PythiaBasketballBETA
KK Bosna will host Mega Basket on 15 November 2026 in the ABA League, and the Pythia model names Bosna as the clear favourite, rating them 75% to win largely because of their 4-2 record and an average of 90.5 points per game against 87.3 allowed, placing them seventh, while Mega Basket sits eighteenth with a 2-4 record and 82.3 points per game versus 92.7 allowed. Bosna's overall season shows a solid scoring edge, though their two home games have yielded only 83.5 points per game and 91.0 allowed, and they have lost both home contests; their last five games include a win over Cluj-Napoca 93-91 away and a loss to Manresa 82-86 away. Mega Basket's road performance is 71.7 points per game and 89.0 allowed, with a 1-2 record on the road, and their last five games feature a win over Vienna Basket 94-88 away but two home defeats to Dubai and Spartak Subotica. The teams have split their two prior meetings, the most recent being Bosna 94-83 on 18 January 2026. Pythia projects a 89-82 score, a total of 171.2 points, and a 42% chance that Bosna will cover the -10.0 line; the over on 172.25 has a 47% probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Bosna can translate their season scoring advantage into a decisive home win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 90.5 | 87.3 | 177.8 | +3.2 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 83.5 | 91.0 | 174.5 | -7.5 | 0% |
| Season away (4) | 94.0 | 85.5 | 179.5 | +8.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.3 | 86.8 | 173.1 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 83.2 | 166.6 | +0.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 77.6 | 87.8 | 165.4 | -10.2 | 15% |
| vs Similar (9) | 83.2 | 81.6 | 164.8 | +1.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 82.9 | 75.8 | 158.6 | +7.1 | 62% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 82.3 | 92.7 | 175.0 | -10.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 93.0 | 96.3 | 189.3 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 71.7 | 89.0 | 160.7 | -17.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.5 | 90.4 | 177.9 | -2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 94.6 | 181.6 | -7.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 81.2 | 93.8 | 174.9 | -12.6 | 23% |
| vs Similar (15) | 89.4 | 87.3 | 176.7 | +2.1 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 84.5 | 84.0 | 168.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 41.4 | 80.9 | -1.8 | 40% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.7 | 42.1 | 79.9 | -4.4 | 21% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.2 | 40.7 | 81.9 | +0.5 | 56% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.1 | 43.2 | 86.3 | -0.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 43.8 | 86.6 | -1.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 36.2 | 43.1 | 79.2 | -6.9 | 15% | 8% |
| vs Similar (9) | 42.7 | 41.6 | 84.2 | +1.1 | 44% | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 41.6 | 38.4 | 80.0 | +3.2 | 75% | 38% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 86.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.0 | 47.0 | 89.0 | -5.0 | 30% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 44.3 | 45.5 | 89.8 | -1.3 | 47% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 39.7 | 48.5 | 88.3 | -8.8 | 13% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.5 | 46.3 | 87.8 | -4.8 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 47.0 | 86.8 | -7.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 39.5 | 48.0 | 87.5 | -8.5 | 15% | 31% |
| vs Similar (15) | 44.5 | 46.3 | 90.8 | -1.7 | 40% | 80% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 39.0 | 46.5 | 85.5 | -7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Basket +14 | 71.5% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp |
| Mega Basket +16.5 | 77.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp |
| 2nd half: Mega Basket over 35.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp |
| KK Bosna under 100.5 | 85.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp |
| 1st half: Under 92.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp |
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Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 22.4 | 57.4% | 44.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.2 | 7.0 | 33.1% | 21.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.1 | 18.1 | 73.2% | 18.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.3 | 19.1 | 57.4% | 38.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.2 | 7.9 | 33.1% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.3 | 18.5 | 73.2% | 18.5 |
KK Bosna
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 | KK Bosna v Mega Basket | 94-83 |
| 12/10/25 | Mega Basket v KK Bosna | 106-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Manresa | 82-86 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Cluj-Napoca | 93-91 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Balkan | 69-78 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Vienna Basket | 88-81 |
| 27/10/26 | A | BC Roma | 85-80 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Dubai | 83-93 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Bahcesehir Kol. | 86-77 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Partizan | 84-89 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Ulm | 93-102 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Studentski Centar | 100-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Dubai | 87-98 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Spartak Subotica | 104-109 OT |
| 24/10/26 | A | Vienna Basket | 94-88 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Perspektiva Ilirija | 62-96 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Zadar | 88-82 |
| 05/10/26 | A | Partizan | 59-83 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Borac Mozzart | 98-89 |
| 20/04/26 | H | Split | 95-72 |
| 13/04/26 | A | Studentski Centar | 85-89 |
| 06/04/26 | H | KK Krka Novo mesto | 103-98 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 67% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 90.5 | 83.5 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.3 | 91.0 | 85.5 |
| Point differential | +3.2 | -7.5 | +8.5 |
| Avg total | 177.8 | 174.5 | 179.5 |
| Over 172.5 | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 33% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Points / game | 82.3 | 93.0 | 71.7 |
| Allowed / game | 92.7 | 96.3 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | -10.3 | -3.3 | -17.3 |
| Avg total | 175.0 | 189.3 | 160.7 |
| Over 172.5 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dubai | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 80.7 | +13.3 |
| 2 |  Partizan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 88.0 | 77.0 | +11.0 |
| 3 |  Crvena zvezda | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 93.2 | 83.5 | +9.7 |
| 4 |  Buducnost | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 89.4 | 81.9 | +7.6 |
| 5 |  Cedevita Olimpija | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.5 | 80.0 | +5.5 |
| 6 | KK Bosna | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.5 | 87.3 | +3.2 |
| 7 |  Siroki Brijeg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 85.9 | 85.0 | +0.9 |
| 8 |  Spartak Subotica | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.0 | 82.3 | +0.7 |
| 9 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.2 | 84.5 | -2.3 |
| 10 |  Borac Mozzart | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.7 | 90.2 | -5.5 |
| 11 |  Igokea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.9 | 85.6 | +0.3 |
| 12 |  Cluj-Napoca | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.7 | 86.3 | -0.6 |
| 13 |  Zadar | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 75.1 | 75.9 | -0.7 |
| 14 |  Cibona | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 88.1 | -2.1 |
| 15 |  Vienna Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 83.2 | -2.7 |
| 16 | Mega Basket | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.3 | 92.7 | -10.3 |
| 17 |  FMP Beograd | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.9 | 83.1 | -3.3 |
| 18 |  Perspektiva Ilirija | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 75.3 | 79.6 | -4.3 |
| 19 |  KK Krka Novo mesto | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.0 | 83.6 | -9.6 |
| 20 |  Studentski Centar | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 81.0 | 93.8 | -12.8 |
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