Waverley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 87-82

17-23 24-22 25-23 21-14

Position#12

Record6-4

FormWLWWW

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game85.1

Waverley 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#16

Record3-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game90.7

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Waverley v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

#15

73-90

-17

A06/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

63-67

-4

H07/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

97-77

+20

A12/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

93-85

A13/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

93-94

-1

H20/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

95-83

+12

H27/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

101-107

101

107

-6

A28/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

90-82

H30/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

110-75

110

+35

H04/05

NBL1 South

Knox

98-91 OT

A11/05

NBL1 South

12-17

23-30

24-26

14-17

17-18

17-16

9-16

20-17

29-18

25-23

24-21

19-15

23-23

20-16

26-21

24-25

27-29

21-17

29-25

16-23

29-19

23-15

18-24

25-25

23-35

25-19

32-32

21-21

30-14

15-29

21-22

24-17

22-25

27-25

25-15

36-10

30-19

12-25

21-19

20-20

176.4Avg total

91.3Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.3	85.1	176.4	+6.2	60%
Season at home (5)	90.2	80.2	170.4	+10.0	60%
Season away (5)	92.4	90.0	182.4	+2.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	91.3	85.1	176.4	+6.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	98.8	87.6	186.4	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.3	85.3	165.7	-5.0	33%
vs Similar (9)	87.8	86.4	174.2	+1.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	92.9	84.1	177.0	+8.8	67%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#17

65-94

-29

A03/04

NBL1 South

Knox

83-109

109

-26

H06/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

108-81

108

+27

H11/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

73-112

112

-39

H13/04

NBL1 South

Eltham

59-99

-40

A20/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

74-94

-20

H27/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

90-100

100

-10

A04/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

83-69

+14

H05/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

87-69

+18

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

68-80

-12

H12/05

NBL1 South

18-25

15-30

14-25

18-14

20-27

27-26

14-24

22-32

28-28

22-19

27-16

31-18

19-32

22-24

19-24

13-32

11-24

17-29

20-20

11-26

14-24

29-17

14-27

17-26

27-27

16-24

16-22

31-27

28-14

17-17

20-23

18-15

26-20

24-12

18-12

19-25

16-22

19-20

19-17

14-21

169.7Avg total

79.0Scored

90.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	79.0	90.7	169.7	-11.7	30%
Season at home (6)	81.5	90.8	172.3	-9.3	33%
Season away (4)	75.2	90.5	165.8	-15.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	90.7	169.7	-11.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	82.4	162.8	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	84.4	91.1	175.6	-6.7	38%
vs Similar (9)	84.0	87.9	171.9	-3.9	33%
vs Weaker (5)	82.2	87.8	170.0	-5.6	20%

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WaverleyKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.9	44.4	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.5	43.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	22.4	49.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.4	22.3	42.8	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.6	22.7	46.2	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	22.5	46.9	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.8	23.4	45.1	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	20.4	46.2	+5.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.3	45.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.7	23.6	46.2	-0.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	23.1	45.1	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	25.7	46.9	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	23.3	44.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

#15

35-47

-12

A06/04

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

34-34

H07/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

54-41

+13

A12/04

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

43-39

A13/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

48-46

H20/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

52-34

+18

H27/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

48-54

-6

A28/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

45-43

H30/04

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

49-50

-1

H04/05

NBL1 South

Knox

42-44

-2

A11/05

NBL1 South

88.2Avg total

45.0Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	44.1	87.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	42.4	85.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.4	45.8	89.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	43.2	88.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	45.0	92.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.7	45.0	83.7	-6.3	11%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.0	43.2	88.2	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	45.5	44.1	89.6	+1.4	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ringwood

#17

33-55

-22

A03/04

NBL1 South

Knox

47-53

-6

H06/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

50-47

H11/04

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

41-56

-15

H13/04

NBL1 South

Eltham

28-53

-25

A20/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

43-41

H27/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

43-51

-8

A04/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

45-31

+14

H05/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

50-32

+18

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

35-42

-7

H12/05

NBL1 South

87.6Avg total

41.5Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	45.8	91.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	43.5	88.1	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	48.1	93.9	-2.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	46.1	87.6	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.4	82.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	44.2	46.4	90.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.2	46.1	91.3	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	47.8	43.6	91.4	+4.2	40%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	21.7	45.9	+2.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	25.4	20.8	46.2	+4.7	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	21.2	41.4	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.4	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.6	43.8	+6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	18.6	38.2	+1.1	56%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	23.1	42.9	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.6	43.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	23.5	43.6	-3.4	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	40.5	82.1	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.0	41.1	87.1	+4.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	41.1	85.9	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	41.0	89.6	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.8	43.2	86.0	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	47.4	40.0	87.4	+7.4	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	43.8	82.6	-5.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	41.9	81.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	45.6	83.7	-7.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	44.6	82.1	-7.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	43.0	80.2	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	40.2	44.8	84.9	-4.6	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.8	41.8	80.6	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.4	44.2	78.6	-9.8	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Waverley wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
04/06/23	Waverley v Kilsyth	93-90
16/07/22	Kilsyth v Waverley	100-89
17/04/21	Kilsyth v Waverley	69-68
02/06/19	Waverley v Kilsyth	68-101

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/05/24	A	Knox	98-91 OT
04/05/24	H	Bendigo Braves	110-75
30/04/24	H	Dandenong	90-82
28/04/24	A	Keilor Thunder	101-107
27/04/24	H	Ringwood	95-83
20/04/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	93-94
13/04/24	A	Hobart Chargers	93-85
12/04/24	A	NW Tasmania	97-77
07/04/24	H	Mt Gambier	63-67
06/04/24	A	Bendigo Braves	73-90

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/05/24	H	Ballarat	68-80
11/05/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	87-69
05/05/24	H	Geelong	83-69
04/05/24	A	Dandenong	90-100
27/04/24	H	Nunawading	74-94
20/04/24	A	Eltham	59-99
13/04/24	H	Sandringham Sabres	73-112
11/04/24	H	Keilor Thunder	108-81
06/04/24	H	Knox	83-109
03/04/24	A	Ringwood	65-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	60%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	LWWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Points / game	91.3	90.2	92.4
Allowed / game	85.1	80.2	90.0
Point differential	+6.2	+10.0	+2.4
Avg total	176.4	170.4	182.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Kilsyth

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	30%
Home	WLLWL	33%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Points / game	79.0	81.5	75.2
Allowed / game	90.7	90.8	90.5
Point differential	-11.7	-9.3	-15.2
Avg total	169.7	172.3	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	10	8	2	80%	90.2	82.5	+7.7
2	Ballarat	10	7	3	70%	94.2	83.2	+11.0
3	Keilor Thunder	11	7	4	64%	93.6	97.5	-3.8
4	Sandringham Sabres	10	6	4	60%	91.7	82.0	+9.7
5	Waverley	10	6	4	60%	91.3	85.1	+6.2
6	Hobart Chargers	10	6	4	60%	80.1	78.4	+1.7
7	Dandenong	12	7	5	58%	86.1	82.4	+3.7
8	Frankston	9	5	4	56%	90.8	83.9	+6.9
9	Knox	10	5	5	50%	94.0	85.9	+8.1
10	Eltham	10	5	5	50%	90.0	83.2	+6.8
11	Nunawading	10	5	5	50%	84.8	84.2	+0.6
12	Ringwood	13	6	7	46%	86.6	88.2	-1.5
13	Melbourne Tigers	11	5	6	45%	77.7	83.2	-5.5
14	Bendigo Braves	11	5	6	45%	80.2	86.7	-6.5
15	Geelong	10	4	6	40%	79.5	84.0	-4.5
16	NW Tasmania	10	4	6	40%	83.2	90.0	-6.8
17	Kilsyth	10	3	7	30%	79.0	90.7	-11.7
18	Diamond Valley	9	2	7	22%	83.4	96.9	-13.4
19	Casey Cavaliers	10	2	8	20%	78.7	86.6	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Waverley	17	24	25	21	87
Kilsyth	23	22	23	14	82

← all games of the day

Waverley vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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