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Honka vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-84
30-27 22-20 21-17 16-20
Position#6
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game88.4
Honka 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#4
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game78.2
FinlandKorisliigaRound 16· Tapiolan Liikuntahalli
Other2025-26
Meetings · Honka v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Mar 2027
HON v KTP
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
HON93
KTP 98
28 Dec 2025
HON89
KTP 84
28 Feb 2025
HON89
KTP 94
05 Oct 2024
HON94
KTP 87
22 Nov 2022
HON78
KTP 94
08 Feb 2015
HON87
KTP 96
23 Nov 2014
HON85
KTP 87
09 Apr 2014
HON81
KTP 92
11 Jan 2014
HON80
KTP 103
26 Mar 2011
HON89
KTP 99
30 Dec 2010
HON91
KTP 97
15 Mar 2010
HON96
KTP 92
16 Dec 2009
HON80
KTP 67
22 Apr 2009
HON75
KTP 62
16 Apr 2009
HON81
KTP 55
11 Feb 2009
HON98
KTP 82
24 Oct 2008
HON79
KTP 69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Honka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-78
95
78
+17
95avg 77
H25/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 77
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 77
H04/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
96avg 77
A07/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
79avg 77
H14/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
73avg 77
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
113-83
113
83
+30
113avg 77
H05/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
103-99
103
99
+4
98avg 77
A13/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
97-79
97
79
+18
87avg 77
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 77
A19/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
23-17
23-30
24-23
26-18
10-32
26-21
28-18
29-22
32-26
24-18
13-22
18-28
19-18
28-22
26-14
26-22
8-16
24-12
23-19
21-22
24-17
20-24
22-22
25-24
26-16
31-19
31-24
26-25
25-23
24-21
28-30
31-18
23-32
19-12
24-17
22-29
25-29
19-24
21-14
179.0Avg total
94.2Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.188.4178.5+1.773%
Season at home (7)97.086.4183.4+10.686%
Season away (8)84.090.1174.1-6.162%
Last 10 (10)94.284.8179.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)97.488.4185.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)87.994.6182.4-6.733%
vs Similar (15)83.887.3171.1-3.553%
vs Weaker (6)91.582.0173.5+9.583%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 79
A24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 79
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 79
A05/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
75-60
75
60
+15
72avg 79
A07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
99avg 79
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
97avg 79
A06/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
73avg 79
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 79
A17/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-72
85
72
+13
72avg 79
H19/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
24-22
14-22
21-16
26-23
21-23
18-18
21-13
19-21
24-16
27-14
19-31
25-17
16-19
16-16
18-8
31-23
25-19
19-19
28-15
11-18
22-22
21-20
17-21
20-21
22-27
28-17
24-18
20-23
24-15
21-28
17-22
12-21
25-22
23-12
19-12
24-10
15-18
28-26
18-18
161.7Avg total
84.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.478.2161.6+5.260%
Season at home (7)88.977.0165.9+11.971%
Season away (8)78.679.2157.9-0.650%
Last 10 (10)84.277.5161.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)82.278.2160.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.3101.0184.3-17.70%
vs Similar (17)83.183.1166.1+0.041%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.876.6164.4+11.290%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
HonkaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H25/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A31/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H04/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H05/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A19/12
Korisliiga
90.6Avg total
46.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.585.5-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.042.087.0+3.079%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.884.2-5.431%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.290.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.647.096.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)45.146.891.9-1.744%-
vs Similar (15)40.044.084.0-4.047%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.379.8+5.283%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A06/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H19/12
Korisliiga
83.4Avg total
42.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.084.0+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.140.183.3+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)41.143.684.6-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.983.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.054.399.3-9.30%-
vs Similar (17)41.641.683.2-0.141%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.938.880.7+3.180%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.3
53.6%
2.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.8
35.3%
33.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.2
65.1%
74.0%14.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.9
48.3%
2.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
33.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
74.0%17.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Honka
LWWWWWWWWW
KTP Kotka Basket
WWLWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+11.3
Net rating
+12.0
112.2
Offensive rating
110.9
100.9
Defensive rating
98.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.3%
3-point %
35.0%
70.1%
Assist %
60.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 110.9Defence100.9 · 98.9Shooting53.3% · 49.9%3-point %35.3% · 35.0%Ball care16.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds34.1% · 36.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Honka   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Honka wins
7
KTP Kotka Basket wins
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ALahti Basketball87-96
16/12/25HKarhu Basket97-79
13/12/25ASalon Vilpas103-99
05/12/25HKobrat113-83
21/11/25ABisons Loimaa87-85
14/11/25HPyrinto Tampere81-69
07/11/25AHelsinki Seagulls91-82
04/11/25HKataja98-88
31/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki90-89
25/10/25HKouvot Kouvola95-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HBisons Loimaa85-72
17/12/25APyrinto Tampere79-67
09/12/25HHelsinki Seagulls82-88
06/12/25AKataja94-83
22/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-81
14/11/25HKouvot Kouvola103-76
07/11/25AKobrat75-60
05/11/25ALahti Basketball89-82
31/10/25HKarhu Basket86-77
24/10/25ASalon Vilpas78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Honka
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%86%62%
Points / game90.197.084.0
Allowed / game88.486.490.1
Point differential+1.7+10.6-6.1
Avg total178.5183.4174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game83.488.978.6
Allowed / game78.277.079.2
Point differential+5.2+11.9-0.6
Avg total161.6165.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket1612475%84.479.6+4.8
2 Salon Vilpas1511473%92.583.2+9.3
3 Honka1511473%90.188.4+1.7
4 KTP Kotka Basket159660%83.478.2+5.2
5 Helsinki Seagulls158753%82.979.9+3.0
6 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki158753%86.383.5+2.8
7 Pyrinto Tampere158753%85.182.5+2.6
8 Kataja156940%88.488.7-0.3
9 Lahti Basketball156940%86.588.9-2.3
10 Bisons Loimaa1551033%84.088.0-4.0
11 Kouvot Kouvola1551033%89.797.3-7.5
12 Kobrat1621412%78.192.6-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Honka3022211689
KTP Kotka Basket2720172084
← all games of the day
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