Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 07:00

Final 87-77

20-16 17-23 27-21 23-17

Position#6

Record11-11

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game79.5

Tochigi Brex 🏆

Kumamoto

Position#12

Record4-18

FormLLWLL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game92.2

NBLRound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Tochigi Brex v Kumamoto

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tochigi Brex winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kumamoto winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tochigi Brex Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

82-57

+25

A09/11

NBL

Chiba

76-61

+15

A10/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

91-63

+28

H16/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

97-86

+11

H17/11

NBL

Hokkaido

81-87

-6

H23/11

NBL

Hokkaido

80-89

-9

H24/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

80-109

109

-29

A30/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

64-86

-22

A01/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

94-75

+19

A07/12

NBL

Trians

68-93

-25

A08/12

NBL

21-15

22-5

22-18

17-19

15-20

19-14

21-10

21-17

19-21

21-15

28-11

23-16

21-17

26-30

29-22

21-14

18-27

19-25

23-21

24-20

15-19

17-22

24-28

25-32

16-24

21-30

18-23

18-31

7-26

19-19

20-10

22-14

25-19

28-21

19-21

13-24

15-23

14-24

26-22

161.9Avg total

81.3Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.5	79.5	159.0	+0.0	50%
Season at home (10)	80.1	80.4	160.5	-0.3	40%
Season away (12)	79.1	78.8	157.8	+0.3	58%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	80.6	161.9	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	90.4	167.6	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	76.0	84.7	160.7	-8.7	27%
vs Similar (6)	77.2	77.2	154.3	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	82.7	70.1	152.8	+12.6	78%

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kumamoto

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

86-79 OT

H09/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

87-107

107

-20

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

85-99

-14

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

86-112

112

-26

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

75-81

-6

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

84-87

-3

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

83-86 OT

-3

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-74

+14

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

81-109

109

-28

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

85-97

-12

H08/12

NBL

22-21

8-19

30-20

12-12

19-30

18-30

27-23

23-24

22-31

15-22

34-19

14-27

24-32

19-22

21-28

22-30

26-17

14-27

18-23

17-14

24-17

17-21

26-19

17-30

21-19

14-13

27-27

14-17

26-22

14-23

21-13

27-16

26-28

13-30

25-33

17-18

22-20

16-27

25-24

22-26

177.1Avg total

84.0Scored

93.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	81.0	92.2	173.1	-11.2	18%
Season at home (12)	80.7	88.4	169.1	-7.8	25%
Season away (10)	81.3	96.7	178.0	-15.4	10%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	93.1	177.1	-9.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	90.6	174.8	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	81.0	99.3	180.3	-18.3	7%
vs Similar (8)	80.9	79.8	160.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tochigi BrexKumamoto

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.2	37.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.3	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.5	23.2	44.7	-1.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.2	24.8	47.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.7	46.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.4	25.1	46.5	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	22.2	37.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.7	22.4	39.1	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.2	15.0	34.2	+4.2	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	15.5	23.4	38.8	-7.9	18%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	15.2	22.7	37.9	-7.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (10)	15.7	24.2	39.9	-8.5	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	23.4	38.2	-8.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	22.8	37.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.8	25.1	40.9	-9.4	7%	-
vs Similar (8)	14.9	20.2	35.1	-5.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Tochigi BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chiba

43-20

+23

A09/11

NBL

Chiba

34-34

A10/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

40-36

H16/11

NBL

Sun Rockers

42-34

H17/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-41

-2

H23/11

NBL

Hokkaido

39-39

H24/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

41-56

-15

A30/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

25-57

-32

A01/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

47-33

+14

A07/12

NBL

Trians

28-47

-19

A08/12

NBL

77.5Avg total

37.8Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	39.2	75.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.1	37.6	73.6	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.0	40.6	76.6	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	39.7	77.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	46.4	82.4	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.9	44.9	79.9	-10.0	7%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.7	34.5	71.2	+2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	37.4	32.8	70.2	+4.7	67%	-

This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

30-40

-10

H09/11

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

37-60

-23

H10/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

37-53

-16

A16/11

NBL

SeaHorses Mikawa

43-54

-11

A17/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

40-44

-4

A23/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

41-38

A24/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-45

-5

H01/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

39-58

-19

H07/12

NBL

Brave Thunders

38-47

-9

H08/12

NBL

85.1Avg total

38.0Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	37.0	46.6	83.5	-9.6	14%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.2	44.6	80.8	-8.4	17%	-
Last 30 away (10)	37.9	49.0	86.9	-11.1	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	47.1	85.1	-9.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	44.0	82.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.2	50.2	87.4	-13.0	7%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Tochigi Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	24.0	18.6	42.6	+5.4	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	24.6	23.3	47.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	25.3	22.8	48.2	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.8	23.8	47.6	+0.0	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	22.9	48.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.2	48.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	25.7	25.1	50.8	+0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.4	21.5	40.0	-3.1	18%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.2	17%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.6	23.9	43.5	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.1	23.5	40.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.6	81.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	40.6	81.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.7	38.7	82.4	+5.0	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	40.9	84.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	44.0	85.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	42.7	83.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	45.2	37.3	82.6	+7.9	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	43.0	44.8	87.9	-1.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	42.4	85.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	43.4	47.7	91.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	44.3	88.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	42.8	48.6	91.4	-5.8	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	38.2	81.8	+5.2	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tochigi Brex wins

Kumamoto wins

No previous meetings.

Tochigi Brexlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/13	A	Trians	68-93
07/12/13	A	Kobe	94-75
01/12/13	A	Brave Thunders	64-86
30/11/13	A	Brave Thunders	80-109
24/11/13	H	Hokkaido	80-89
23/11/13	H	Hokkaido	81-87
17/11/13	H	Sun Rockers	97-86
16/11/13	H	Sun Rockers	91-63
10/11/13	A	Chiba	76-61
09/11/13	A	Chiba	82-57

Kumamotolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	85-97
07/12/13	H	Brave Thunders	81-109
01/12/13	H	Kobe	88-74
30/11/13	H	Kobe	83-86 OT
24/11/13	A	Tsukuba	84-87
23/11/13	A	Tsukuba	75-81
17/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	86-112
16/11/13	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	85-99
10/11/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	87-107
09/11/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	86-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tochigi Brex

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	50%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	WLLWL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	50%	40%	58%
Points / game	79.5	80.1	79.1
Allowed / game	79.5	80.4	78.8
Point differential	+0.0	-0.3	+0.3
Avg total	159.0	160.5	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	20%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kumamoto

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	18%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	18%	25%	10%
Points / game	81.0	80.7	81.3
Allowed / game	92.2	88.4	96.7
Point differential	-11.2	-7.8	-15.4
Avg total	173.1	169.1	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	8%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	23	22	1	96%	87.2	73.1	+14.1
2	Brave Thunders	23	21	2	91%	88.5	75.2	+13.3
3	Trians	20	15	5	75%	87.2	74.6	+12.6
4	Alvark	23	16	7	70%	82.9	71.3	+11.6
5	Diamond Dolphins	23	14	9	61%	80.4	75.1	+5.3
6	Hokkaido	24	13	11	54%	77.4	75.6	+1.8
7	Tochigi Brex	22	11	11	50%	79.5	79.5	+0.0
8	Tsukuba	24	6	18	25%	69.6	85.2	-15.7
9	Kobe	20	4	16	20%	73.8	83.7	-9.8
10	Chiba	22	4	18	18%	66.6	76.6	-10.0
11	Kumamoto	22	4	18	18%	81.0	92.2	-11.2
12	Sun Rockers	22	4	18	18%	71.7	84.3	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tochigi Brex	20	17	27	23	87
Kumamoto	16	23	21	17	77

← all games of the day

Tochigi Brex vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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