Kumamoto vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 71-91

20-29 12-23 17-15 22-24

Position#12

Record5-30

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game91.0

Kumamoto

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Position#6

Record21-14

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game77.9

NBLRound 18

Other2013-14

Meetings · Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

85-69

+16

H22/12

NBL

Chiba

54-58

-4

A25/01

NBL

Chiba

76-87

-11

A26/01

NBL

Alvark

65-108

108

-43

H01/02

NBL

Alvark

68-112

112

-44

H02/02

NBL

Hokkaido

57-91

-34

A08/02

NBL

Hokkaido

65-94

-29

A09/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

86-100

100

-14

A16/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

57-92

-35

A17/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

60-79

-19

H22/02

NBL

30-13

18-12

18-16

19-28

19-9

10-18

12-18

13-13

14-17

16-25

21-17

25-28

16-20

22-23

18-37

9-28

12-26

10-25

21-34

25-27

19-22

14-23

10-22

14-24

9-26

16-30

19-20

21-18

11-27

28-23

25-25

22-25

23-16

12-22

10-28

12-26

18-22

25-12

12-22

5-23

156.3Avg total

67.3Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	76.5	91.0	167.6	-14.5	14%
Season at home (17)	77.8	89.4	167.2	-11.5	24%
Season away (18)	75.3	92.6	167.9	-17.3	6%
Last 10 (10)	67.3	89.0	156.3	-21.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	91.2	156.2	-26.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	74.6	93.8	168.4	-19.2	9%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

83-77

A22/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

73-87

-14

H25/01

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

92-83

H26/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

70-69

A31/01

NBL

Trians

70-82

-12

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

83-74

H08/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

84-62

+22

H09/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

75-71

H16/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

102-86

102

+16

H17/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

79-60

+19

A22/02

NBL

13-29

20-19

24-15

26-14

20-20

16-24

19-21

18-22

25-24

19-19

32-22

16-18

16-19

18-16

19-20

17-14

8-24

14-23

20-23

28-12

21-20

28-24

16-21

18-9

24-16

18-20

20-11

22-15

15-12

21-16

12-19

27-24

34-23

25-20

23-23

20-20

22-18

12-25

22-12

23-5

156.2Avg total

81.1Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	80.2	77.9	158.1	+2.3	60%
Season at home (18)	82.7	78.6	161.3	+4.1	61%
Season away (17)	77.6	77.2	154.8	+0.5	59%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	75.1	156.2	+6.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	70.6	155.2	+14.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	86.4	162.7	-10.1	30%
vs Similar (6)	79.0	79.7	158.7	-0.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	85.7	69.9	155.6	+15.8	100%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KumamotoTochigi Brex

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.1	41.4	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-4.0	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+1.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.5	24.2	42.7	-5.7	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	22.1	38.4	-5.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.0	21.3	37.3	-5.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	22.9	39.4	-6.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-6.0	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	22.2	39.1	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.1	79%	-

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sun Rockers

48-25

+23

H22/12

NBL

Chiba

29-27

A25/01

NBL

Chiba

30-42

-12

A26/01

NBL

Alvark

38-43

-5

H01/02

NBL

Alvark

22-51

-29

H02/02

NBL

Hokkaido

33-45

-12

A08/02

NBL

Hokkaido

25-56

-31

A09/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-50

-11

A16/02

NBL

Brave Thunders

35-38

-3

A17/02

NBL

Tochigi Brex

43-34

H22/02

NBL

75.3Avg total

34.2Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	44.4	80.5	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.2	43.9	80.1	-7.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	44.9	80.9	-9.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	41.1	75.3	-6.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	44.6	79.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.9	46.0	81.9	-10.0	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

33-48

-15

A22/12

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

36-44

-8

H25/01

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

44-43

H26/01

NBL

Kobe

#11

34-35

-1

A31/01

NBL

Trians

22-47

-25

A01/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

49-44

H08/02

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

42-36

H09/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

36-28

H16/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

59-43

+16

H17/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

34-43

-9

A22/02

NBL

80.0Avg total

38.9Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.9	78.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.8	81.3	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.8	40.1	74.9	-5.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.1	80.0	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.8	82.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.4	46.4	81.8	-11.0	10%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.5	39.3	74.8	-3.8	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.8	35.5	77.3	+6.3	71%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	23.6	46.6	-0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	23.9	40.5	-7.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	23.4	38.6	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	22.2	40.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	20.7	38.2	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	23.6	41.8	-5.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	23.2	38.0	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.9	23.7	40.6	-6.9	9%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.0	39.9	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.4	41.4	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	16.4	38.1	+5.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	15.3	36.8	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	14.6	36.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.6	16.4	39.0	+6.1	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	45.0	84.5	-5.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	44.3	84.9	-3.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	45.7	84.2	-7.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	47.9	81.0	-14.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	46.6	76.6	-16.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	38.0	47.5	85.5	-9.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	37.5	80.3	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	39.0	81.9	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	35.7	78.4	+7.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	34.0	76.2	+8.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	31.8	72.4	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.5	40.3	83.8	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.9	34.4	78.4	+9.5	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kumamoto wins

Tochigi Brex wins

Date	Game	Score
22/02/14	Kumamoto v Tochigi Brex	60-79
15/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	91-71
14/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	87-77

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/14	H	Tochigi Brex	60-79
17/02/14	A	Brave Thunders	57-92
16/02/14	A	Brave Thunders	86-100
09/02/14	A	Hokkaido	65-94
08/02/14	A	Hokkaido	57-91
02/02/14	H	Alvark	68-112
01/02/14	H	Alvark	65-108
26/01/14	A	Chiba	76-87
25/01/14	A	Chiba	54-58
22/12/13	H	Sun Rockers	85-69

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/14	A	Kumamoto	79-60
17/02/14	H	Kobe	102-86
16/02/14	H	Kobe	75-71
09/02/14	H	Tsukuba	84-62
08/02/14	H	Tsukuba	83-74
01/02/14	A	Trians	70-82
31/01/14	A	Kobe	70-69
26/01/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	92-83
25/01/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	73-87
22/12/13	A	Diamond Dolphins	83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	LWLLL	24%
Away	LLLLL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	14%	24%	6%
Points / game	76.5	77.8	75.3
Allowed / game	91.0	89.4	92.6
Point differential	-14.5	-11.5	-17.3
Avg total	167.6	167.2	167.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	12%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	60%
Home	WWWWW	61%
Away	LWWLW	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	60%	61%	59%
Points / game	80.2	82.7	77.6
Allowed / game	77.9	78.6	77.2
Point differential	+2.3	+4.1	+0.5
Avg total	158.1	161.3	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	33%	41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	35	30	5	86%	89.2	75.0	+14.3
2	SeaHorses Mikawa	35	30	5	86%	86.5	75.9	+10.6
3	Alvark	35	27	8	77%	86.3	69.2	+17.1
4	Trians	35	26	9	74%	83.8	75.9	+7.9
5	Tochigi Brex	35	21	14	60%	80.2	77.9	+2.3
6	Hokkaido	35	20	15	57%	79.8	75.9	+3.9
7	Diamond Dolphins	35	19	16	54%	78.9	76.4	+2.5
8	Sun Rockers	35	11	24	31%	74.8	81.6	-6.8
9	Chiba	35	9	26	26%	69.3	76.4	-7.1
10	Kobe	35	6	29	17%	73.4	85.6	-12.2
11	Tsukuba	35	6	29	17%	67.3	85.4	-18.1
12	Kumamoto	35	5	30	14%	76.5	91.0	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kumamoto	20	12	17	22	71
Tochigi Brex	29	23	15	24	91

← all games of the day

Kumamoto vs Tochigi Brex Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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