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KTP Kotka Basket vs Kataja Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
FinlandKorisliiga· Steveco-Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja
30 Dec 2026
KTP v KAT
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
KTP 74
KAT77
28 Dec 2024
KTP 94
KAT72
08 Oct 2023
KTP 67
KAT68
10 Apr 2023
KTP 94
KAT66
02 Apr 2023
KTP 77
KAT70
27 Jan 2023
KTP 86
KAT83
04 Oct 2022
KTP 90
KAT76
19 Oct 2021
KTP 57
KAT86
14 Oct 2020
KTP 97
KAT96
10 Feb 2020
KTP 84
KAT80
02 Dec 2019
KTP 100
KAT82
27 Apr 2019
KTP 96
KAT80
22 Apr 2019
KTP 98
KAT95
29 Mar 2019
KTP 100
KAT79
21 Dec 2018
KTP 79
KAT77
02 Mar 2018
KTP 89
KAT63
17 Nov 2017
KTP 68
KAT76
10 Feb 2017
KTP 79
KAT82
04 Nov 2016
KTP 68
KAT78
02 Mar 2016
KTP 92
KAT85
10 Jan 2016
KTP 100
KAT112
13 Feb 2015
KTP 74
KAT65
24 Oct 2014
KTP 97
KAT95
29 Mar 2014
KTP 62
KAT76
30 Dec 2013
KTP 100
KAT84
02 May 2013
KTP 73
KAT60
27 Apr 2013
KTP 90
KAT84
22 Feb 2013
KTP 92
KAT78
04 Jan 2013
KTP 88
KAT99
09 Mar 2012
KTP 105
KAT87
30 Nov 2011
KTP 83
KAT89
17 Apr 2011
KTP 100
KAT83
12 Apr 2011
KTP 73
KAT98
28 Jan 2011
KTP 81
KAT93
23 Oct 2010
KTP 85
KAT75
12 Mar 2010
KTP 74
KAT88
09 Dec 2009
KTP 70
KAT78
28 Jan 2009
KTP 87
KAT76
03 Nov 2008
KTP 85
KAT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 78
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 78
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 78
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 78
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 78
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 78
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.285.8178.0+6.473%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (6)89.288.8178.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 75
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 75
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 75
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 75
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 75
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
KTP Kotka BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#7
+7.6
Net rating
-2.1
101.8
Offensive rating
95.2
94.2
Defensive rating
97.3
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.7%
3-point %
34.4%
53.5%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 95.2Defence94.2 · 97.3Shooting54.5% · 50.5%3-point %38.7% · 34.4%Ball care16.1% · 12.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KTP Kotka Basket wins
6
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.295.889.2
Allowed / game85.882.288.8
Point differential+6.4+13.6+0.3
Avg total178.0178.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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