Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 91-71

22-21 22-18 14-16 33-16

Position#6

Record12-11

FormLLWLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game79.4

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Kumamoto

Position#12

Record4-19

FormLWLLL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game92.0

NBLRound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

76-61

+15

A10/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

91-63

+28

H16/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

97-86

+11

H17/11

NBL

Hokkaido

81-87

-6

H23/11

NBL

Hokkaido

80-89

-9

H24/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

80-109

109

-29

A30/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

64-86

-22

A01/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

94-75

+19

A07/12

NBL

Trians

68-93

-25

A08/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

87-77

+10

H14/12

NBL

15-20

19-14

21-10

21-17

19-21

21-15

28-11

23-16

21-17

26-30

29-22

21-14

18-27

19-25

23-21

24-20

15-19

17-22

24-28

25-32

16-24

21-30

18-23

18-31

7-26

19-19

20-10

22-14

25-19

28-21

19-21

13-24

15-23

14-24

26-22

20-16

17-23

27-21

23-17

164.4Avg total

81.8Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.9	79.4	159.3	+0.5	52%
Season at home (11)	80.7	80.1	160.8	+0.6	45%
Season away (12)	79.1	78.8	157.8	+0.3	58%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	82.6	164.4	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	88.0	166.6	-9.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.6	84.6	160.1	-9.0	29%
vs Similar (6)	77.2	77.2	154.3	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	83.1	70.8	153.9	+12.3	80%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

87-107

107

-20

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-99

-14

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

86-112

112

-26

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

75-81

-6

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

84-87

-3

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

83-86 OT

-3

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-74

+14

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

81-109

109

-28

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

85-97

-12

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

77-87

-10

A14/12

NBL

19-30

18-30

27-23

23-24

22-31

15-22

34-19

14-27

24-32

19-22

21-28

22-30

26-17

14-27

18-23

17-14

24-17

17-21

26-19

17-30

21-19

14-13

27-27

14-17

26-22

14-23

21-13

27-16

26-28

13-30

25-33

17-18

22-20

16-27

25-24

22-26

16-20

23-17

21-27

17-23

177.0Avg total

83.1Scored

93.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.8	92.0	172.7	-11.2	17%
Season at home (12)	80.7	88.4	169.1	-7.8	25%
Season away (11)	80.9	95.8	176.7	-14.9	9%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	93.9	177.0	-10.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	90.6	173.4	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	80.7	98.5	179.2	-17.7	7%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexKumamoto

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.4	43.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	22.6	40.9	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.3	23.1	44.3	-1.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.6	24.4	46.0	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	23.6	46.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.1	24.7	45.8	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.7	36.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.3	22.2	38.5	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	15.8	23.1	38.9	-7.3	22%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.2	22.7	37.9	-7.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.4	23.5	39.9	-7.2	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	23.2	39.5	-6.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.3	24.6	40.9	-8.3	13%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

34-34

A10/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

40-36

H16/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

42-34

H17/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-41

-2

H23/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-39

H24/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-56

-15

A30/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

25-57

-32

A01/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

47-33

+14

A07/12

NBL

Trians

28-47

-19

A08/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

37-39

-2

H14/12

NBL

78.8Avg total

37.2Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	40.3	75.9	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.6	78.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	46.4	82.0	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.5	44.9	79.4	-10.4	7%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.7	34.5	71.2	+2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	37.4	33.4	70.8	+4.0	60%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

37-60

-23

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-53

-16

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

43-54

-11

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

40-44

-4

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

41-38

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-58

-19

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

38-47

-9

H08/12

NBL

Tochigi Brex

39-37

A14/12

NBL

85.7Avg total

38.9Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.0	46.2	83.2	-9.1	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.2	44.6	80.8	-8.4	17%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.0	47.9	85.9	-9.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	46.8	85.7	-7.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.8	82.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.3	49.3	86.7	-12.0	13%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.7	39.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.2	19.6	38.9	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	24.3	18.8	43.1	+5.5	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	24.5	23.4	47.9	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	25.3	22.8	48.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.5	24.1	47.6	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.6	48.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.8	48.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.7	42.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.9	20.1	41.9	+1.8	64%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.3	21.6	40.0	-3.3	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	17%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	23.5	40.5	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.5	82.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	38.6	82.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.0	85.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.6	84.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.4	64%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.7	37.4	83.1	+8.3	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	42.8	45.0	87.9	-2.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.9	47.9	90.8	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	46.1	89.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	42.5	48.7	91.1	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Kumamoto wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/13	Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto	87-77

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/13	H	Kumamoto	87-77
08/12/13	A	Trians	68-93
07/12/13	A	Kobe	94-75
01/12/13	A	Brave Thunders	64-86
30/11/13	A	Brave Thunders	80-109
24/11/13	H	Hokkaido	80-89
23/11/13	H	Hokkaido	81-87
17/11/13	H	Sun Rockers	97-86
16/11/13	H	Sun Rockers	91-63
10/11/13	A	Chiba	76-61

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/13	A	Tochigi Brex	77-87
08/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	85-97
07/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	81-109
01/12/13	H	Kobe	88-74
30/11/13	H	Kobe	83-86 OT
24/11/13	A	Tsukuba	84-87
23/11/13	A	Tsukuba	75-81
17/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	86-112
16/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-99
10/11/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	87-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	52%
Home	WWLLW	45%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	52%	45%	58%
Points / game	79.9	80.7	79.1
Allowed / game	79.4	80.1	78.8
Point differential	+0.5	+0.6	+0.3
Avg total	159.3	160.8	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	27%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	17%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	17%	25%	9%
Points / game	80.8	80.7	80.9
Allowed / game	92.0	88.4	95.8
Point differential	-11.2	-7.8	-14.9
Avg total	172.7	169.1	176.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	8%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	24	23	1	96%	87.0	73.1	+14.0
2	Brave Thunders	23	21	2	91%	88.5	75.2	+13.3
3	Trians	21	16	5	76%	87.3	75.2	+12.1
4	Alvark	24	16	8	67%	82.5	71.8	+10.7
5	Diamond Dolphins	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.1	+5.3
6	Hokkaido	24	13	11	54%	77.4	75.6	+1.8
7	Tochigi Brex	23	12	11	52%	79.9	79.4	+0.5
8	Tsukuba	24	6	18	25%	69.6	85.2	-15.7
9	Kobe	21	5	16	24%	75.0	83.9	-8.9
10	Chiba	23	4	19	17%	67.5	77.2	-9.7
11	Kumamoto	23	4	19	17%	80.8	92.0	-11.2
12	Sun Rockers	23	4	19	17%	72.4	84.9	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	22	22	14	33	91
Kumamoto	21	18	16	16	71

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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