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La Rochelle vs Nantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.0
FrancePro BRound 27· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Rochelle v Nantes
16 Mar 2027
LRO v NANT
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
LRO88
NANT98
03 May 2024
LRO75
NANT76
31 Jan 2023
LRO59
NANT65
11 Sep 2015
LRO48
NANT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
66avg 77
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
95-88
95
88
+7
86avg 77
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
86avg 77
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
76avg 77
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
no box
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 77
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
66avg 77
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 77
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-22
15-24
13-25
33-20
18-23
29-23
15-22
19-21
21-33
25-23
32-26
23-30
21-18
22-22
15-14
25-35
17-17
22-25
25-25
25-24
22-25
7-20
21-7
15-19
27-18
25-27
12-21
23-25
23-26
22-13
17-25
27-12
21-23
17-19
20-19
25-14
21-19
19-26
20-19
170.8Avg total
84.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.786.4172.1-0.833%
Season at home (5)85.081.6166.6+3.460%
Season away (4)86.592.5179.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)84.086.8170.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)81.880.2162.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.685.4166.0-4.830%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.783.3167.0+0.441%
vs Weaker (3)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 80
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 80
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 80
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 80
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 80
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 80
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 80
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 80
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
20-13
23-19
14-26
17-17
24-24
23-18
23-26
24-25
164.8Avg total
81.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.0165.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)83.076.2159.2+6.875%
Season away (5)81.888.4170.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)81.683.2164.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.581.0166.6+4.562%
vs Weaker (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
La RochelleNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/05
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H25/09
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A02/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A16/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H06/11
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H13/11
Pro B
89.0Avg total
44.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.783.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.481.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.385.5-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.389.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.542.182.6-1.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.542.084.5+0.553%-
vs Weaker (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/11
Pro B
83.8Avg total
42.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.936.981.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.488.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.983.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)43.440.183.5+3.357%-
vs Weaker (6)50.739.890.5+10.883%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
53.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
WWLLLLLLWL
Nantes
WLLWWWLWLL
#17
League position
#9
-7.0
Net rating
-1.8
93.8
Offensive rating
91.1
100.8
Defensive rating
92.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.5%
3-point %
29.2%
75.2%
Assist %
65.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 91.1Defence100.8 · 92.9Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %36.5% · 29.2%Ball care15.6% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
La Rochelle wins
6
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
19/05/26Nantes v La Rochelle107-89
10/04/26La Rochelle v Nantes88-98
17/10/25Nantes v La Rochelle73-81
03/05/24La Rochelle v Nantes75-76
03/11/23Nantes v La Rochelle60-97
31/01/23La Rochelle v Nantes59-65
10/01/23Nantes v La Rochelle75-61
20/09/22Nantes v La Rochelle57-68
11/09/15La Rochelle v Nantes48-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAntibes85-78
06/11/26HDenain-Voltaire85-73
30/10/26APoitiers85-89
23/10/26HEvreux79-85
20/10/26ARouen75-76
16/10/26AAda Blois89-102
09/10/26HSt. Chamond81-84
02/10/26AHyeres-Toulon97-103
25/09/26HASA95-88
22/05/26HChalons-Reims69-90
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAix Maurienne94-93
06/11/26HVichy74-75
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.785.086.5
Allowed / game86.481.692.5
Point differential-0.8+3.4-6.0
Avg total172.1166.6179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.383.081.8
Allowed / game83.076.288.4
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.6
Avg total165.3159.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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