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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 88-82
19-20 23-16 18-24 28-22
Position#14
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game65.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2026
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A22/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H28/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A05/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
21-14
23-23
20-20
26-28
20-16
22-21
27-12
21-22
20-24
29-14
12-18
17-25
15-24
19-21
23-26
19-26
25-18
16-11
19-29
15-17
26-31
27-16
14-18
22-21
19-30
24-16
20-22
22-17
24-27
26-13
23-15
26-17
29-26
16-23
27-23
18-22
15-20
12-21
14-20
170.2Avg total
86.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)86.084.2170.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)88.086.2174.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.593.2171.7-14.78%
vs Similar (16)90.487.4177.8+3.162%
vs Weaker (2)84.584.0168.5+0.550%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H22/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
20-12
23-25
23-7
25-15
19-22
18-18
19-13
20-22
22-20
13-18
17-14
22-12
20-14
21-14
29-17
19-9
24-29
22-21
22-11
14-19
21-19
21-18
11-17
21-15
15-15
19-25
20-27
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
149.8Avg total
82.4Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.467.4149.8+15.070%
Last 5 (5)81.869.6151.4+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)67.071.6138.6-4.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.670.7156.3+14.978%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +5.6+5.6
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A22/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/10
ABA League
87.0Avg total
42.6Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.247.689.9-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.946.391.2-1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.549.088.5-9.513%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.487.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.849.187.8-10.38%-
vs Similar (16)45.246.791.9-1.444%-
vs Weaker (2)39.046.585.5-7.550%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H22/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/10
ABA League
76.2Avg total
41.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.776.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.135.378.3+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)37.536.173.6+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.576.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.477.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)33.137.470.6-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.535.177.6+7.383%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.2
54.3%
57.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.4
32.7%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.917.2
72.0%
72.7%17.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.3
56.2%
57.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.1
33.5%
32.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
72.7%14.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWLWLLWWW
Zadar
WWWLLWWLWW
#14
League position
#8
+3.6
Net rating
+18.4
94.1
Offensive rating
99.8
90.5
Defensive rating
81.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
33.5%
56.6%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 99.8Defence90.5 · 81.4Shooting52.1% · 53.1%3-point %32.7% · 33.5%Ball care17.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mega Basket wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Mega Basket v Zadar90-89
14/11/25Zadar v Mega Basket88-73
30/03/25Mega Basket v Zadar75-74
02/12/24Zadar v Mega Basket65-68
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/26APartizan59-83
26/04/26ABorac Mozzart98-89
20/04/26HSplit95-72
13/04/26AStudentski Centar85-89
06/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto103-98 OT
28/03/26HFMP Beograd79-84
22/03/26ASplit74-96
19/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto82-78
15/03/26HBorac Mozzart95-77
09/03/26HStudentski Centar90-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/26HStudentski Centar79-65
02/10/26ASkrljevo107-69
27/09/26HSamobor81-59
10/06/26HCibona75-82
07/06/26ACibona67-73
05/06/26ACibona87-70
02/06/26HCibona92-57
31/05/26HCibona72-74
25/05/26ADubrovnik81-68
22/05/26HDubrovnik83-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-24.0--24.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total144.0144.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan110100%83.059.0+24.0
2 Dubai110100%85.070.0+15.0
3 Zadar110100%79.065.0+14.0
4 KK Bosna220100%97.585.0+12.5
5 Cluj-Napoca110100%95.084.0+11.0
6 Siroki Brijeg220100%78.575.0+3.5
7 FMP Beograd110100%90.089.0+1.0
8 Cedevita Olimpija21150%79.073.0+6.0
9 Crvena zvezda21150%95.090.5+4.5
10 Borac Mozzart21150%87.585.0+2.5
11 Igokea21150%90.091.5-1.5
12 Buducnost21150%84.086.5-2.5
13 Spartak Subotica21150%80.585.5-5.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%72.077.0-5.0
15 Slovan Bratislava1010%89.097.0-8.0
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%73.083.5-10.5
17 Vienna Basket1010%84.095.0-11.0
18 Studentski Centar2020%78.089.5-11.5
19 Cibona1010%76.089.0-13.0
20 Mega Basket1010%59.083.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1923182888
Zadar2016242282
← all games of the day
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