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KTP Kotka Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-77
21-17 24-15 18-21 11-24
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
KTP Kotka Basket
Finland
vs
Kataja 🏆
Finland
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FinlandKorisliigaRound 1· Steveco-Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja
30 Dec 2026
KTP v KAT
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
KTP 74
KAT77
28 Dec 2024
KTP 94
KAT72
08 Oct 2023
KTP 67
KAT68
10 Apr 2023
KTP 94
KAT66
02 Apr 2023
KTP 77
KAT70
27 Jan 2023
KTP 86
KAT83
04 Oct 2022
KTP 90
KAT76
19 Oct 2021
KTP 57
KAT86
14 Oct 2020
KTP 97
KAT96
10 Feb 2020
KTP 84
KAT80
02 Dec 2019
KTP 100
KAT82
27 Apr 2019
KTP 96
KAT80
22 Apr 2019
KTP 98
KAT95
29 Mar 2019
KTP 100
KAT79
21 Dec 2018
KTP 79
KAT77
02 Mar 2018
KTP 89
KAT63
17 Nov 2017
KTP 68
KAT76
10 Feb 2017
KTP 79
KAT82
04 Nov 2016
KTP 68
KAT78
02 Mar 2016
KTP 92
KAT85
10 Jan 2016
KTP 100
KAT112
13 Feb 2015
KTP 74
KAT65
24 Oct 2014
KTP 97
KAT95
29 Mar 2014
KTP 62
KAT76
30 Dec 2013
KTP 100
KAT84
02 May 2013
KTP 73
KAT60
27 Apr 2013
KTP 90
KAT84
22 Feb 2013
KTP 92
KAT78
04 Jan 2013
KTP 88
KAT99
09 Mar 2012
KTP 105
KAT87
30 Nov 2011
KTP 83
KAT89
17 Apr 2011
KTP 100
KAT83
12 Apr 2011
KTP 73
KAT98
28 Jan 2011
KTP 81
KAT93
23 Oct 2010
KTP 85
KAT75
12 Mar 2010
KTP 74
KAT88
09 Dec 2009
KTP 70
KAT78
28 Jan 2009
KTP 87
KAT76
03 Nov 2008
KTP 85
KAT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
W
98-61
98
61
+37
104avg 78
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
88-72
88
72
+16
82avg 78
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 78
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
76avg 78
A12/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
73avg 78
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
95avg 78
A28/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
83avg 78
H04/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
76avg 78
A12/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 78
A15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
96avg 78
H19/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
27-16
18-12
31-15
29-20
17-22
20-18
22-12
15-18
21-22
29-15
19-21
18-24
20-13
25-33
25-14
18-18
15-20
27-7
27-22
28-27
17-19
23-19
26-24
27-22
25-21
15-28
18-15
21-25
21-24
21-24
19-27
24-28
25-27
21-31
14-22
18-23
19-12
23-25
30-25
170.8Avg total
88.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.082.8170.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)87.093.6180.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.896.3185.2-7.517%
vs Similar ◀ (20)86.086.9172.9-1.035%
vs Weaker (4)83.580.0163.5+3.575%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 84
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-107
101
107
-6
90avg 84
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
109-69
109
69
+40
117avg 84
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
89avg 84
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 84
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 84
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 84
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 84
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
82avg 84
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
96avg 84
H19/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
37-19
23-37
11-19
35-24
21-30
16-24
29-29
24-15
36-11
27-23
22-20
16-30
23-16
26-18
29-12
13-25
30-16
21-20
29-20
21-26
15-25
21-16
22-26
19-19
30-23
18-32
15-22
21-20
16-23
21-21
21-23
30-25
26-16
18-28
13-30
21-21
27-25
26-28
17-17
182.6Avg total
91.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.790.9182.6+0.830%
Last 5 (5)85.295.0180.2-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.396.0184.3-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.388.5172.8-4.231%
vs Weaker (11)89.181.8170.9+7.364%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
KTP Kotka BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A28/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H31/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/02
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H04/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/03
Korisliiga
84.6Avg total
42.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.686.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.643.884.4-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)45.743.489.1+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.984.6+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.049.897.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.943.186.0-0.340%-
vs Weaker (4)37.236.573.8+0.875%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H12/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A19/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H22/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/04
Korisliiga
91.9Avg total
48.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.186.0+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.441.488.7+6.076%-
Last 30 away (13)41.540.882.4+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.591.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.689.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.748.096.7+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.840.985.8+3.962%-
vs Weaker (11)43.839.583.4+4.373%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.1
57.8%
2.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.8
37.5%
33.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
74.0%11.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.3
56.7%
2.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.4
39.0%
33.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.3
76.0%
74.0%13.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
WLLLWWWWWW
Kataja
LLLLLWWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+6.7
Net rating
+1.5
117.0
Offensive rating
116.2
110.2
Defensive rating
114.7
57.0%
Effective FG%
57.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
39.0%
59.2%
Assist %
64.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 116.2Defence110.2 · 114.7Shooting57.0% · 57.5%3-point %37.5% · 39.0%Ball care16.8% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.8% · 30.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
KTP Kotka Basket wins
5
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja94-72
26/10/24Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket107-94
09/12/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket76-77
08/10/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja67-68
12/04/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket93-65
10/04/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja94-66
08/04/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket93-70
02/04/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja77-70
26/03/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket91-81
18/02/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket102-114
KTP Kotka Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HKobrat90-85
15/03/25AKouvot Kouvola84-108
12/03/25APyrinto Tampere82-100
04/03/25HBC Nokia85-86
28/02/25AHonka94-89
26/02/25HHonka87-67
12/02/25AKobrat88-84
08/02/25HKouvot Kouvola84-76
31/01/25HPyrinto Tampere88-72
28/01/25ABC Nokia98-61
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HSalon Vilpas99-100 OT
15/04/25HKarhu Basket87-99
12/04/25AKarhu Basket79-87
09/04/25HKarhu Basket82-96
05/04/25AKarhu Basket79-93
29/03/25HBisons Loimaa93-81
26/03/25ABisons Loimaa94-76
22/03/25HBisons Loimaa109-69
19/03/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-107
12/03/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket2124181174
Kataja1715212477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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