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Kilsyth vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-95 (OT)
10-17 34-18 24-21 18-30 10-9
Position#7
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.6
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#13
Record9-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game96.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Kilsyth v Waverley
18 Jul 2025
KILS96
WAVE95
16 Jul 2022
KILS100
WAVE89
17 Apr 2021
KILS69
WAVE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
109-87
109
87
+22
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A15/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
20-24
16-27
20-31
22-15
16-28
23-26
21-26
19-19
27-19
30-21
21-22
25-29
17-21
32-33
25-17
16-25
20-27
16-26
29-17
22-15
21-13
20-27
29-22
26-22
15-16
31-20
26-19
24-26
20-20
28-15
13-21
27-18
18-23
30-22
34-24
31-28
26-27
23-19
24-17
181.2Avg total
92.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.085.6174.5+3.462%
Season at home (10)86.484.1170.5+2.360%
Season away (11)91.386.9178.2+4.464%
Last 10 (10)92.089.2181.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)97.682.8180.4+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.793.2173.9-12.611%
vs Similar (14)84.879.7164.5+5.179%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.983.0175.9+9.971%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A24/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
107-122
107
122
-15
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
102-128
102
128
-26
H11/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
28-27
27-27
35-17
19-23
28-36
13-26
16-18
30-37
33-26
20-32
24-27
38-15
7-32
25-19
26-14
23-33
29-20
34-28
27-20
25-16
27-20
26-16
17-29
33-25
24-19
24-22
16-24
29-28
24-27
20-23
19-19
28-24
26-22
17-22
21-28
30-33
16-29
33-28
23-38
196.5Avg total
97.6Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)93.396.3189.6-3.045%
Season at home (10)94.192.6186.7+1.560%
Season away (10)92.6100.0192.6-7.430%
Last 10 (10)97.698.9196.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)95.698.4194.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)90.5102.6193.1-12.129%
vs Similar (10)92.591.2183.7+1.350%
vs Weaker (6)90.587.3177.8+3.250%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
KilsythWaverley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A15/07
NBL1 South
86.9Avg total
42.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.885.0-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.4-0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.244.788.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.086.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.687.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.446.686.0-7.111%-
vs Similar (14)43.141.584.6+1.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.040.484.4+3.671%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A24/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H11/07
NBL1 South
102.5Avg total
51.3Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.149.597.6-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.147.196.2+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)47.351.598.8-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)51.351.2102.5+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)52.448.6101.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)48.152.6100.7-4.621%-
vs Similar (10)49.947.397.2+2.670%-
vs Weaker (6)45.345.791.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kilsyth wins
3
Waverley wins
DateGameScore
21/06/25Waverley v Kilsyth95-81
18/05/24Waverley v Kilsyth87-82
04/06/23Waverley v Kilsyth93-90
16/07/22Kilsyth v Waverley100-89
17/04/21Kilsyth v Waverley69-68
02/06/19Waverley v Kilsyth68-101
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/25ARingwood104-91
11/07/25ACasey Cavaliers109-87
05/07/25ABallarat85-82
28/06/25HDandenong98-77
22/06/25HGeelong92-77
21/06/25AWaverley81-95
14/06/25HMt Gambier99-100
06/06/25HBendigo Braves97-81
31/05/25HKnox82-95
25/05/25HFrankston73-107
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/07/25HSandringham Sabres102-128
06/07/25ANunawading92-96
05/07/25AEltham92-97
28/06/25HHobart Chargers97-90
21/06/25HKilsyth95-81
14/06/25AFrankston113-101
09/06/25HDiamond Valley96-80
31/05/25ARingwood107-122
25/05/25HKnox76-103
24/05/25ADandenong106-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game89.086.491.3
Allowed / game85.684.186.9
Point differential+3.4+2.3+4.4
Avg total174.5170.5178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game93.394.192.6
Allowed / game96.392.6100.0
Point differential-3.0+1.5-7.4
Avg total189.7186.7192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2117481%91.783.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier2115671%96.183.1+13.0
3 Sandringham Sabres2013765%93.590.0+3.5
4 Kilsyth2113862%89.085.6+3.4
5 Melbourne Tigers2012860%86.580.7+5.8
6 Eltham2012860%89.586.2+3.3
7 Ballarat2012860%88.089.5-1.6
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers2011955%88.286.2+2.0
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Frankston2091145%93.190.2+2.9
12 Nunawading2091145%86.587.2-0.8
13 Waverley2091145%93.396.3-3.0
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Geelong2071335%83.088.8-5.8
16 Keilor Thunder2071335%82.588.4-6.0
17 Dandenong2171433%90.195.1-5.0
18 NW Tasmania2051525%85.791.5-5.8
19 Diamond Valley2051525%84.593.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Kilsyth103424181096
Waverley17182130995
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