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Krosno vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 81-82
19-19 18-19 23-25 21-19
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game95.0
Krosno
Poland
vs
Lublin 🏆
Poland
Position#13
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game90.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 3· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2025-26
Meetings · Krosno v Lublin
11 Oct 2025
KROS81
LUB82
14 Oct 2018
KROS73
LUB87
07 Jan 2018
KROS69
LUB71
22 Oct 2016
KROS87
LUB74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 82
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
93-74
93
74
+19
89avg 82
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 82
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 82
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
70avg 82
H10/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 82
H11/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 82
A17/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 82
A18/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
89-80
89
80
+9
94avg 82
H24/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
75avg 82
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
18-22
17-15
18-11
19-24
22-17
29-19
23-14
24-23
25-22
19-11
20-17
26-21
14-19
20-24
20-14
24-24
28-20
15-27
19-23
30-14
17-27
19-17
20-26
21-24
19-21
19-15
14-12
19-21
27-23
13-18
18-25
22-16
15-23
30-20
22-21
18-23
20-25
15-24
27-23
163.3Avg total
82.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.095.0175.0-15.00%
Season at home (1)80.095.0175.0-15.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.780.6163.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)81.083.6164.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.095.0175.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.482.1164.5+0.262%
vs Weaker (21)86.674.6161.2+12.086%
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
73avg 78
H11/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 78
A14/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 78
A16/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
97-82
97
82
+15
94avg 78
H18/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 78
A20/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 78
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#7
L
84-100
84
100
-16
82avg 78
A20/09
Champions League
Gornik Walbrzych
#3
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 78
H27/09
Super Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 78
A28/09
Super Cup
Legia
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 78
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
15-34
23-15
16-15
27-29
29-23
17-17
13-21
26-16
23-19
11-24
17-12
20-19
32-25
26-13
19-25
27-19
20-28
15-21
21-19
18-23
19-19
24-22
21-28
17-27
25-21
21-28
21-24
20-22
22-15
23-12
15-17
18-25
14-21
27-11
23-20
19-26
13-19
15-25
21-20
165.6Avg total
81.7Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)81.783.9165.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)79.285.0164.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.586.1163.6-8.650%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.583.4168.9+2.156%
vs Weaker (4)90.083.8173.8+6.275%
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
KrosnoLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H11/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/05
1 Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
86.0Avg total
43.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.283.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.740.184.8+4.661%-
Last 30 away (12)41.240.381.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.485.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.942.986.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)43.438.882.2+4.662%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H11/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A14/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A16/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H18/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/06
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/09
Champions League
Gornik Walbrzych
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/09
Super Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/09
Super Cup
Legia
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
87.8Avg total
42.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.287.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.243.087.2+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)43.543.486.9+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.680.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.043.082.0-4.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)46.442.889.2+3.662%-
vs Weaker (4)44.045.589.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.1
56.5%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
72.7%11.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
54.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.7
36.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
72.7%14.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LWLWWLWWWW
Lublin
LWWLLLWWLL
#16
League position
#13
+2.9
Net rating
-3.8
114.6
Offensive rating
110.4
111.7
Defensive rating
114.2
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.4%
3-point %
36.2%
64.7%
Assist %
60.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 110.4Defence111.7 · 114.2Shooting56.3% · 52.5%3-point %37.4% · 36.2%Ball care18.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds33.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Krosno   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Krosno wins
5
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
26/01/19Lublin v Krosno83-75
14/10/18Krosno v Lublin73-87
22/04/18Lublin v Krosno75-62
07/01/18Krosno v Lublin69-71
04/02/17Lublin v Krosno68-63
22/10/16Krosno v Lublin87-74
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HDziki Warszawa80-95
24/05/25HBydgoszcz89-80
18/05/25ABydgoszcz77-87
17/05/25ABydgoszcz73-72
11/05/25HBydgoszcz86-84
10/05/25HBydgoszcz86-94
03/05/25AWKK Wroclaw80-78
27/04/25HWKK Wroclaw88-73
26/04/25HWKK Wroclaw93-74
16/04/25AInowroclaw75-69
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25ALegia68-90
28/09/25ATrefl Sopot82-77
27/09/25HGornik Walbrzych80-66
20/09/25AMurcia84-100
22/06/25HLegia82-92
20/06/25ALegia83-87
18/06/25HLegia97-82
16/06/25ALegia77-71
14/06/25ALegia86-90
11/06/25HLegia78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential-15.0-15.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Legia110100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Dziki Warszawa110100%95.080.0+15.0
3 Dabrowa Gornicza220100%87.074.0+13.0
4 Trefl Sopot110100%93.081.0+12.0
5 Szczecin110100%77.068.0+9.0
6 Gdynia220100%99.090.5+8.5
7 Gornik Walbrzych110100%86.079.0+7.0
8 Anwil Wloclawek21150%95.583.0+12.5
9 Zielona Gora1010%79.086.0-7.0
10 Torun1010%68.077.0-9.0
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski2020%80.090.5-10.5
12 Czarni Slupsk1010%71.083.0-12.0
13 Slask Wroclaw1010%81.093.0-12.0
14 Krosno1010%80.095.0-15.0
15 Lublin1010%68.090.0-22.0
16 GTK Gliwice1010%58.093.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno1918232181
Lublin1919251982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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