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Koshigaya Alphas vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 61-94
15-19 14-22 12-29 20-24
Position#19
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane
05 Oct 2025
KOSH61
SHIM94
04 Oct 2025
KOSH74
SHIM86
20 Oct 2024
KOSH75
SHIM92
19 Oct 2024
KOSH88
SHIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
64-90
64
90
-26
59avg 69
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
58-90
58
90
-32
59avg 69
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 69
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
63avg 69
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 69
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
50avg 69
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
69avg 69
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 69
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 69
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 69
H04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
17-20
18-18
9-23
8-22
22-22
14-28
14-18
24-19
24-9
19-26
21-27
19-26
15-20
16-20
14-16
13-11
18-17
25-23
19-23
4-30
12-18
14-4
20-8
21-14
8-9
20-19
16-23
14-24
16-20
14-31
18-16
20-23
7-21
24-21
18-18
21-25
29-20
11-25
13-16
149.0Avg total
67.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.981.1149.0-13.230%
Last 5 (5)66.078.8144.8-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.180.8149.9-11.612%
vs Similar (12)75.078.5153.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 75
A18/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
82-66
82
66
+16
80avg 75
A19/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 75
H23/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
81avg 75
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 75
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
94-91
94
91
+3
96avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 75
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
62avg 75
A10/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
86-74
86
74
+12
88avg 75
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
21-25
15-17
15-20
17-22
19-22
20-11
26-11
20-12
11-19
23-17
10-26
22-32
21-22
19-22
20-21
25-19
20-15
15-10
17-24
29-17
31-24
16-19
18-31
14-21
21-26
23-17
11-24
19-16
22-22
13-22
17-19
18-25
27-21
5-20
20-22
25-21
20-29
25-11
16-13
156.1Avg total
75.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.680.5156.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)78.084.0162.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.483.2160.6-5.840%
vs Similar (5)76.269.8146.0+6.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.876.7155.5+2.165%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
Koshigaya AlphasShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
16-48
16
48
-32
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H04/10
B League
73.1Avg total
33.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.476.6-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.139.476.6-2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.276.6-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.973.1-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.871.2-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.440.876.2-5.331%-
vs Similar (12)36.440.576.9-4.142%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A19/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/05
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A04/10
B League
84.0Avg total
41.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.579.7+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.337.678.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (19)41.139.180.2+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.884.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.841.084.8+2.860%-
vs Similar (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.639.079.7+1.650%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.3
50.1%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.310.2
76.7%
73.1%10.2
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.0
29.9%
33.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
73.1%13.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWLWLWLL
Shimane
WLLLWWLLWL
#19
League position
#14
-18.4
Net rating
-6.4
96.9
Offensive rating
104.2
115.4
Defensive rating
110.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.2%
3-point %
29.9%
65.7%
Assist %
73.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 104.2Defence115.4 · 110.6Shooting48.1% · 48.3%3-point %30.2% · 29.9%Ball care21.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
2
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane74-86
20/10/24Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane75-92
19/10/24Koshigaya Alphas v Shimane88-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HShimane74-86
04/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-83
03/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex62-91
27/04/25HIbaraki Robots75-74 OT
26/04/25HIbaraki Robots50-60
23/04/25HHokkaido75-74
20/04/25HSendai64-82
19/04/25HSendai88-81
16/04/25AGunma58-90
13/04/25ADiamond Dolphins64-90
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AKoshigaya Alphas86-74
10/05/25ARyukyu70-88
09/05/25ARyukyu71-79
04/05/25AHiroshima D.69-88
03/05/25AHiroshima D.94-91
27/04/25HRyukyu77-68
26/04/25HRyukyu82-97
23/04/25HKyoto64-74
19/04/25ASaga82-66
18/04/25ASaga61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-12.0-12.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Shimane
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex110100%81.056.0+25.0
2 Gunma110100%75.058.0+17.0
3 Saga220100%94.579.5+15.0
4 Shimane110100%86.074.0+12.0
5 Sendai220100%78.069.0+9.0
6 Hiroshima D.110100%91.083.0+8.0
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya110100%76.069.0+7.0
8 Altiri Chiba110100%97.094.0+3.0
9 Chiba110100%82.079.0+3.0
10 Yokohama110100%77.075.0+2.0
11 Diamond Dolphins21150%72.568.5+4.0
12 Osaka21150%85.082.0+3.0
13 Kyoto21150%92.590.5+2.0
14 Toyama21150%90.592.5-2.0
15 NeoPhoenix21150%82.085.0-3.0
16 Hokkaido21150%68.572.5-4.0
17 Ryukyu1010%75.077.0-2.0
18 Nagasaki1010%94.097.0-3.0
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1010%79.082.0-3.0
20 Akita1010%69.076.0-7.0
21 Brave Thunders1010%83.091.0-8.0
22 Ibaraki Robots2020%69.078.0-9.0
23 Koshigaya Alphas1010%74.086.0-12.0
24 Shiga2020%79.594.5-15.0
25 SeaHorses Mikawa1010%58.075.0-17.0
26 Alvark1010%56.081.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1514122061
Shimane1922292494
← all games of the day
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