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Kobe vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Projected 78-87
Projected total 164.5
Final 90-87
24-17 17-22 22-34 27-14
Position#22
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.0
Kobe 🏆
Japan
Vs
22%
78%
■ KOBE 22%■ NAGA 78%
Pythia win probability
Position#21
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game79.5
JapanB League· Glion Arena Kobe
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kobe v Nagasaki
01 Nov 2026
KOBE90
NAGA87
31 Oct 2026
KOBE71
NAGA81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Kobe host Nagasaki in the B League. Pythia makes Nagasaki the favourite at 78% and projects 78-87, about 164 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Kobe are 2-10 this season (78.0 scored, 86.0 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Nagasaki are 6-7 this season (76.2 scored, 79.5 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kobe winWon
22.4%fair 4.47
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
77.6%fair 1.29
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KobeJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobe
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
61avg 69
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 69
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 69
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 69
H10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 69
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 69
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#19
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 69
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 69
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
87-97
87
97
-10
76avg 69
A26/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
71-81
71
81
-10
56avg 69
H31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
26-20
19-23
16-27
16-15
14-30
10-16
32-22
19-22
24-29
18-18
33-17
20-27
12-17
26-15
19-25
13-19
13-20
26-23
17-23
17-23
9-16
16-28
29-13
26-18
17-22
14-23
23-29
21-22
16-25
28-27
24-17
19-24
17-25
24-24
27-24
19-11
19-22
19-25
14-23
165.8Avg total
78.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.086.0164.0-8.017%
Season at home (6)80.783.2163.8-2.533%
Season away (6)75.388.8164.2-13.50%
Last 10 (10)78.387.5165.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)79.688.2167.8-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.083.7164.7-2.730%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.280.1160.2+0.142%
vs Weaker (8)84.077.2161.2+6.875%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
66avg 83
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
85-69
85
69
+16
88avg 83
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
no box
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
44avg 83
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 83
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 83
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 83
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 83
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#22
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 83
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
160.3Avg total
81.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.279.5155.8-3.346%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (6)75.782.5158.2-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.478.9160.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)89.677.2166.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.085.5160.5-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.076.4154.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (17)87.675.7163.4+11.982%
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Over 163
Over 163
53.0%
Under 163
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168Actual: Over 168
Over 168
40.7%
Under 168
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173Actual: Over 173
Over 173
29.3%
Under 173
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kobe total 79.5Actual: Kobe over 79.5
Over 79.5
43.3%
Under 79.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 83.5Actual: Kobe over 83.5
Over 83.5
29.0%
Under 83.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kobe total 87.5Actual: Kobe over 87.5
Over 87.5
17.7%
Under 87.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 80.5Actual: Nagasaki over 80.5
Over 80.5
72.6%
Under 80.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 84.5Actual: Nagasaki over 84.5
Over 84.5
58.1%
Under 84.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagasaki total 88.5Actual: Nagasaki under 88.5
Over 88.5
42.2%
Under 88.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kobe -3Push
KOBE -3
16.0%
NAGA +3
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Kobe 0Actual: Kobe 0
KOBE 0
22.4%
NAGA 0
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.
Spread Kobe +3Actual: Kobe +3
KOBE +3
29.1%
NAGA -3
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
KOBE
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
KobeNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H08/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A19/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H24/10
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A26/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H31/10
B League
78.2Avg total
34.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.478.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.641.481.9-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.274.3-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.943.378.2-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.677.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.942.179.0-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.240.276.4-4.142%-
vs Weaker (8)42.138.480.5+3.862%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#18
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#22
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.938.679.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)41.639.581.2+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.139.677.8-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
vs Weaker (17)43.938.982.9+5.065%-
This opponent (Kobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.1
49.4%
53.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.5
27.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
73.8%11.6
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.9
52.5%
53.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.3
36.1%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.010.4
74.3%
73.8%10.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kobe
LLLLLLLWLL
Nagasaki
WWWLWLLLWW
#22
League position
#21
-10.2
Net rating
-0.4
86.9
Offensive rating
91.1
97.2
Defensive rating
91.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.1%
3-point %
36.1%
63.9%
Assist %
66.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 91.1Defence97.2 · 91.4Shooting46.1% · 53.3%3-point %27.1% · 36.1%Ball care13.9% · 16.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Kobe   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kobe wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Kobe v Nagasaki71-81
12/10/26Nagasaki v Kobe85-69
Kobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HNagasaki71-81
26/10/26AShinshu87-97
24/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-91
21/10/26AShiga80-92
19/10/26ASendai71-80
12/10/26ANagasaki69-85
10/10/26HSaga77-84
08/10/26HChiba94-86
04/10/26AHiroshima D.72-83
02/10/26AHiroshima D.73-96
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kobe
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game78.080.775.3
Allowed / game86.083.288.8
Point differential-8.0-2.5-13.5
Avg total164.0163.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game76.276.775.7
Allowed / game79.577.082.5
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.8
Avg total155.8153.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa97278%91.278.2+13.0
4 Alvark1310377%94.584.0+10.5
5 NeoPhoenix86275%86.280.0+6.2
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma128467%80.173.9+6.2
10 Ryukyu127558%85.081.1+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Levanga Hokkaido116555%95.294.5+0.6
13 Ibaraki Robots136746%83.378.4+4.9
14 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
15 Yokohama136746%79.284.5-5.2
16 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
17 Utsunomiya Brex125742%82.183.5-1.4
18 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
19 Brave Thunders124833%80.484.8-4.3
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga121118%76.294.8-18.7
26 Osaka121118%68.589.2-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kobe2417222790
Nagasaki1722341487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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