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KTP Kotka Basket vs Honka Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.8
KTP Kotka Basket
Finland
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Honka
Finland
Position#3
Record7-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game100.4
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Honka
15 Jan 2027
KTP v HON
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
KTP 105
HON119
06 Mar 2026
KTP 89
HON68
21 Oct 2025
KTP 97
HON81
26 Feb 2025
KTP 87
HON67
03 Dec 2024
KTP 92
HON96
20 Jan 2023
KTP 91
HON78
25 Mar 2015
KTP 92
HON96
17 Oct 2014
KTP 73
HON74
03 Mar 2014
KTP 98
HON73
15 Nov 2013
KTP 81
HON65
02 Mar 2011
KTP 81
HON73
03 Nov 2010
KTP 112
HON91
03 Feb 2010
KTP 95
HON84
28 Oct 2009
KTP 88
HON73
20 Apr 2009
KTP 64
HON89
27 Mar 2009
KTP 63
HON85
27 Dec 2008
KTP 76
HON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Honka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.285.8178.0+6.473%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (6)89.288.8178.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
91avg 82
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
88avg 82
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 82
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
92avg 82
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 82
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
94-96
94
96
-2
85avg 82
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
119-105
119
105
+14
119avg 82
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
94-91
94
91
+3
no box
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
78-119
78
119
-41
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
90-108
90
108
-18
no box
H13/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
34-18
21-30
18-25
23-19
25-22
17-25
20-19
22-29
30-20
28-20
28-30
16-24
30-22
26-21
28-19
28-35
24-27
19-25
29-22
27-28
21-23
22-25
24-20
39-25
30-23
26-24
24-33
28-25
21-31
22-23
23-12
18-44
15-25
32-29
13-21
22-30
24-23
20-25
24-30
197.9Avg total
97.9Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.7100.4199.1-1.664%
Season at home (6)95.794.7190.3+1.067%
Season away (5)102.4107.2209.6-4.860%
Last 10 (10)97.9100.0197.9-2.160%
Last 5 (5)95.0103.8198.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)94.697.5192.2-2.936%
vs Similar (17)87.093.8180.8-6.841%
vs Weaker (2)95.097.0192.0-2.050%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
KTP Kotka BasketHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A10/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
69-48
69
48
+21
A30/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H03/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A07/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/11
Korisliiga
101.4Avg total
50.3Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.748.994.7-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.991.7+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)45.652.097.6-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)50.351.1101.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.055.4104.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)48.050.798.7-2.736%-
vs Similar (17)44.247.791.9-3.547%-
vs Weaker (2)46.049.595.5-3.50%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 96.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.323.6
55.8%
54.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.718.2
73.7%
75.8%18.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
Honka
LLWWLLWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+7.6
Net rating
+0.5
101.8
Offensive rating
100.4
94.2
Defensive rating
99.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.7%
3-point %
32.7%
53.5%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 100.4Defence94.2 · 99.9Shooting54.5% · 52.9%3-point %38.7% · 32.7%Ball care16.1% · 11.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
4
Honka wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26KTP Kotka Basket v Honka105-119
06/03/26KTP Kotka Basket v Honka89-68
03/02/26Honka v KTP Kotka Basket93-98
28/12/25Honka v KTP Kotka Basket89-84
21/10/25KTP Kotka Basket v Honka97-81
28/02/25Honka v KTP Kotka Basket89-94
26/02/25KTP Kotka Basket v Honka87-67
03/12/24KTP Kotka Basket v Honka92-96
05/10/24Honka v KTP Kotka Basket94-87 OT
20/01/23KTP Kotka Basket v Honka91-78
KTP Kotka Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HBisons Loimaa90-108
07/11/26AKarhu Basket78-119
03/11/26HHelsinki Seagulls94-91
30/10/26AKTP Kotka Basket119-105
24/10/26HKipina94-96
21/10/26AKipina100-109
16/10/26HLahti Basketball100-86
10/10/26AKataja108-99
06/10/26HPyrinto Tampere97-96 OT
03/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.295.889.2
Allowed / game85.882.288.8
Point differential+6.4+13.6+0.3
Avg total178.0178.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Honka
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game98.795.7102.4
Allowed / game100.494.7107.2
Point differential-1.6+1.0-4.8
Avg total199.1190.3209.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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