PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Koshigaya Alphas vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 74-86
21-25 29-20 11-25 13-16
Position#19
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane
05 Oct 2025
KOSH61
SHIM94
04 Oct 2025
KOSH74
SHIM86
20 Oct 2024
KOSH75
SHIM92
19 Oct 2024
KOSH88
SHIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-87
74
87
-13
72avg 70
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
64-90
64
90
-26
59avg 70
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
58-90
58
90
-32
59avg 70
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 70
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
63avg 70
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 70
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
50avg 70
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
69avg 70
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 70
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 70
A04/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-26
22-27
11-17
20-29
17-20
18-18
9-23
8-22
22-22
14-28
14-18
24-19
24-9
19-26
21-27
19-26
15-20
16-20
14-16
13-11
18-17
25-23
19-23
4-30
12-18
14-4
20-8
21-14
8-9
20-19
16-23
14-24
16-20
14-31
18-16
20-23
7-21
24-21
18-18
149.1Avg total
67.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.981.2149.1-13.330%
Last 5 (5)66.276.4142.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.880.4149.2-11.613%
vs Similar (13)75.578.2153.7-2.654%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 75
A16/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 75
A18/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
80avg 75
A19/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 75
H23/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
81avg 75
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 75
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
94-91
94
91
+3
96avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 75
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
62avg 75
A10/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
17-15
17-24
17-19
10-18
21-25
15-17
15-20
17-22
19-22
20-11
26-11
20-12
11-19
23-17
10-26
22-32
21-22
19-22
20-21
25-19
20-15
15-10
17-24
29-17
31-24
16-19
18-31
14-21
21-26
23-17
11-24
19-16
22-22
13-22
17-19
18-25
27-21
5-20
20-22
156.4Avg total
75.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.481.0156.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.282.8159.0-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.483.2160.6-5.840%
vs Similar (5)76.269.8146.0+6.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.076.5155.4+2.565%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.6-4.6
Koshigaya AlphasShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
16-48
16
48
-32
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/05
B League
72.0Avg total
32.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.940.376.2-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.239.075.2-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)35.841.377.1-5.524%-
Last 10 (10)32.339.772.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.637.464.0-10.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.540.574.9-6.027%-
vs Similar (13)36.840.677.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A16/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A19/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/05
B League
83.1Avg total
41.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.978.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.237.278.3+4.067%-
Last 30 away (18)40.938.479.3+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.483.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.286.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.841.084.8+2.860%-
vs Similar (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.438.178.5+2.355%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
33.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.011.4
76.0%
73.1%11.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.2
30.1%
33.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.8%
73.1%13.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWLWLWLLL
Shimane
LLLWWLLWLW
#19
League position
#14
-19.2
Net rating
-5.1
97.1
Offensive rating
104.2
116.3
Defensive rating
109.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.4%
3-point %
30.1%
68.9%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 104.2Defence116.3 · 109.3Shooting48.0% · 48.3%3-point %29.4% · 30.1%Ball care21.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane75-92
19/10/24Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-83
03/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex62-91
27/04/25HIbaraki Robots75-74 OT
26/04/25HIbaraki Robots50-60
23/04/25HHokkaido75-74
20/04/25HSendai64-82
19/04/25HSendai88-81
16/04/25AGunma58-90
13/04/25ADiamond Dolphins64-90
12/04/25ADiamond Dolphins74-87
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ARyukyu70-88
09/05/25ARyukyu71-79
04/05/25AHiroshima D.69-88
03/05/25AHiroshima D.94-91
27/04/25HRyukyu77-68
26/04/25HRyukyu82-97
23/04/25HKyoto64-74
19/04/25ASaga82-66
18/04/25ASaga61-80
16/04/25AHiroshima D.84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex110100%81.056.0+25.0
2 Saga110100%92.068.0+24.0
3 NeoPhoenix110100%95.085.0+10.0
4 Osaka1010%85.095.0-10.0
5 Shiga1010%68.092.0-24.0
6 Alvark1010%56.081.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2129111374
Shimane2520251686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.