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KTP Kotka Basket vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-79
18-12 24-28 33-19 21-20
Position#4
Record10-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#12
Record2-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game94.3
FinlandKorisliigaRound 20
Other2025-26
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kobrat
16 Jan 2026
KTP 96
KOBR79
19 Mar 2025
KTP 90
KOBR85
29 Nov 2024
KTP 80
KOBR65
16 Feb 2024
KTP 80
KOBR82
05 Jan 2024
KTP 74
KOBR65
30 Dec 2022
KTP 87
KOBR78
05 Nov 2021
KTP 92
KOBR86
05 Mar 2021
KTP 108
KOBR110
28 Feb 2020
KTP 88
KOBR94
12 Nov 2019
KTP 109
KOBR97
19 Mar 2019
KTP 94
KOBR69
11 Dec 2018
KTP 100
KOBR92
28 Mar 2018
KTP 113
KOBR119
20 Dec 2017
KTP 105
KOBR89
22 Mar 2017
KTP 85
KOBR76
14 Dec 2016
KTP 76
KOBR85
15 Jan 2016
KTP 93
KOBR78
16 Oct 2015
KTP 99
KOBR105
13 Mar 2015
KTP 91
KOBR86
05 Dec 2014
KTP 97
KOBR84
07 Feb 2014
KTP 91
KOBR78
23 Oct 2013
KTP 92
KOBR73
22 Mar 2013
KTP 101
KOBR78
14 Dec 2012
KTP 113
KOBR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobrat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
99avg 79
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
97avg 79
A06/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 79
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 79
A17/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-72
85
72
+13
72avg 79
H19/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 79
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
56avg 79
H30/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
64avg 79
A03/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
101-82
101
82
+19
95avg 79
H09/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
25-19
19-19
28-15
11-18
22-22
21-20
17-21
20-21
22-27
28-17
24-18
20-23
24-15
21-28
17-22
12-21
25-22
23-12
19-12
24-10
15-18
28-26
18-18
27-30
20-22
17-21
20-16
25-29
16-24
17-19
13-21
20-25
19-10
12-28
23-16
22-23
30-22
24-18
25-19
165.4Avg total
84.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.279.8163.0+3.453%
Season at home (9)88.279.3167.6+8.967%
Season away (10)78.780.2158.9-1.540%
Last 10 (10)84.481.0165.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.083.0166.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.591.0165.5-16.50%
vs Similar (15)83.482.1165.5+1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.578.2165.6+9.377%
This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobrat
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
88avg 71
H14/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 71
A21/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
83-113
83
113
-30
75avg 71
A05/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
56avg 71
H09/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
87-109
87
109
-22
77avg 71
A17/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
77-94
77
94
-17
68avg 71
H20/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
A27/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
75-107
75
107
-32
62avg 71
H30/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-99
85
99
-14
73avg 71
A07/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
99-103
99
103
-4
100avg 71
H10/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
20-18
23-32
27-27
19-32
22-16
24-23
23-19
24-25
16-26
19-31
24-31
16-23
16-25
17-21
17-12
21-28
22-18
26-33
18-30
17-18
12-23
19-25
29-28
15-22
18-17
15-16
17-23
23-29
15-26
20-24
17-28
26-22
26-28
17-25
16-24
19-28
31-18
21-30
28-27
179.2Avg total
81.6Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.494.3173.6-14.911%
Season at home (10)78.689.9168.5-11.310%
Season away (9)80.299.1179.3-18.911%
Last 10 (10)81.697.6179.2-16.00%
Last 5 (5)80.296.2176.4-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.491.8171.1-12.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -3.3-3.3
KTP Kotka BasketKobrat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A06/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H30/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A03/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H09/01
Korisliiga
85.4Avg total
43.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.583.9+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.740.183.8+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.242.783.9-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.485.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.686.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.052.094.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.141.383.4+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.840.082.8+2.877%-
This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A05/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A17/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H20/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A27/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
38-55
38
55
-17
H30/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A07/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H10/01
Korisliiga
86.6Avg total
39.9Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.883.8-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.543.981.4-6.425%-
Last 30 away (14)40.745.786.4-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)39.946.786.6-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.044.883.8-5.823%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.5
48.3%
2.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
33.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
74.0%17.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobrattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobrat: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.6
50.4%
2.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.9
30.9%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.115.7
82.2%
74.0%15.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
WLLLWWLWLW
Kobrat
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+7.4
Net rating
-20.6
108.6
Offensive rating
102.4
101.3
Defensive rating
123.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
38.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
30.9%
56.7%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 102.4Defence101.3 · 123.0Shooting48.8% · 48.8%3-point %33.1% · 30.9%Ball care17.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds38.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Kobrat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
KTP Kotka Basket wins
3
Kobrat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HLahti Basketball101-82
03/01/26AKarhu Basket74-79
30/12/25HSalon Vilpas71-93
28/12/25AHonka84-89
19/12/25HBisons Loimaa85-72
17/12/25APyrinto Tampere79-67
09/12/25HHelsinki Seagulls82-88
06/12/25AKataja94-83
22/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-81
14/11/25HKouvot Kouvola103-76
Kobratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HPyrinto Tampere99-103
07/01/26ALahti Basketball85-99
30/12/25HHelsinki Seagulls75-107
27/12/25AKarhu Basket65-78
20/12/25HKataja77-94
17/12/25ASalon Vilpas87-109
09/12/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki66-81
05/12/25AHonka83-113
21/11/25AKouvot Kouvola88-90
14/11/25HBisons Loimaa91-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game83.288.278.7
Allowed / game79.879.380.2
Point differential+3.4+8.9-1.5
Avg total163.0167.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kobrat
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %11%10%11%
Points / game79.478.680.2
Allowed / game94.389.999.1
Point differential-14.9-11.3-18.9
Avg total173.6168.5179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket2016480%85.380.0+5.3
2 Honka2015575%90.788.5+2.2
3 Salon Vilpas2014670%93.184.3+8.8
4 Helsinki Seagulls2011955%85.181.5+3.6
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki2011955%88.886.5+2.4
6 KTP Kotka Basket1910953%83.279.8+3.4
7 Kataja20101050%88.787.3+1.4
8 Pyrinto Tampere2091145%84.284.3-0.1
9 Lahti Basketball2081240%88.290.1-1.9
10 Bisons Loimaa2081240%84.987.2-2.2
11 Kouvot Kouvola2051525%88.597.0-8.6
12 Kobrat1921711%79.494.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket1824332196
Kobrat1228192079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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