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Krosno vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-84
30-14 17-27 19-17 20-26
Position#1
Record32-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game78.3
Krosno 🏆
Poland
vs
Bydgoszcz
Poland
Position#2
Record32-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game77.1
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Final· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2024-25
Meetings · Krosno v Bydgoszcz
24 May 2025
KROS89
BYDG80
11 May 2025
KROS86
BYDG84
10 May 2025
KROS86
BYDG94
23 Oct 2024
KROS86
BYDG91
28 Oct 2023
KROS73
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
82avg 82
A26/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
96-90
96
90
+6
98avg 82
H29/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 82
A05/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
77-52
77
52
+25
72avg 82
H12/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
92-66
92
66
+26
91avg 82
H13/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 82
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
93-74
93
74
+19
89avg 82
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 82
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 82
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
70avg 82
H10/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
27-18
17-19
25-25
31-22
20-24
16-21
29-23
18-19
29-19
19-13
19-17
21-16
25-10
16-13
15-13
20-21
24-15
25-12
23-18
22-21
18-22
17-15
18-11
19-24
22-17
29-19
23-14
24-23
25-22
19-11
20-17
26-21
14-19
20-24
20-14
24-24
28-20
15-27
19-23
160.3Avg total
86.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)85.778.3164.0+7.478%
Season at home (22)90.079.6169.6+10.477%
Season away (19)80.776.8157.5+3.979%
Last 10 (10)86.074.3160.3+11.790%
Last 5 (5)84.477.6162.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.583.5167.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (26)86.576.3162.8+10.288%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
95-63
95
63
+32
93avg 80
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 80
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
114-78
114
78
+36
116avg 80
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 80
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 80
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
65avg 80
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 80
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
99-63
99
63
+36
98avg 80
A04/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
87avg 80
H07/05
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
94-86
94
86
+8
100avg 80
A10/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
24-17
26-16
18-16
30-17
28-17
22-22
18-21
31-29
27-19
31-13
25-17
21-31
30-19
24-21
32-24
17-18
14-28
19-12
12-18
28-7
17-20
12-28
16-20
16-17
20-15
20-17
20-12
20-20
33-18
19-13
27-12
16-24
19-23
23-19
23-15
24-24
20-28
27-15
23-19
167.2Avg total
90.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)85.477.1162.5+8.374%
Season at home (22)86.078.1164.2+7.973%
Season away (21)84.776.1160.8+8.676%
Last 10 (10)90.976.3167.2+14.680%
Last 5 (5)86.674.8161.4+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.875.8154.5+3.075%
vs Weaker (26)88.077.8165.8+10.273%
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
KrosnoBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A05/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H12/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H10/05
1 Liga
85.0Avg total
45.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.982.6+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.639.384.9+6.465%-
Last 30 away (13)41.338.379.6+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.485.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.243.588.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (26)43.538.281.7+5.462%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A04/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A10/05
1 Liga
86.7Avg total
46.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.185.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.941.987.8+4.071%-
Last 30 away (13)43.340.083.3+3.354%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.586.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.242.082.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker (26)45.540.986.4+4.569%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.1
53.0%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.8
37.8%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
70.2%14.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.1
58.3%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.9
36.5%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.115.4
66.7%
70.2%15.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
LWWWWWWWWW
Bydgoszcz
WWWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+16.6
Net rating
+19.1
117.6
Offensive rating
119.0
101.0
Defensive rating
99.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.8%
3-point %
36.5%
65.7%
Assist %
73.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 119.0Defence101.0 · 99.9Shooting54.5% · 56.7%3-point %37.8% · 36.5%Ball care14.8% · 13.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Krosno   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Krosno wins
3
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
10/05/25Krosno v Bydgoszcz86-94
31/01/25Bydgoszcz v Krosno85-73
23/10/24Krosno v Bydgoszcz86-91
10/02/24Bydgoszcz v Krosno61-69
28/10/23Krosno v Bydgoszcz73-70
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HBydgoszcz86-94
03/05/25AWKK Wroclaw80-78
27/04/25HWKK Wroclaw88-73
26/04/25HWKK Wroclaw93-74
16/04/25AInowroclaw75-69
13/04/25HInowroclaw92-66
12/04/25HInowroclaw77-52
05/04/25AInowroclaw85-68
29/03/25HHydroTruck Radom96-90
26/03/25AWKK Wroclaw88-79
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25AKrosno94-86
07/05/25HLancut91-89 OT
04/05/25ALancut99-63
03/05/25ALancut76-61
27/04/25HLancut73-75
26/04/25HLancut62-76
16/04/25APelplin107-95
13/04/25HPelplin114-78
12/04/25HPelplin98-77
05/04/25HStarogard Gdanski95-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayLWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %78%77%79%
Points / game85.790.080.7
Allowed / game78.379.676.8
Point differential+7.4+10.4+3.9
Avg total164.0169.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%55%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayLWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %74%73%76%
Points / game85.486.084.7
Allowed / game77.178.176.1
Point differential+8.3+7.9+8.6
Avg total162.5164.2160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%41%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno4132978%85.778.3+7.4
2 Bydgoszcz43321174%85.477.1+8.3
3 Lancut45271860%83.580.9+2.6
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg39211854%81.076.0+5.0
5 GKS Tychy39211854%81.678.4+3.2
6 WKK Wroclaw43232053%82.382.2+0.0
7 Pelplin37191851%83.384.1-0.8
8 LKS Lodz34171750%85.385.5-0.2
9 Inowroclaw37181949%78.280.8-2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski34161847%81.581.2+0.3
11 Polonia Warszawa34161847%81.180.8+0.2
12 Poznan34161847%82.782.6+0.0
13 Poli. Opolska34142041%82.184.3-2.2
14 Slask Wroclaw II34142041%76.379.6-3.3
15 MKKS Koszalin34142041%81.184.6-3.6
16 R. Rzeszow34142041%79.286.2-7.0
17 HydroTruck Radom34102429%76.782.4-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II3482624%82.689.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno3017192086
Bydgoszcz1427172684
← all games of the day
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