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La Rochelle vs Nancy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-88
29-24 19-15 17-23 14-26
Position#16
Record3-20
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Nancy 🏆
France
Position#9
Record11-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.1
FranceLNBRound 24· Salle Gaston Neveur
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nancy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
100avg 84
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
68avg 84
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
84avg 84
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
76avg 84
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
108avg 84
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
109avg 84
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-105
75
105
-30
89avg 84
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
85avg 84
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
88avg 84
A22/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
78avg 84
A29/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
17-10
14-31
26-20
15-13
11-18
20-19
16-15
16-38
20-13
14-28
23-11
27-18
18-28
11-17
12-31
19-24
25-23
23-15
25-28
26-16
21-19
23-18
26-20
14-27
18-31
23-27
20-20
22-28
23-10
18-31
14-17
27-25
14-17
28-18
8-23
13-23
15-28
18-22
21-14
161.4Avg total
76.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.584.3156.8-11.813%
Season at home (11)76.085.5161.5-9.518%
Season away (12)69.383.2152.6-13.98%
Last 10 (10)76.285.2161.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)78.486.8165.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.485.0157.4-12.513%
vs Similar (2)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (5)71.460.2131.6+11.2100%
This opponent (Nancy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
W
85-76
85
76
+9
101avg 93
A27/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
82avg 93
H11/01
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
96-117
96
117
-21
107avg 93
A19/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
85-104
85
104
-19
91avg 93
H25/01
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
96avg 93
H01/02
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
89-97
89
97
-8
101avg 93
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
111avg 93
A01/03
LNB
Le Mans
#5
W
97-89
97
89
+8
108avg 93
H07/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 93
A23/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
79avg 93
H29/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
14-25
16-16
28-16
18-21
21-22
20-15
12-20
25-30
21-28
28-30
22-29
19-19
16-29
20-28
30-28
19-15
16-23
29-11
19-25
19-23
17-29
34-19
19-26
20-27
23-18
29-11
21-25
29-19
19-21
19-22
30-27
24-19
18-21
26-21
19-23
15-19
16-24
23-21
20-16
174.0Avg total
86.0Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.288.1173.3-2.948%
Season at home (12)82.281.8164.0+0.358%
Season away (11)88.595.0183.5-6.536%
Last 10 (10)86.088.0174.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)88.086.2174.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)85.791.9177.6-6.242%
vs Similar (15)82.685.2167.8-2.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.566.0140.5+8.5100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
La RochelleNancy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/03
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A29/03
LNB
80.6Avg total
37.9Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.977.6-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.540.177.6-2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.941.677.6-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.780.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.883.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.644.080.7-7.422%-
vs Similar (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (5)35.627.262.8+8.4100%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A27/12
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/01
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H25/01
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H01/02
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A09/02
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A01/03
LNB
Le Mans
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H07/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H29/03
LNB
84.7Avg total
39.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.782.9-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.238.176.2+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.450.190.5-9.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.184.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.846.287.1-5.425%-
vs Similar (15)38.741.980.6-3.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.7
72.8%
74.9%14.7
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.3
58.0%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.7
39.1%
35.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.415.4
68.8%
74.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLLLWWLLLL
Nancy
LWWWLWLLLW
#16
League position
#9
-12.0
Net rating
-2.6
103.0
Offensive rating
117.4
115.0
Defensive rating
120.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
58.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
39.1%
78.7%
Assist %
62.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 117.4Defence115.0 · 120.0Shooting53.2% · 58.3%3-point %35.1% · 39.1%Ball care19.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Nancy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
1
Nancy wins
DateGameScore
21/09/24Nancy v La Rochelle64-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AJL Bourg67-87
22/03/25ACholet77-83
09/03/25HChalon/Saone77-86
02/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-105
08/02/25HLe Portel96-73
01/02/25HDijon92-90
25/01/25AGravelines-Dunkerque68-94
19/01/25HParis73-90
11/01/25AChalon/Saone62-65
05/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne75-79
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HStrasbourg74-80
23/03/25AGravelines-Dunkerque87-84
07/03/25HLe Mans97-89
01/03/25AJL Bourg93-81
09/02/25ALimoges89-97
01/02/25HSaint Quentin83-74
25/01/25HDijon85-104
19/01/25AMonaco96-117
11/01/25HCholet71-78
27/12/24ALe Portel85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLLWWL18%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%18%8%
Points / game72.576.069.3
Allowed / game84.385.583.2
Point differential-11.8-9.5-13.9
Avg total156.8161.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nancy
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeLLWWL58%
AwayWLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game85.282.288.5
Allowed / game88.181.895.0
Point differential-2.9+0.3-6.5
Avg total173.3164.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2318578%88.877.6+11.2
2 Paris2317674%93.784.3+9.5
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne2317674%90.482.5+7.9
4 Cholet2317674%85.980.3+5.6
5 JL Bourg2316770%88.881.7+7.2
6 Le Mans23131057%86.082.0+3.9
7 Saint Quentin23121152%77.878.9-1.1
8 Nancy23111248%85.288.1-2.9
9 Nanterre23101343%84.985.5-0.7
10 Dijon23101343%83.585.3-1.8
11 Chalon/Saone23101343%84.888.2-3.4
12 Strasbourg2391439%80.584.4-3.9
13 Limoges2381535%80.085.5-5.4
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2371630%77.083.1-6.1
15 Le Portel2361726%73.081.2-8.2
16 La Rochelle2332013%72.584.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle2919171479
Nancy2415232688
← all games of the day
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