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Koshigaya Alphas vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 88-81
22-18 20-27 24-9 22-27
Position#20
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.5
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane
05 Oct 2025
KOSH61
SHIM94
04 Oct 2025
KOSH74
SHIM86
20 Oct 2024
KOSH75
SHIM92
19 Oct 2024
KOSH88
SHIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
no box
H03/05
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
108-80
108
80
+28
no box
H04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
91avg 77
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 77
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
81avg 77
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 77
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
47avg 77
A05/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
68avg 77
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
58avg 77
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-87
59
87
-28
52avg 77
H13/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
28-25
22-13
22-16
30-17
28-13
21-24
29-26
22-25
27-16
21-29
14-14
17-19
22-14
16-16
20-23
21-26
25-18
17-21
16-14
25-27
22-25
19-19
21-18
15-16
7-15
18-20
17-24
19-24
18-28
14-22
21-17
15-24
10-19
15-21
25-23
16-14
14-25
11-20
18-28
164.7Avg total
80.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.285.0148.2-21.80%
Season at home (2)62.087.0149.0-25.00%
Season away (2)64.583.0147.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)80.784.0164.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)68.085.8153.8-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.484.4157.8-11.025%
vs Similar (6)77.384.7162.0-7.317%
vs Weaker (16)86.276.8163.0+9.469%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
85-100
85
100
-15
80avg 73
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
63-93
63
93
-30
44avg 73
A20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
55avg 73
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
40avg 73
H28/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 73
A04/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
67-74
67
74
-7
60avg 73
A05/05
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 73
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-63
75
63
+12
64avg 73
H06/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 73
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 73
H12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-26
17-30
25-23
11-23
14-26
21-20
17-24
21-23
17-17
19-13
10-18
16-15
15-13
14-13
6-24
12-20
19-29
17-29
25-14
12-21
20-20
22-16
13-17
22-20
18-12
20-13
27-11
8-19
22-13
23-18
22-13
19-6
13-18
19-19
20-19
27-21
16-21
25-22
17-13
147.7Avg total
72.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.564.5144.0+15.0100%
Season at home (4)79.564.5144.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.475.3147.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)77.066.4143.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.089.2169.2-9.225%
vs Similar (13)73.475.3148.7-1.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.177.3159.4+4.862%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Koshigaya AlphasShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H03/05
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H04/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A12/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/05
B2.League
Alvark
#4
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A06/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H13/10
B League
81.5Avg total
40.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.482.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.438.580.9+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)42.242.184.3+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.681.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.243.475.6-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.242.477.6-7.125%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.783.3+0.050%-
vs Weaker (16)46.138.985.0+7.162%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A20/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H28/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A04/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/05
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H06/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#23
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
B League
72.9Avg total
34.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.576.3-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.335.271.5+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.241.981.1-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.472.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.269.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.847.587.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (13)35.237.973.1-2.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.836.476.2+3.469%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
72.7%12.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.2
49.5%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.3
30.3%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.88.9
64.5%
72.7%8.9
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLLLLWWWW
Shimane
WWWWLLLLLL
#20
League position
#8
-12.5
Net rating
-3.3
97.4
Offensive rating
103.4
109.9
Defensive rating
106.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
14.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.9%
3-point %
30.3%
67.8%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 103.4Defence109.9 · 106.7Shooting48.8% · 47.8%3-point %32.9% · 30.3%Ball care20.0% · 14.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Shimane wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24HRyukyu59-87
12/10/24HRyukyu65-87
06/10/24AAlvark72-91
05/10/24AAlvark57-75
19/05/24AShiga87-89
18/05/24AShiga87-96 OT
12/05/24AAltiri Chiba75-72
11/05/24AAltiri Chiba97-93 OT
04/05/24HKumamoto108-80
03/05/24HKumamoto100-70
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HSendai85-77
11/10/24HSendai71-62
06/10/24HHokkaido75-63
05/10/24HHokkaido87-56
05/05/24AOsaka67-74
04/05/24AOsaka73-92
28/04/24HHiroshima D.51-65
27/04/24HHiroshima D.67-71
20/04/24ADiamond Dolphins63-93
19/04/24ADiamond Dolphins85-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.262.064.5
Allowed / game85.087.083.0
Point differential-21.8-25.0-18.5
Avg total148.2149.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.579.5-
Allowed / game64.564.5-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total144.0144.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%85.068.8+16.2
2 Shimane440100%79.564.5+15.0
3 Alvark440100%83.569.2+14.2
4 Chiba54180%85.475.4+10.0
5 Saga54180%73.269.4+3.8
6 Diamond Dolphins43175%82.072.5+9.5
7 Nagasaki43175%69.063.8+5.2
8 NeoPhoenix43175%84.079.2+4.8
9 Ryukyu53260%85.876.6+9.2
10 Kyoto53260%76.472.6+3.8
11 Yokohama53260%76.878.2-1.4
12 Gunma42250%76.870.2+6.5
13 Utsunomiya Brex42250%82.281.5+0.8
14 SeaHorses Mikawa42250%73.072.5+0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya42250%67.269.2-2.0
16 Akita52340%74.272.4+1.8
17 Ibaraki Robots41325%68.078.2-10.2
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41325%66.079.5-13.5
19 Shiga51420%79.287.8-8.6
20 Brave Thunders51420%75.685.0-9.4
21 Sendai4040%70.576.2-5.8
22 Hokkaido4040%62.077.2-15.2
23 Hiroshima D.4040%67.283.0-15.8
24 Koshigaya Alphas4040%63.285.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2220242288
Shimane182792781
← all games of the day
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