
23-31
12-24
26-27
20-29
18-29
25-22
29-28
23-25
23-26
20-23
26-20
32-19
19-25
16-22
22-32
20-24
23-18
15-30
22-17
15-18
24-22
11-13
14-19
179.0Avg total
89.4Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.489.6179.0-0.240%
Season at home (5)89.283.6172.8+5.660%
Season away (5)89.695.6185.2-6.020%
Last 10 (10)89.489.6179.0-0.240%
Last 5 (5)83.492.2175.6-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.790.4179.1-1.743%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.888.1176.9+0.767%
vs Weaker (14)82.178.0160.1+4.157%
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hobart ChargersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
84-107
84
107
-23
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A16/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H22/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H28/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A06/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A07/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H12/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A20/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-14
12-20
18-20
19-25
19-22
23-33
23-27
23-24
25-27
34-16
26-32
16-27
24-16
14-27
29-24
25-13
17-22
20-27
14-11
25-13
24-18
23-22
10-18
29-23
31-20
23-14
23-22
23-24
22-25
22-20
22-8
21-13
11-23
15-24
17-19
15-13
25-22
19-22
22-21
168.0Avg total
84.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.383.7168.0+0.660%
Season at home (4)76.279.2155.5-3.050%
Season away (6)89.786.7176.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)84.383.7168.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)84.476.8161.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.290.0170.2-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.481.8168.1+4.675%
vs Weaker (18)87.377.5164.8+9.878%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
KilsythHobart Chargers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#10
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H06/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H14/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
61-31
61
31
+30
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A19/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A22/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/05
NBL1 South
93.5Avg total
49.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.990.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.341.589.8+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)44.146.290.3-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)49.044.593.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.090.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.047.792.7-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.946.092.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (14)46.440.686.9+5.864%-
This opponent (Hobart Chargers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hobart ChargersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A01/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A16/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H28/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A06/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A07/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H12/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A20/05
NBL1 South
84.4Avg total
43.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.681.7+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.177.1+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)43.142.685.7+0.431%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.084.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.884.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.546.282.8-9.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.040.683.6+2.438%-
vs Weaker (18)42.937.780.6+5.256%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kilsyth wins
3
Hobart Chargers wins
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HCasey Cavaliers64-72
13/05/23HDiamond Valley80-89
06/05/23AKeilor Thunder89-98
29/04/23ABendigo Braves92-94
22/04/23ANunawading92-108
19/04/23ARingwood87-97
15/04/23AKnox88-81
14/04/23HSandringham Sabres112-84
06/04/23HDandenong93-78
01/04/23HGeelong97-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23AKeilor Thunder81-78
12/05/23HGeelong64-79
07/05/23ANunawading89-77
06/05/23ABendigo Braves106-79
28/04/23HMelbourne Tigers82-71
22/04/23HKnox76-73
21/04/23HBallarat83-94
16/04/23ARingwood108-99
15/04/23ADandenong84-107
01/04/23ANW Tasmania70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game89.489.289.6
Allowed / game89.683.695.6
Point differential-0.2+5.6-6.0
Avg total179.0172.8185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hobart Chargers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game84.376.289.7
Allowed / game83.779.286.7
Point differential+0.6-3.0+3.0
Avg total168.0155.5176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham108280%92.381.2+11.1
2 Frankston118373%93.682.9+10.7
3 Knox118373%85.476.4+9.0
4 Sandringham Sabres117464%91.988.6+3.3
5 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
6 Nunawading106460%88.683.4+5.2
7 Geelong106460%87.585.3+2.2
8 Diamond Valley106460%88.287.6+0.6
9 Hobart Chargers106460%84.383.7+0.6
10 Waverley105550%83.586.1-2.6
11 Ballarat115645%92.092.9-0.9
12 Keilor Thunder94544%84.293.3-9.1
13 Kilsyth104640%89.489.6-0.2
14 Melbourne Tigers104640%83.184.8-1.7
15 NW Tasmania104640%83.390.1-6.8
16 Ringwood103730%88.791.1-2.4
17 Bendigo Braves103730%86.597.6-11.1
18 Casey Cavaliers113827%76.784.5-7.8
19 Dandenong1221017%84.992.0-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth2314281883
Hobart Chargers2621131878
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