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La Rochelle vs Nantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game82.7
FrancePro BRound 27· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Rochelle v Nantes
16 Mar 2027
LRO v NANT
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
LRO88
NANT98
03 May 2024
LRO75
NANT76
31 Jan 2023
LRO59
NANT65
11 Sep 2015
LRO48
NANT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
89-107
89
107
-18
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
27-13
22-18
26-24
22-30
18-25
21-31
28-21
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
174.6Avg total
84.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.989.6175.4-3.714%
Season at home (3)85.085.7170.7-0.733%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.690.0174.6-5.420%
Last 5 (5)81.887.2169.0-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.986.8166.7-6.920%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.682.9166.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)79.878.5158.2+1.275%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A03/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
H06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#5
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A30/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
19-12
9-17
23-15
20-24
19-20
17-11
16-17
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
164.2Avg total
81.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.982.7164.6-0.957%
Season at home (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
Season away (4)78.887.2166.0-8.525%
Last 10 (10)81.083.2164.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.887.2172.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.480.2152.6-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.682.4169.1+4.259%
vs Weaker (8)94.080.2174.2+13.8100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
La RochelleNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
89.6Avg total
43.2Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.983.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.040.182.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.489.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.491.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.244.484.6-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.341.483.8+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)44.237.281.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A03/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H06/06
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
82.7Avg total
41.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.185.8+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.937.682.5+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)44.644.188.7+0.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.482.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.441.080.4-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.441.686.1+2.847%-
vs Weaker (8)48.640.088.6+8.688%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLLLLLWLLW
Nantes
LWWWLWLLLW
#20
League position
#7
-7.0
Net rating
-1.8
93.8
Offensive rating
91.1
100.8
Defensive rating
92.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.5%
3-point %
29.2%
75.2%
Assist %
65.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 91.1Defence100.8 · 92.9Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %36.5% · 29.2%Ball care15.6% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
La Rochelle wins
6
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
19/05/26Nantes v La Rochelle107-89
10/04/26La Rochelle v Nantes88-98
17/10/25Nantes v La Rochelle73-81
03/05/24La Rochelle v Nantes75-76
03/11/23Nantes v La Rochelle60-97
31/01/23La Rochelle v Nantes59-65
10/01/23Nantes v La Rochelle75-61
20/09/22Nantes v La Rochelle57-68
11/09/15La Rochelle v Nantes48-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90
19/05/26ANantes89-107
15/05/26HSt. Chamond87-76
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85
06/06/26HPoitiers79-88 OT
03/06/26APoitiers83-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game85.985.086.5
Allowed / game89.685.792.5
Point differential-3.7-0.7-6.0
Avg total175.4170.7179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.986.078.8
Allowed / game82.776.787.2
Point differential-0.9+9.3-8.5
Avg total164.6162.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire76186%88.776.7+12.0
2 Antibes75271%87.181.7+5.4
3 Poitiers75271%86.081.0+5.0
4 Chalons-Reims75271%82.080.6+1.4
5 Quimper64267%79.372.2+7.2
6 Evreux74357%85.986.3-0.4
7 Nantes74357%81.982.7-0.9
8 Hyeres-Toulon74357%85.486.6-1.1
9 Ada Blois63350%92.788.3+4.3
10 Orleans63350%85.383.3+2.0
11 Vichy63350%87.288.0-0.8
12 Le Havre73443%90.787.1+3.6
13 St. Chamond73443%83.986.1-2.3
14 Levallois73443%82.184.6-2.4
15 Caen73443%85.688.7-3.1
16 Aix Maurienne73443%81.688.4-6.9
17 ASA72529%82.486.0-3.6
18 Rouen72529%83.788.9-5.1
19 Fos-sur-Mer72529%71.680.3-8.7
20 La Rochelle71614%85.989.6-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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