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KTP Kotka Basket vs Honka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 87-67
18-18 15-20 27-7 27-22
Position#11
Record8-18
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Position#10
Record11-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game88.1
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Honka
15 Jan 2027
KTP v HON
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
KTP 105
HON119
06 Mar 2026
KTP 89
HON68
21 Oct 2025
KTP 97
HON81
26 Feb 2025
KTP 87
HON67
03 Dec 2024
KTP 92
HON96
20 Jan 2023
KTP 91
HON78
25 Mar 2015
KTP 92
HON96
17 Oct 2014
KTP 73
HON74
03 Mar 2014
KTP 98
HON73
15 Nov 2013
KTP 81
HON65
02 Mar 2011
KTP 81
HON73
03 Nov 2010
KTP 112
HON91
03 Feb 2010
KTP 95
HON84
28 Oct 2009
KTP 88
HON73
20 Apr 2009
KTP 64
HON89
27 Mar 2009
KTP 63
HON85
27 Dec 2008
KTP 76
HON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Honka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
92avg 77
H28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 77
A30/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 77
H03/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
65avg 77
A07/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
83-114
83
114
-31
71avg 77
H14/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 77
A18/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
98-61
98
61
+37
104avg 77
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 77
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 77
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
76avg 77
A12/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-21
32-15
24-18
29-25
16-35
22-16
22-24
19-26
19-21
14-21
33-22
16-25
22-16
22-23
16-26
25-34
22-18
17-25
19-37
14-13
22-20
21-27
19-26
22-18
27-16
18-12
31-15
29-20
17-22
20-18
22-12
15-18
21-22
29-15
19-21
18-24
20-13
25-33
25-14
170.6Avg total
86.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.587.3172.7-1.831%
Season at home (13)85.283.7168.8+1.546%
Season away (13)85.890.8176.6-5.115%
Last 10 (10)86.184.5170.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)86.875.8162.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.193.7181.9-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.986.6172.5-0.632%
vs Weaker (4)86.587.5174.0-1.050%
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 79
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 79
A30/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
80avg 79
H03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
80-96
80
96
-16
62avg 79
A07/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
84avg 79
H14/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
58avg 79
A18/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
105-95
105
95
+10
96avg 79
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
75-102
75
102
-27
61avg 79
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
98avg 79
H06/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 79
A12/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-30
19-23
16-20
17-18
20-20
20-17
18-30
31-22
17-20
27-20
17-19
22-21
22-26
16-22
20-27
20-11
22-28
25-23
26-26
13-22
14-21
24-16
22-27
28-24
22-21
23-21
32-29
20-24
17-26
21-25
17-27
22-20
20-20
28-23
25-27
26-23
15-27
18-32
25-13
176.0Avg total
85.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.388.1172.4-3.742%
Season at home (13)86.289.7175.9-3.546%
Season away (13)82.586.5168.9-4.038%
Last 10 (10)85.490.6176.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)86.493.6180.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.189.9172.0-7.818%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.888.0172.8-3.250%
vs Weaker (7)88.473.1161.6+15.3100%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.7-2.7
KTP Kotka BasketHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A30/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H03/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H14/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A18/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/02
Korisliiga
83.6Avg total
41.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.444.185.5-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.187.1+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.583.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)48.349.397.6-1.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.640.982.5+0.753%-
vs Weaker (4)42.242.584.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Honka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A30/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H03/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A07/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A18/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/02
Korisliiga
85.4Avg total
41.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.885.5+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.042.687.6+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.983.1-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.985.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.685.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.347.488.6-6.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.342.485.8+0.958%-
vs Weaker (7)44.136.180.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.8
54.2%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.4
37.3%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
73.9%13.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.4
49.3%
51.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.3
33.5%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.713.7
69.5%
73.9%13.7
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
WWWWLLLLLW
Honka
LWLWLWLWLL
#11
League position
#10
+2.2
Net rating
-7.0
115.7
Offensive rating
108.7
113.5
Defensive rating
115.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.3%
3-point %
33.5%
51.7%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 108.7Defence113.5 · 115.7Shooting55.0% · 49.6%3-point %37.3% · 33.5%Ball care16.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds34.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
4
Honka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25AKobrat88-84
08/02/25HKouvot Kouvola84-76
31/01/25HPyrinto Tampere88-72
28/01/25ABC Nokia98-61
18/01/25AKobrat76-86
14/01/25HHelsinki Seagulls83-114
07/01/25ABC Nokia76-90
03/01/25HPyrinto Tampere85-90
30/12/24AKarhu Basket89-100
28/12/24HKataja94-72
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25ABC Nokia84-95
06/02/25HKobrat95-90
31/01/25HKouvot Kouvola75-102
28/01/25APyrinto Tampere105-95
18/01/25ABisons Loimaa73-86
14/01/25HKobrat93-88
07/01/25AHelsinki Seagulls80-96
03/01/25HBC Nokia92-81
30/12/24AKataja75-85
28/12/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW31%
HomeWLLWW46%
AwayLLLWW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%46%15%
Points / game85.585.285.8
Allowed / game87.383.790.8
Point differential-1.8+1.5-5.1
Avg total172.7168.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Honka
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLWWLW46%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game84.386.282.5
Allowed / game88.189.786.5
Point differential-3.7-3.5-4.0
Avg total172.4175.9168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %15%23%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2724389%96.883.3+13.6
2 Karhu Basket2718967%83.180.4+2.7
3 Kataja27161159%88.185.3+2.8
4 Salon Vilpas26141254%85.384.5+0.8
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki27141352%82.482.7-0.2
6 Pyrinto Tampere27141352%84.084.9-1.0
7 Bisons Loimaa26131350%81.380.6+0.7
8 BC Nokia27131448%84.184.7-0.6
9 Kouvot Kouvola27121544%83.485.6-2.2
10 Honka26111542%84.388.1-3.7
11 KTP Kotka Basket2681831%85.587.3-1.8
12 Kobrat2732411%77.989.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket1815272787
Honka182072267
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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