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Krosno vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-94
24-24 28-20 15-27 19-23
Position#1
Record32-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#2
Record31-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game76.9
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Final· Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa
Other2024-25
Meetings · Krosno v Bydgoszcz
24 May 2025
KROS89
BYDG80
11 May 2025
KROS86
BYDG84
10 May 2025
KROS86
BYDG94
23 Oct 2024
KROS86
BYDG91
28 Oct 2023
KROS73
BYDG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Krosno winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KrosnoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKrosno
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 82
H16/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
82avg 82
A26/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
96-90
96
90
+6
98avg 82
H29/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
76avg 82
A05/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
77-52
77
52
+25
72avg 82
H12/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
92-66
92
66
+26
91avg 82
H13/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 82
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
93-74
93
74
+19
89avg 82
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 82
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 82
A03/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-28
31-21
25-12
19-17
27-18
17-19
25-25
31-22
20-24
16-21
29-23
18-19
29-19
19-13
19-17
21-16
25-10
16-13
15-13
20-21
24-15
25-12
23-18
22-21
18-22
17-15
18-11
19-24
22-17
29-19
23-14
24-23
25-22
19-11
20-17
26-21
14-19
20-24
20-14
160.3Avg total
87.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.777.9163.6+7.880%
Season at home (21)90.278.9169.1+11.381%
Season away (19)80.776.8157.5+3.979%
Last 10 (10)87.373.0160.3+14.3100%
Last 5 (5)85.672.0157.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.780.0162.7+2.767%
vs Weaker (27)86.976.5163.4+10.489%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 80
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
95-63
95
63
+32
93avg 80
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 80
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
114-78
114
78
+36
116avg 80
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 80
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 80
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
65avg 80
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 80
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
99-63
99
63
+36
98avg 80
A04/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
87avg 80
H07/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
17-20
16-15
12-14
27-14
24-17
26-16
18-16
30-17
28-17
22-22
18-21
31-29
27-19
31-13
25-17
21-31
30-19
24-21
32-24
17-18
14-28
19-12
12-18
28-7
17-20
12-28
16-20
16-17
20-15
20-17
20-12
20-20
33-18
19-13
27-12
16-24
19-23
23-19
23-15
163.8Avg total
89.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)85.276.9162.1+8.374%
Season at home (22)86.078.1164.2+7.973%
Season away (20)84.275.6159.8+8.775%
Last 10 (10)89.174.7163.8+14.480%
Last 5 (5)80.272.8153.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.772.3146.0+1.367%
vs Weaker (27)88.077.7165.7+10.374%
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
KrosnoBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KrosnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H16/03
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A05/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H12/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/04
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H27/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/05
1 Liga
84.5Avg total
44.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.738.982.7+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.639.485.0+6.265%-
Last 30 away (13)41.338.379.6+3.054%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.884.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.043.386.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (27)43.838.482.3+5.463%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A04/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/05
1 Liga
86.0Avg total
46.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.585.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.641.587.1+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)43.239.082.2+4.258%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.486.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.038.777.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker (27)45.340.786.0+4.670%-
This opponent (Krosno) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Krosnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Krosno: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
51.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.4
40.6%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
70.2%14.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.8
55.6%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.8
35.6%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.314.5
65.0%
70.2%14.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Krosno
WWWWWWWWWW
Bydgoszcz
WWWLLWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+20.5
Net rating
+19.2
119.8
Offensive rating
117.2
99.3
Defensive rating
98.0
56.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.6%
3-point %
35.6%
66.6%
Assist %
72.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 117.2Defence99.3 · 98.0Shooting56.3% · 54.7%3-point %40.6% · 35.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Krosno   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Krosno wins
2
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
31/01/25Bydgoszcz v Krosno85-73
23/10/24Krosno v Bydgoszcz86-91
10/02/24Bydgoszcz v Krosno61-69
28/10/23Krosno v Bydgoszcz73-70
Krosnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AWKK Wroclaw80-78
27/04/25HWKK Wroclaw88-73
26/04/25HWKK Wroclaw93-74
16/04/25AInowroclaw75-69
13/04/25HInowroclaw92-66
12/04/25HInowroclaw77-52
05/04/25AInowroclaw85-68
29/03/25HHydroTruck Radom96-90
26/03/25AWKK Wroclaw88-79
16/03/25HPoli. Opolska99-81
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HLancut91-89 OT
04/05/25ALancut99-63
03/05/25ALancut76-61
27/04/25HLancut73-75
26/04/25HLancut62-76
16/04/25APelplin107-95
13/04/25HPelplin114-78
12/04/25HPelplin98-77
05/04/25HStarogard Gdanski95-63
30/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Krosno
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %80%81%79%
Points / game85.790.280.7
Allowed / game77.978.976.8
Point differential+7.8+11.3+3.9
Avg total163.6169.1157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW74%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game85.286.084.2
Allowed / game76.978.175.6
Point differential+8.3+7.9+8.7
Avg total162.1164.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%41%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno4032880%85.777.9+7.8
2 Bydgoszcz42311174%85.276.9+8.3
3 Lancut45271860%83.580.9+2.6
4 Kotwica Kolobrzeg39211854%81.076.0+5.0
5 GKS Tychy39211854%81.678.4+3.2
6 WKK Wroclaw43232053%82.382.2+0.0
7 Pelplin37191851%83.384.1-0.8
8 LKS Lodz34171750%85.385.5-0.2
9 Inowroclaw37181949%78.280.8-2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski34161847%81.581.2+0.3
11 Polonia Warszawa34161847%81.180.8+0.2
12 Poznan34161847%82.782.6+0.0
13 Poli. Opolska34142041%82.184.3-2.2
14 Slask Wroclaw II34142041%76.379.6-3.3
15 MKKS Koszalin34142041%81.184.6-3.6
16 R. Rzeszow34142041%79.286.2-7.0
17 HydroTruck Radom34102429%76.782.4-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II3482624%82.689.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Krosno2428151986
Bydgoszcz2420272394
← all games of the day
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