PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Korfez Basket vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-71
20-19 15-7 19-15 15-30
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game92.3
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 4· Sehit Polis Recep Topaloglu Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Korfez Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Korfez BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#48
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H15/09
Champions League
Promitheas
#16
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A17/09
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#4
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-20
23-29
25-9
25-21
21-30
26-18
21-25
21-26
22-15
21-11
24-27
18-25
26-20
11-23
29-17
28-16
12-18
28-17
10-33
26-20
14-18
19-31
32-21
17-18
22-20
17-10
18-17
167.9Avg total
85.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.784.7172.3+3.067%
Season at home (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)87.587.5175.0+0.050%
Last 10 (7)85.682.3167.9+3.357%
Last 5 (5)83.080.6163.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.082.0168.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.577.5160.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (2)85.589.0174.5-3.50%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
87-101
87
101
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
14-22
30-20
15-27
14-19
20-21
14-17
28-21
23-20
24-26
14-11
26-21
13-21
22-26
24-11
14-13
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
167.5Avg total
83.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.392.3177.7-7.033%
Season at home (2)84.588.0172.5-3.550%
Season away (1)87.0101.0188.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)83.783.8167.5-0.160%
Last 5 (5)85.484.8170.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.689.9171.5-8.38%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.090.3174.3-6.322%
vs Weaker (9)90.084.8174.8+5.289%
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Korfez BasketTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Korfez BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#48
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H15/09
Champions League
Promitheas
#16
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/09
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Kalev/Cramo
#26
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.3Avg total
42.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)42.141.183.3+1.071%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.740.081.7+1.7100%-
Last 30 away (4)42.542.084.5+0.550%-
Last 10 (7)42.141.183.3+1.071%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.543.086.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.538.077.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker (2)43.042.585.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bordo Bandirma
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
86.3Avg total
42.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.586.9-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.945.086.9-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)43.043.986.9-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.386.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.485.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.643.484.0-2.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.147.288.3-6.122%-
vs Weaker (9)46.143.289.3+2.978%-
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Korfez Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korfez Basket: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.3
52.0%
54.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.5%
35.7%24.4
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.4%
75.4%20.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.8
58.9%
54.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.5
27.9%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.219.2
76.2%
75.4%19.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Korfez Basket
WWLLWLW
Tofas
WLWLWWWWLL
#9
League position
#11
+3.4
Net rating
+1.1
97.5
Offensive rating
94.4
94.1
Defensive rating
93.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.5%
3-point %
27.9%
64.3%
Assist %
61.5%
57%
Form (last 7/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 94.4Defence94.1 · 93.2Shooting51.9% · 52.3%3-point %34.5% · 27.9%Ball care15.3% · 16.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.42Form (last 7/10)57% · 60%
■ Korfez Basket   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Korfez Basket wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HChalon/Saone74-65
10/10/26APetkim Spor91-90
07/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo78-84
04/10/26AFenerbahce84-85
28/09/26HEsenler Erokspor88-79
17/09/26APromitheas93-94
15/09/26HKolossos Rhodes91-79
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89
10/05/26HPetkim Spor73-71
03/05/26HKarsiyaka87-78
25/04/26ABahcesehir Kol.76-78
17/04/26HBesiktas84-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Korfez Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.788.087.5
Allowed / game84.779.087.5
Point differential+3.0+9.0+0.0
Avg total172.3167.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game85.384.587.0
Allowed / game92.388.0101.0
Point differential-7.0-3.5-14.0
Avg total177.7172.5188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.440100%91.080.2+10.8
2 Anadolu Efes330100%88.378.7+9.7
3 Turk Telekom43175%76.270.8+5.5
4 Korfez Basket32167%87.784.7+3.0
5 Esenler Erokspor32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Fenerbahce32167%89.389.0+0.3
7 Trabzonspor32167%82.082.0+0.0
8 Karsiyaka42250%81.878.8+3.0
9 Galatasaray31233%87.083.3+3.7
10 Denizli Basket31233%86.085.7+0.3
11 Petkim Spor31233%87.389.3-2.0
12 Tofas31233%85.392.3-7.0
13 Besiktas31233%78.088.0-10.0
14 Bordo Bandirma41325%81.881.0+0.8
15 Bursaspor41325%79.584.5-5.0
16 Cayirova4040%79.895.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Korfez Basket2015191569
Tofas197153071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.