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La Roche W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-77
25-29 14-7 17-18 6-23
Position#12
Record7-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game75.8
La Roche W
France
vs
Toulouse W 🏆
France
Position#9
Record8-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game76.0
FranceLFB WRound 4· Salle des Oudairies
Women2025-26
Meetings · La Roche W v Toulouse W
02 May 2026
LA R62
TOUL77
07 Jan 2026
LA R83
TOUL74
25 Mar 2023
LA R73
TOUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Roche W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 62
H01/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
86avg 62
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 62
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
42avg 62
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 62
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 62
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 62
H28/03
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 62
A04/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
61-88
61
88
-27
52avg 62
H11/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
69avg 62
H29/04
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
19-20
15-12
26-30
18-18
16-21
27-16
21-17
18-15
20-24
13-17
15-23
13-19
24-19
12-20
18-21
10-18
19-17
19-28
15-27
16-29
24-17
16-21
14-18
18-25
26-24
21-16
18-27
12-22
15-21
16-22
19-10
19-24
16-25
16-20
10-19
13-22
26-22
14-21
19-19
152.7Avg total
70.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)69.675.8145.4-6.228%
Season at home (13)73.577.5151.0-4.138%
Season away (12)65.473.8139.2-8.417%
Last 10 (10)70.082.7152.7-12.710%
Last 5 (5)69.684.8154.4-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)66.175.1141.1-9.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.274.1146.2-1.942%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landes W
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
40avg 57
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 57
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
52-51
52
51
+1
43avg 57
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 57
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
55-84
55
84
-29
38avg 57
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
47avg 57
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 57
H28/03
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 57
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
67-60
67
60
+7
66avg 57
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 57
A29/04
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
9-27
15-17
13-19
15-25
15-21
19-17
21-24
6-18
18-13
15-9
13-11
22-17
22-19
21-29
13-14
19-30
8-20
18-18
10-16
12-21
12-22
11-4
28-25
12-25
18-23
11-16
25-18
22-12
21-15
22-16
10-19
14-14
11-13
19-18
23-15
18-20
9-25
9-20
12-16
137.4Avg total
62.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.476.0142.5-9.632%
Season at home (12)63.975.0138.9-11.142%
Season away (13)68.877.0145.8-8.223%
Last 10 (10)62.874.6137.4-11.830%
Last 5 (5)63.871.4135.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.379.5143.8-15.218%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.068.8139.8+2.262%
vs Weaker (4)70.262.5132.8+7.8100%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
La Roche WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H01/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A04/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H11/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H29/04
LFB W
77.9Avg total
35.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.971.6-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.838.774.5-2.913%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.268.7-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.377.9-6.70%-
Last 5 (5)37.046.283.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.436.470.8-2.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.137.672.7-2.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landes W
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H01/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/02
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H15/02
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/02
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H07/03
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A24/03
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H28/03
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H04/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A11/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/04
LFB W
70.5Avg total
30.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.638.972.5-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.338.171.4-4.936%-
Last 30 away (16)33.939.573.4-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)30.040.570.5-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.838.067.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.642.874.5-11.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.033.470.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker (4)35.531.867.2+3.875%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.7
50.0%
46.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.3
30.1%
31.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
74.3%14.5
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.620.7
44.4%
46.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.73.5
21.0%
31.0%10.5
🏀 Free throws14.910.9
73.2%
74.3%10.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Roche W
LLLLLLLLWL
Toulouse W
LWWLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#9
-15.5
Net rating
-13.2
80.9
Offensive rating
72.6
96.4
Defensive rating
85.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
41.0%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.1%
3-point %
21.0%
62.1%
Assist %
60.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence80.9 · 72.6Defence96.4 · 85.7Shooting48.2% · 41.0%3-point %30.1% · 21.0%Ball care21.2% · 18.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ La Roche W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
La Roche W wins
3
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Toulouse W v La Roche W75-62
07/01/26La Roche W v Toulouse W83-74
04/10/25Toulouse W v La Roche W66-65
25/03/23La Roche W v Toulouse W73-76
17/12/22Toulouse W v La Roche W79-82
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HAngers W72-84
11/04/26HLyon W61-88
04/04/26AToulouse W62-75
28/03/26HChartres W83-92
24/03/26HFlammes Carolo W70-85
06/03/26ALyon W63-90
22/02/26HLandes W67-79
15/02/26AESB Villeneuve W66-79
07/02/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W82-72
01/02/26HBourges W74-83
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26ALyon W48-81
11/04/26AAngers W67-60
04/04/26HLa Roche W75-62
28/03/26HLattes Montpellier W66-82
24/03/26ALanderneau Bretagne W63-72
07/03/26HBourges W55-84
21/02/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W78-79
15/02/26HAngers W52-51
07/02/26AFlammes Carolo W70-87
01/02/26HLandes W54-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%38%17%
Points / game69.673.565.4
Allowed / game75.877.573.8
Point differential-6.2-4.1-8.4
Avg total145.4151.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLWLLW42%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%42%23%
Points / game66.463.968.8
Allowed / game76.075.077.0
Point differential-9.6-11.1-8.2
Avg total142.5138.9145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W2522388%73.060.8+12.2
2 Bourges W2620677%74.866.0+8.9
3 Flammes Carolo W2617965%76.567.0+9.4
4 Landerneau Bretagne W2415962%68.868.2+0.6
5 Lattes Montpellier W25141156%72.069.0+3.0
6 ESB Villeneuve W24121250%72.272.7-0.5
7 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W24111346%72.476.5-4.1
8 Lyon W25101540%72.070.0+2.0
9 Toulouse W2581732%66.476.0-9.6
10 Chartres W2471729%69.978.5-8.6
11 La Roche W2571828%69.675.8-6.2
12 Angers W2561924%64.172.5-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Roche W251417662
Toulouse W297182377
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