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KTP Kotka Basket vs Honka Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-68
24-22 24-18 20-15 21-13
Position#4
Record16-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#6
Record17-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game90.5
FinlandKorisliigaRound 29· Steveco-Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Honka
15 Jan 2027
KTP v HON
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
KTP 105
HON119
06 Mar 2026
KTP 89
HON68
21 Oct 2025
KTP 97
HON81
26 Feb 2025
KTP 87
HON67
03 Dec 2024
KTP 92
HON96
20 Jan 2023
KTP 91
HON78
25 Mar 2015
KTP 92
HON96
17 Oct 2014
KTP 73
HON74
03 Mar 2014
KTP 98
HON73
15 Nov 2013
KTP 81
HON65
02 Mar 2011
KTP 81
HON73
03 Nov 2010
KTP 112
HON91
03 Feb 2010
KTP 95
HON84
28 Oct 2009
KTP 88
HON73
20 Apr 2009
KTP 64
HON89
27 Mar 2009
KTP 63
HON85
27 Dec 2008
KTP 76
HON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Honka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
101-82
101
82
+19
95avg 79
H09/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
96-79
96
79
+17
no box
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 79
A20/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
103avg 79
H25/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
76avg 79
H30/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
98-93
98
93
+5
98avg 79
A03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
66avg 79
H10/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
62avg 79
A14/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 79
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
86-61
86
61
+25
79avg 79
A21/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
30-22
24-18
25-19
18-12
24-28
33-19
21-20
18-20
15-21
23-27
24-22
22-26
24-28
23-21
28-22
27-18
22-23
19-28
13-19
13-24
25-25
32-18
28-26
13-14
26-15
14-20
26-24
15-19
20-27
23-24
17-18
25-14
22-24
23-21
25-27
13-20
49-30
24-11
0-0
174.6Avg total
89.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.081.5166.4+3.557%
Season at home (14)89.581.9171.4+7.671%
Season away (14)80.481.0161.4-0.643%
Last 10 (10)89.984.7174.6+5.270%
Last 5 (5)86.680.2166.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.790.0164.7-15.30%
vs Similar (11)83.286.1169.3-2.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.478.6166.9+9.875%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 81
A10/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
H15/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
102avg 81
A20/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
60-88
60
88
-28
52avg 81
H25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 81
A30/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
93-98
93
98
-5
78avg 81
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
78avg 81
A11/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
102-107
102
107
-5
90avg 81
A14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 81
H17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
98-107
98
107
-9
91avg 81
H20/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
22-16
20-20
12-16
29-28
20-19
24-26
27-14
29-28
26-17
16-22
29-17
20-23
7-24
18-19
15-22
24-33
15-27
20-15
23-23
24-13
25-25
18-32
26-28
20-32
22-27
34-18
18-21
31-20
17-33
32-25
22-29
28-24
27-11
21-23
17-27
21-16
18-31
22-27
37-33
182.7Avg total
90.1Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.590.5181.0+0.061%
Season at home (14)93.590.1183.6+3.464%
Season away (14)87.690.9178.5-3.457%
Last 10 (10)90.192.6182.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)96.099.0195.0-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)90.694.2184.8-3.744%
vs Similar (16)88.990.6179.5-1.656%
vs Weaker (5)91.681.0172.6+10.680%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
KTP Kotka BasketHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H09/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H16/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H25/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H30/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H10/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A21/02
Korisliiga
87.6Avg total
44.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.385.2+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.084.5+4.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.244.785.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.387.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.486.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.750.089.7-10.30%-
vs Similar (11)41.840.882.6+1.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.241.986.1+2.269%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H15/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A20/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H25/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A30/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H20/02
Korisliiga
91.9Avg total
45.0Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.845.690.4-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.790.6+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.747.590.2-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)45.046.991.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.493.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)47.347.394.7+0.067%-
vs Similar (16)43.247.190.3-3.838%-
vs Weaker (5)45.038.083.0+7.080%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.1
54.2%
2.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.2
27.4%
33.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.019.4
74.6%
74.0%19.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.9
54.7%
2.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.3
31.8%
33.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.1
70.4%
74.0%13.1
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
WWLWWLWLWW
Honka
LWLLLLLWWW
#4
League position
#6
+2.8
Net rating
-4.5
96.3
Offensive rating
94.1
93.5
Defensive rating
98.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.4%
3-point %
31.8%
53.5%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 94.1Defence93.5 · 98.6Shooting49.2% · 51.6%3-point %27.4% · 31.8%Ball care15.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds32.5% · 20.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
4
Honka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AKarhu Basket86-61
17/02/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki95-86
14/02/26ASalon Vilpas75-88
10/02/26HHelsinki Seagulls79-73
03/02/26AHonka98-93
30/01/26HKarhu Basket81-88
25/01/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki108-107 OT
20/01/26AKouvot Kouvola80-90
16/01/26HKobrat96-79
09/01/26HLahti Basketball101-82
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HHelsinki Seagulls98-107
17/02/26HKarhu Basket93-85
14/02/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki102-107
11/02/26ASalon Vilpas94-98
03/02/26HKTP Kotka Basket93-98
30/01/26AHelsinki Seagulls82-98
25/01/26HBisons Loimaa60-88
20/01/26APyrinto Tampere100-84
15/01/26HHelsinki Seagulls100-87
10/01/26AKataja79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game85.089.580.4
Allowed / game81.581.981.0
Point differential+3.5+7.6-0.6
Avg total166.4171.4161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Honka
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL61%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game90.593.587.6
Allowed / game90.590.190.9
Point differential+0.0+3.4-3.4
Avg total181.0183.6178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas2820871%92.983.1+9.8
2 Karhu Basket2819968%83.181.9+1.2
3 Honka28171161%90.590.5+0.0
4 KTP Kotka Basket28161257%85.081.5+3.5
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki28161257%90.788.0+2.7
6 Helsinki Seagulls28141450%85.482.8+2.6
7 Pyrinto Tampere28141450%84.184.4-0.3
8 Kataja29141548%87.786.3+1.3
9 Lahti Basketball29131645%89.691.0-1.4
10 Bisons Loimaa29121741%86.985.6+1.3
11 Kouvot Kouvola29101934%86.792.9-6.2
12 Kobrat2852318%80.995.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket2424202189
Honka2218151368
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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