PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· Glion Arena Kobe
The B League clash on 18 November 2026 pits Kobe against the Brave Thunders, with the model favouring Kobe and projecting a 60% chance of a home win; the projected score is 84-81 and the total is 165.8 points. Kobe, 4-11 overall, averages 80.0 points scored and 86.5 allowed, sits 22nd in the league, and at home they are 3-5, scoring 82.6 and conceding 86.8; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 87-70 victory over Yokohama away and a 90-87 home win over Nagasaki. The Brave Thunders, 4-12 overall, average 78.5 points scored and 84.7 allowed, rank 23rd, and on the road they are 3-3, scoring 82.5 and allowing 84.0; their last five games are all losses, with recent defeats to Shimane, Altiri Chiba, and Shiga. In head-to-head history the Brave Thunders have won all ten meetings, most recently 99-75 on 10 March 2018. The model assigns Kobe a 60% probability of winning and the Brave Thunders a 40% chance, with a 5% likelihood of overtime. The projected spread of 3 points favours Kobe, and the model estimates a 60% chance that Kobe will cover it. The game will be played at Kobe's venue, where they have struggled to maintain a winning rhythm.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 79.9 | 87.3 | 167.2 | -7.4 | 25% |
| Season at home (8) | 82.6 | 86.8 | 169.4 | -4.1 | 38% |
| Season away (8) | 77.2 | 87.9 | 165.1 | -10.6 | 12% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.0 | 89.1 | 170.1 | -8.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 89.2 | 172.0 | -6.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 83.6 | 90.0 | 173.6 | -6.4 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 80.5 | 77.9 | 158.5 | +2.6 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 84.1 | 78.9 | 163.0 | +5.3 | 71% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 79.2 | 83.9 | 163.1 | -4.8 | 29% |
| Season at home (11) | 77.4 | 83.9 | 161.3 | -6.5 | 18% |
| Season away (6) | 82.5 | 84.0 | 166.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.0 | 81.4 | 160.4 | -2.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.2 | 82.0 | 158.2 | -5.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 75.2 | 87.7 | 162.9 | -12.4 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 79.6 | 84.0 | 163.6 | -4.4 | 30% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 95.5 | 69.5 | 165.0 | +26.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.8 | 41.4 | 80.2 | -2.6 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.1 | 42.2 | 83.3 | -1.2 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 36.3 | 40.4 | 76.7 | -4.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.9 | 44.3 | 81.2 | -7.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 45.8 | 86.0 | -5.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 38.8 | 44.7 | 83.4 | -5.9 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 36.2 | 38.5 | 74.7 | -2.4 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 43.1 | 40.3 | 83.4 | +2.9 | 57% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.2 | 42.9 | 83.1 | -2.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.7 | 41.5 | 80.3 | -2.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.6 | 44.3 | 85.9 | -2.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.2 | 40.8 | 82.0 | +0.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 41.4 | 80.8 | -2.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (18) | 38.8 | 44.8 | 83.7 | -6.0 | 11% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 40.0 | 40.9 | 80.9 | -0.9 | 20% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 53.0 | 35.5 | 88.5 | +17.5 | 100% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.0 | 22.6 | 53.6% | 45.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.3 | 8.0 | 32.9% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 11.1 | 73.8% | 11.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.0 | 22.2 | 53.6% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.1 | 7.6 | 32.9% | 22.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.1 | 73.8% | 13.1 |
Kobe
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/03/18 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 99-75 |
| 09/03/18 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 96-89 |
| 25/04/15 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 92-83 |
| 24/04/15 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 94-89 |
| 08/03/15 | Kobe v Brave Thunders | 70-79 |
| 07/03/15 | Kobe v Brave Thunders | 76-94 |
| 02/03/14 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 88-72 |
| 01/03/14 | Brave Thunders v Kobe | 90-65 |
| 21/12/13 | Kobe v Brave Thunders | 75-98 |
| 20/12/13 | Kobe v Brave Thunders | 57-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 79-100 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 87-108 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Yokohama | 87-70 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Nagasaki | 90-87 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Nagasaki | 71-81 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Shinshu | 87-97 |
| 24/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 89-91 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Shiga | 80-92 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Sendai | 71-80 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 69-85 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Saga | 90-72 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Shimane | 74-95 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 76-85 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Shiga | 75-81 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Yokohama | 66-77 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Yokohama | 65-75 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 92-89 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Sendai | 82-93 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Osaka | 101-67 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Shimane | 69-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 25% |
| Home | LLLWL | 38% |
| Away | LLLWL | 12% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Win % | 25% | 38% | 12% |
| Points / game | 79.9 | 82.6 | 77.2 |
| Allowed / game | 87.3 | 86.8 | 87.9 |
| Point differential | -7.4 | -4.1 | -10.6 |
| Avg total | 167.2 | 169.4 | 165.1 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 50% (2) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 29% |
| Home | LLLLW | 18% |
| Away | WWLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 11 | 6 |
| Win % | 29% | 18% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.2 | 77.4 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.9 | 83.9 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | -4.8 | -6.5 | -1.5 |
| Avg total | 163.1 | 161.3 | 166.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 18 |  Shimane | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 | Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 | Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Akita | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 |
| 25 |  Saga | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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