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Kataja vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 83-94
21-20 27-22 17-28 18-24
Position#5
Record3-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.5
FinlandKorisliigaRound 12· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Feb 2027
KAT v KTP
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
KAT v KTP
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KAT83
KTP 94
26 Oct 2024
KAT107
KTP 94
09 Dec 2023
KAT76
KTP 77
12 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 65
08 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 70
26 Mar 2023
KAT91
KTP 81
18 Feb 2023
KAT102
KTP 114
03 Dec 2022
KAT97
KTP 87
18 Dec 2021
KAT72
KTP 82
27 Jan 2021
KAT109
KTP 83
04 Apr 2020
KAT v KTP
upcoming
30 Dec 2019
KAT91
KTP 86
25 Apr 2019
KAT92
KTP 100
19 Apr 2019
KAT109
KTP 72
09 Feb 2019
KAT88
KTP 69
04 Nov 2018
KAT87
KTP 84
12 Jan 2018
KAT96
KTP 70
04 Oct 2017
KAT109
KTP 70
26 Mar 2017
KAT97
KTP 66
27 Nov 2016
KAT93
KTP 74
18 Jan 2016
KAT104
KTP 72
11 Oct 2015
KAT89
KTP 80
06 Apr 2015
KAT82
KTP 68
29 Mar 2015
KAT89
KTP 100
15 Feb 2014
KAT91
KTP 77
21 Oct 2013
KAT88
KTP 74
29 Apr 2013
KAT77
KTP 67
25 Apr 2013
KAT67
KTP 81
05 Apr 2013
KAT81
KTP 74
28 Dec 2012
KAT84
KTP 71
18 Jan 2012
KAT72
KTP 70
14 Oct 2011
KAT95
KTP 67
19 Apr 2011
KAT81
KTP 68
14 Apr 2011
KAT77
KTP 69
16 Mar 2011
KAT91
KTP 102
11 Dec 2010
KAT89
KTP 70
24 Feb 2010
KAT96
KTP 71
20 Oct 2009
KAT0
KTP 40
17 Mar 2009
KAT91
KTP 67
03 Dec 2008
KAT84
KTP 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
99avg 80
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
73avg 80
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 80
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
58avg 80
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 80
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 80
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
79avg 80
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 80
H08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
99-106
99
106
-7
91avg 80
A15/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
107-93
107
93
+14
no box
H22/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
23-17
30-27
18-27
29-14
17-22
23-15
4-22
20-15
15-24
21-17
18-22
17-21
19-18
23-20
10-16
19-22
15-23
18-21
26-29
20-13
23-24
16-20
18-27
22-29
26-32
18-24
22-13
24-13
21-22
18-21
24-27
23-32
21-25
24-27
31-22
31-21
18-18
25-25
33-29
177.3Avg total
86.7Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.889.1174.9-3.327%
Season at home (6)86.887.0173.8-0.233%
Season away (5)84.691.6176.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)86.790.6177.3-3.920%
Last 5 (5)91.692.8184.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.391.7181.0-2.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.286.9169.1-4.725%
vs Weaker (11)91.488.9180.3+2.536%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
95-68
95
68
+27
90avg 78
H10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 78
A14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
58avg 78
A17/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
97-81
97
81
+16
97avg 78
H21/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 78
A24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 78
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 78
A05/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
75-60
75
60
+15
72avg 78
A07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
103-76
103
76
+27
99avg 78
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A22/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
21-21
28-17
32-14
19-17
25-19
21-22
10-22
13-20
19-31
13-23
23-18
30-20
19-22
24-13
24-26
19-29
24-22
14-22
21-16
26-23
21-23
18-18
21-13
19-21
24-16
27-14
19-31
25-17
16-19
16-16
18-8
31-23
25-19
19-19
28-15
11-18
22-22
21-20
17-21
162.3Avg total
83.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.878.5161.3+4.455%
Season at home (5)91.075.8166.8+15.280%
Season away (6)76.080.7156.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)83.778.6162.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)84.875.2160.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.093.8179.8-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.986.5169.4-3.629%
vs Weaker (9)88.877.7166.4+11.189%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
KatajaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A15/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Korisliiga
86.0Avg total
42.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.985.8+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.739.486.1+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)40.445.185.5-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.186.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.891.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.343.092.3+6.3100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.240.483.7+2.862%-
vs Weaker (11)43.543.687.2-0.145%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A17/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H31/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H14/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/11
Korisliiga
84.1Avg total
42.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.985.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.042.485.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.943.385.2-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.884.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.250.593.8-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.243.585.8-1.335%-
vs Weaker (9)42.438.380.8+4.189%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
2.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
33.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
74.0%14.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.0
48.6%
2.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.3
31.9%
33.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.216.1
75.9%
74.0%16.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WLWLLLLLLL
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWWWLWLLW
#5
League position
#4
-5.9
Net rating
+7.5
107.1
Offensive rating
107.0
113.0
Defensive rating
99.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
31.9%
50.0%
Assist %
59.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.0Defence113.0 · 99.5Shooting51.0% · 48.3%3-point %32.4% · 31.9%Ball care17.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 37.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Kataja   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
KTP Kotka Basket wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HLahti Basketball107-93
15/11/25AKarhu Basket99-106
08/11/25HSalon Vilpas87-83
04/11/25AHonka88-98
01/11/25HBisons Loimaa77-84
25/10/25APyrinto Tampere78-95
22/10/25HHelsinki Seagulls69-75
18/10/25HKobrat74-78
11/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-85 OT
08/10/25HKouvot Kouvola107-109 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki71-81
14/11/25HKouvot Kouvola103-76
07/11/25AKobrat75-60
05/11/25ALahti Basketball89-82
31/10/25HKarhu Basket86-77
24/10/25ASalon Vilpas78-89
21/10/25HHonka97-81
17/10/25ABisons Loimaa68-92
14/10/25AHelsinki Seagulls75-80
10/10/25HPyrinto Tampere95-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game85.886.884.6
Allowed / game89.187.091.6
Point differential-3.3-0.2-7.0
Avg total174.9173.8176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game82.891.076.0
Allowed / game78.575.880.7
Point differential+4.4+15.2-4.7
Avg total161.3166.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas1210283%92.181.6+10.5
2 Honka129375%88.787.7+1.0
3 Karhu Basket118373%85.580.6+4.8
4 Helsinki Seagulls127558%82.776.7+6.0
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%86.781.2+5.5
6 KTP Kotka Basket116555%82.878.5+4.4
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki115645%85.885.4+0.5
8 Bisons Loimaa125742%86.189.1-3.0
9 Kouvot Kouvola114736%88.897.3-8.5
10 Lahti Basketball124833%87.190.9-3.8
11 Kataja113827%85.889.1-3.3
12 Kobrat1221017%79.593.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2127171883
KTP Kotka Basket2022282494
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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