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Kataja vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-94
29-32 21-24 24-16 33-22
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game83.2
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game90.0
FinlandKorisliigaRound 6· Motonet Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Feb 2027
KAT v KTP
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
KAT v KTP
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KAT83
KTP 94
26 Oct 2024
KAT107
KTP 94
09 Dec 2023
KAT76
KTP 77
12 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 65
08 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 70
26 Mar 2023
KAT91
KTP 81
18 Feb 2023
KAT102
KTP 114
03 Dec 2022
KAT97
KTP 87
18 Dec 2021
KAT72
KTP 82
27 Jan 2021
KAT109
KTP 83
04 Apr 2020
KAT v KTP
upcoming
30 Dec 2019
KAT91
KTP 86
25 Apr 2019
KAT92
KTP 100
19 Apr 2019
KAT109
KTP 72
09 Feb 2019
KAT88
KTP 69
04 Nov 2018
KAT87
KTP 84
12 Jan 2018
KAT96
KTP 70
04 Oct 2017
KAT109
KTP 70
26 Mar 2017
KAT97
KTP 66
27 Nov 2016
KAT93
KTP 74
18 Jan 2016
KAT104
KTP 72
11 Oct 2015
KAT89
KTP 80
06 Apr 2015
KAT82
KTP 68
29 Mar 2015
KAT89
KTP 100
15 Feb 2014
KAT91
KTP 77
21 Oct 2013
KAT88
KTP 74
29 Apr 2013
KAT77
KTP 67
25 Apr 2013
KAT67
KTP 81
05 Apr 2013
KAT81
KTP 74
28 Dec 2012
KAT84
KTP 71
18 Jan 2012
KAT72
KTP 70
14 Oct 2011
KAT95
KTP 67
19 Apr 2011
KAT81
KTP 68
14 Apr 2011
KAT77
KTP 69
16 Mar 2011
KAT91
KTP 102
11 Dec 2010
KAT89
KTP 70
24 Feb 2010
KAT96
KTP 71
20 Oct 2009
KAT0
KTP 40
17 Mar 2009
KAT91
KTP 67
03 Dec 2008
KAT84
KTP 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
65avg 75
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
81avg 75
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
104-90
104
90
+14
94avg 75
H03/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
68avg 75
A05/05
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
73-97
73
97
-24
60avg 75
A11/05
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
100-66
100
66
+34
101avg 75
A04/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
92-74
92
74
+18
85avg 75
H09/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-105
78
105
-27
69avg 75
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
94avg 75
H19/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
89avg 75
A22/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-19
19-25
23-24
21-27
20-19
25-23
27-21
27-21
19-26
28-23
30-20
23-16
13-18
24-15
14-26
20-19
22-25
15-28
16-25
30-12
30-17
18-22
22-15
18-22
31-15
19-19
24-18
14-29
25-22
20-26
19-28
26-25
22-22
23-14
20-18
19-14
24-34
24-22
20-17
174.1Avg total
88.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.283.2174.4+8.080%
Season at home (2)91.576.5168.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)91.087.7178.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)88.086.1174.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)91.283.2174.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.086.9166.9-6.933%
vs Similar (9)80.881.8162.6-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)98.278.0176.2+20.2100%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
75avg 74
H08/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
84-78
84
78
+6
75avg 74
H15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
74-83
74
83
-9
62avg 74
A23/03
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
L
102-115
102
115
-13
92avg 74
A27/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
112avg 74
H30/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
82avg 74
A05/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 74
H08/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
94avg 74
H11/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
74avg 74
A19/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
75avg 74
H22/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-23
18-18
21-14
26-30
24-16
16-20
18-12
17-20
9-15
20-18
28-30
27-29
30-30
21-27
24-29
26-23
17-17
29-25
25-32
16-23
28-13
15-20
20-23
17-21
24-13
18-19
12-21
17-25
26-25
23-23
25-18
18-22
32-14
23-26
12-27
26-19
23-29
24-20
12-18
179.5Avg total
88.7Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.890.0175.8-4.20%
Season at home (3)85.789.0174.7-3.30%
Season away (2)86.091.5177.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)88.790.8179.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)85.890.0175.8-4.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.893.8178.7-9.017%
vs Similar (15)83.584.6168.1-1.140%
vs Weaker (3)92.3104.7197.0-12.30%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
KatajaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/05
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/05
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
60-29
60
29
+31
A04/10
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/10
Korisliiga
86.9Avg total
44.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.182.9-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.842.584.4-0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)40.041.781.7-1.724%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.786.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.490.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.741.780.5-3.020%-
vs Similar (9)39.841.781.4-1.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.441.892.2+8.680%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H08/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A23/03
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A27/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H30/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H11/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
Korisliiga
87.6Avg total
44.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.586.4-4.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.843.486.2-0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.747.886.5-9.121%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.887.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.886.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.248.990.1-7.850%-
vs Similar (15)39.340.579.7-1.247%-
vs Weaker (3)48.056.7104.7-8.70%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
51.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.2
36.1%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws14.211.6
81.7%
73.9%11.6
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.5
53.7%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.4
34.7%
34.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.712.7
71.8%
73.9%12.7
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWLWWLLWWL
KTP Kotka Basket
LLLLLWLLWW
#3
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
-2.1
109.0
Offensive rating
109.0
106.8
Defensive rating
111.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.1%
3-point %
34.7%
59.2%
Assist %
53.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 109.0Defence106.8 · 111.1Shooting52.5% · 53.0%3-point %36.1% · 34.7%Ball care16.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Kataja   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kataja wins
5
KTP Kotka Basket wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24AHonka95-92 OT
19/10/24HKobrat91-79
11/10/24AHelsinki Seagulls78-105
09/10/24HBC Nokia92-74
04/10/24APyrinto Tampere100-66
11/05/24AKarhu Basket73-97
05/05/24ABC Nokia74-75
03/05/24HBC Nokia104-90
01/05/24ABC Nokia93-90
29/04/24HBC Nokia80-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/24HKarhu Basket85-86
19/10/24ASalon Vilpas85-89
11/10/24HKouvot Kouvola101-107 OT
08/10/24HBisons Loimaa71-74
05/10/24AHonka87-94 OT
30/03/24HPyrinto Tampere114-106 OT
27/03/24ALahti Basketball102-115
23/03/24AKobrat74-83
15/03/24HKouvot Kouvola84-78
08/03/24HBisons Loimaa84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game91.291.591.0
Allowed / game83.276.587.7
Point differential+8.0+15.0+3.3
Avg total174.4168.0178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.885.786.0
Allowed / game90.089.091.5
Point differential-4.2-3.3-5.5
Avg total175.8174.7177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %40%33%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja54180%91.283.2+8.0
2 Bisons Loimaa54180%76.671.0+5.6
3 Karhu Basket54180%83.678.8+4.8
4 Helsinki Seagulls64267%90.778.2+12.5
5 Salon Vilpas53260%85.084.2+0.8
6 Kouvot Kouvola53260%83.483.0+0.4
7 Honka63350%84.886.5-1.7
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki63350%79.083.7-4.7
9 Kobrat52340%84.085.4-1.4
10 Pyrinto Tampere51420%79.688.4-8.8
11 BC Nokia61517%75.786.2-10.5
12 KTP Kotka Basket5050%85.890.0-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja29212433107
KTP Kotka Basket3224162294
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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