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La Roche W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 83-74
18-14 14-23 23-19 28-18
Position#12
Record4-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game71.3
La Roche W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#9
Record2-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game77.3
FranceLFB WRound 13· Salle des Oudairies
Women2025-26
Meetings · La Roche W v Toulouse W
02 May 2026
LA R62
TOUL77
07 Jan 2026
LA R83
TOUL74
25 Mar 2023
LA R73
TOUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Roche W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
69-70
69
70
-1
61avg 60
A18/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
L
61-71
61
71
-10
50avg 60
A22/10
French Cup Women
Bourges W
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
44avg 60
A25/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
60avg 60
A01/11
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 60
H08/11
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
47-72
47
72
-25
45avg 60
A30/11
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
W
70-66
70
66
+4
66avg 60
H06/12
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 60
A13/12
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
72avg 60
A21/12
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 60
A04/01
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
23-11
11-21
18-21
17-12
16-26
10-16
18-17
8-17
21-15
20-24
10-21
21-17
16-22
8-16
26-24
15-15
13-20
21-25
21-13
12-20
14-20
10-12
11-20
18-9
15-13
9-24
28-20
12-23
18-15
17-19
20-15
21-15
16-12
20-18
15-22
19-18
17-15
22-15
18-21
137.8Avg total
66.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)67.071.3138.3-4.333%
Season at home (4)69.571.0140.5-1.550%
Season away (8)65.871.5137.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)66.271.6137.8-5.430%
Last 5 (5)66.469.2135.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.175.5142.6-8.422%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.869.4139.2+0.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Chartres W
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 59
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
49avg 59
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
44avg 59
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
49-73
49
73
-24
32avg 59
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
49avg 59
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
57-89
57
89
-32
44avg 59
H29/11
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
61avg 59
A06/12
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 59
H13/12
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
53avg 59
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
68avg 59
H04/01
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-27
24-26
15-16
13-18
19-26
13-20
15-18
12-22
10-20
20-17
15-18
17-26
11-20
13-16
8-11
15-18
17-26
15-21
13-13
15-21
18-24
16-24
8-20
16-25
20-25
16-20
11-16
13-11
16-18
12-27
23-22
19-15
12-16
22-17
13-27
26-17
15-16
11-22
18-10
142.0Avg total
62.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.377.3141.5-13.018%
Season at home (6)64.876.3141.2-11.533%
Season away (5)63.678.4142.0-14.80%
Last 10 (10)62.979.1142.0-16.210%
Last 5 (5)64.078.6142.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.277.4139.6-15.112%
vs Similar ◀ (3)69.777.0146.7-7.333%
vs Weaker (18)69.561.7131.2+7.883%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
La Roche WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A18/10
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/10
French Cup Women
Bourges W
#2
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H08/11
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A30/11
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H06/12
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A13/12
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A21/12
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/01
LFB W
66.1Avg total
32.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.036.770.6-2.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.836.769.5-3.915%-
Last 30 away (17)34.936.671.5-1.835%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.266.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.064.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.037.970.9-4.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.634.570.2+1.145%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chartres W
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H29/11
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A06/12
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H13/12
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/01
LFB W
73.8Avg total
32.8Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.168.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.030.465.4+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)33.737.771.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)32.841.073.8-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.671.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.439.270.6-7.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.339.375.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker (18)35.430.365.8+5.167%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 65.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.716.2
49.5%
46.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.0
29.4%
31.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
74.3%12.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 62.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.115.6
38.9%
46.9%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.2
28.4%
31.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
74.3%12.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Roche W
WWLWLLLLLL
Toulouse W
WLLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#9
-8.1
Net rating
-21.5
87.0
Offensive rating
83.6
95.1
Defensive rating
105.1
47.3%
Effective FG%
40.2%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
28.3%
Turnover %
22.3%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.4%
3-point %
28.4%
64.2%
Assist %
72.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.0 · 83.6Defence95.1 · 105.1Shooting47.3% · 40.2%3-point %29.4% · 28.4%Ball care28.3% · 22.3%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ La Roche W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
La Roche W wins
2
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Toulouse W v La Roche W66-65
25/03/23La Roche W v Toulouse W73-76
17/12/22Toulouse W v La Roche W79-82
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AAngers W76-69
21/12/25AChartres W72-67
13/12/25AFlammes Carolo W67-72
06/12/25HLyon W70-66
30/11/25ALandes W47-72
08/11/25HESB Villeneuve W70-73
01/11/25ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W71-79
25/10/25ABourges W59-77
22/10/25ALanderneau Bretagne W61-71
18/10/25ALanderneau Bretagne W69-70
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HESB Villeneuve W70-65
21/12/25ALattes Montpellier W66-75
13/12/25HLanderneau Bretagne W64-78
06/12/25ABourges W63-86
29/11/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W57-89
08/11/25AAngers W60-78
01/11/25HFlammes Carolo W49-73
26/10/25ALandes W57-77
22/10/25ALyon W60-82
18/10/25HChartres W83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game67.069.565.8
Allowed / game71.371.071.5
Point differential-4.3-1.5-5.8
Avg total138.3140.5137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game64.364.863.6
Allowed / game77.376.378.4
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.8
Avg total141.5141.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W1310377%69.060.3+8.7
2 Bourges W139469%69.663.8+5.8
3 ESB Villeneuve W128467%75.271.6+3.6
4 Flammes Carolo W138562%75.166.8+8.2
5 Lattes Montpellier W138562%73.169.5+3.6
6 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W138562%74.774.5+0.2
7 Landerneau Bretagne W137654%69.170.4-1.3
8 Lyon W135838%71.270.5+0.6
9 La Roche W124833%67.071.3-4.3
10 Angers W134931%69.875.0-5.2
11 Chartres W1331023%69.678.7-9.1
12 Toulouse W112918%64.377.3-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Roche W1814232883
Toulouse W1423191874
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