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Pau-Orthez vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-107
35-32 18-27 14-31 11-17
Position#8
Record3-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Paris 🏆
France
Position#1
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceFrench Cup· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2024
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Paris
06 Dec 2026
POR v PRS
upcoming
07 Jan 2025
POR78
PRS107
22 Oct 2022
POR74
PRS79
29 Jan 2022
POR86
PRS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
97avg 87
H01/11
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
76-85
76
85
-9
81avg 87
H05/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
119avg 87
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
79avg 87
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
82avg 87
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
83-78
83
78
+5
93avg 87
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
89avg 87
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
84-67
84
67
+17
98avg 87
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
72-77
72
77
-5
82avg 87
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
97avg 87
H27/12
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
21-18
22-17
21-26
20-18
20-22
18-20
18-25
21-23
24-24
23-24
21-18
30-16
16-19
15-24
13-15
13-18
16-24
15-14
24-22
18-19
29-20
16-17
20-22
19-19
14-23
17-20
22-14
20-16
21-8
29-17
14-26
23-21
22-23
16-18
11-15
26-17
17-27
23-23
23-20
163.7Avg total
82.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.374.0157.3+9.3100%
Season at home (2)79.573.5153.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.481.3163.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)80.077.0157.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.682.6165.1+0.057%
vs Similar (14)77.678.4156.1-0.857%
vs Weaker (7)79.978.6158.4+1.343%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-81
93
81
+12
80avg 91
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-90
96
90
+6
93avg 91
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
126avg 91
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
93-98
93
98
-5
80avg 91
A13/12
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
85avg 91
A15/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
65avg 91
H17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
92-98
92
98
-6
104avg 91
A22/12
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
96-88
96
88
+8
102avg 91
H23/12
LNB
Baskonia
#14
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 91
A27/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
63avg 91
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
28-18
18-22
25-23
21-21
28-23
24-16
23-30
16-21
22-28
23-24
31-19
24-22
16-27
31-23
22-26
18-16
18-26
21-17
19-25
17-26
31-26
19-18
18-26
26-24
22-29
15-19
29-26
23-16
17-29
28-23
28-20
26-28
31-13
15-23
9-30
19-25
17-15
19-25
24-25
182.5Avg total
90.2Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.292.3182.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)86.693.2179.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (15)86.586.3172.7+0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.882.9175.6+9.979%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
Pau-OrthezParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H01/11
Pro B
Caen
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/11
Pro B
Strasbourg
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
French Cup
Orleans
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/11
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/12
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/12
Pro B
79.8Avg total
40.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.478.5+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.036.775.7+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.481.6+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.680.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.440.780.1-1.329%-
vs Similar (14)40.138.678.7+1.464%-
vs Weaker (7)40.936.177.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A06/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H08/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
Euroleague
Le Mans
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A15/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A22/12
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/12
LNB
Baskonia
#14
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A27/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
89.3Avg total
44.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.886.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.984.4+4.771%-
Last 30 away (16)44.543.588.0+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.245.189.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.292.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)43.542.385.8+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.341.186.4+4.157%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.618.3
46.2%
53.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.0
38.5%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
74.1%15.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
46%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
53.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.310.8
32.4%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.416.8
82.4%
74.1%16.8
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WLWLWLWWLW
Paris
LLWLLLLWWW
#8
League position
#1
+2.5
Net rating
-3.0
107.2
Offensive rating
115.0
104.8
Defensive rating
118.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.5%
3-point %
32.4%
62.9%
Assist %
53.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 115.0Defence104.8 · 118.0Shooting50.8% · 51.9%3-point %38.5% · 32.4%Ball care17.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pau-Orthez wins
3
Paris wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Paris v Pau-Orthez97-101
22/10/22Pau-Orthez v Paris74-79
29/01/22Pau-Orthez v Paris86-88 OT
21/11/21Paris v Pau-Orthez89-76
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HBoulazac89-87
20/12/24APoitiers72-77
13/12/24HEvreux84-67
06/12/24HHyeres-Toulon72-76
29/11/24AASA83-78
15/11/24HOrleans68-78
12/11/24HStrasbourg94-86 OT
09/11/24AAda Blois105-102 OT
05/11/24HCaen76-85
01/11/24HRoanne81-77
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HBarcelona79-90
27/12/24ABaskonia81-94
23/12/24HLimoges96-88
22/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne92-98
17/12/24HReal Madrid85-96
15/12/24ALe Mans76-84
13/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne93-98
08/12/24HMonaco111-104 OT
06/12/24AOlympiacos96-90
03/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
French Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.379.591.0
Allowed / game74.073.575.0
Point differential+9.3+6.0+16.0
Avg total157.3153.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Paris
French Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon110100%113.070.0+43.0
2 Poitiers330100%90.066.3+23.7
3 ASA330100%87.769.0+18.7
4 Roanne330100%91.774.0+17.7
5 Monaco110100%99.084.0+15.0
6 Le Mans330100%90.780.0+10.7
7 Pau-Orthez330100%83.374.0+9.3
8 Ada Blois43175%84.076.8+7.2
9 Tours43175%79.076.8+2.2
10 Quimper32167%88.376.3+12.0
11 Hyeres-Toulon32167%89.078.0+11.0
12 Levallois32167%79.074.3+4.7
13 Aix Maurienne32167%93.791.3+2.3
14 Strasbourg21150%96.080.0+16.0
15 Berck/Rang Du Fliers21150%78.074.5+3.5
16 Le Havre21150%82.079.0+3.0
17 Rouen21150%87.085.0+2.0
18 Boulogne sur Mer21150%79.578.0+1.5
19 Angers21150%83.082.5+0.5
20 Orchies21150%84.585.0-0.5
21 Challans21150%83.084.5-1.5
22 Lyonso21150%81.584.0-2.5
23 Rennes21150%78.082.0-4.0
24 Chalon/Saone21150%80.585.0-4.5
25 Mulhouse21150%81.586.0-4.5
26 Feurs21150%85.592.5-7.0
27 Antibes21150%84.091.5-7.5
28 La Rochelle21150%78.085.5-7.5
29 Stade Toulousain21150%61.069.0-8.0
30 Gravelines-Dunkerque21150%78.599.0-20.5
31 Vichy1010%84.086.0-2.0
32 Limoges1010%61.065.0-4.0
33 Metz1010%78.082.0-4.0
34 Orleans1010%84.088.0-4.0
35 St. Chamond1010%92.096.0-4.0
36 Caen1010%69.074.0-5.0
37 Loon Plage1010%76.083.0-7.0
38 Fos-sur-Mer1010%88.096.0-8.0
39 Les Sables1010%79.089.0-10.0
40 Denain-Voltaire1010%75.086.0-11.0
41 Poissy1010%70.081.0-11.0
42 Avignon Le Pontet1010%84.096.0-12.0
43 Chalons-Reims1010%68.080.0-12.0
44 Evreux1010%71.083.0-12.0
45 Saint Vallier1010%78.091.0-13.0
46 Tarbes1010%75.091.0-16.0
47 Nantes1010%77.095.0-18.0
48 Fougeres1010%63.082.0-19.0
49 Aurore1010%61.081.0-20.0
50 CEP Lorient1010%79.0100.0-21.0
51 Besancon1010%80.0102.0-22.0
52 Charleville Mezieres1010%60.082.0-22.0
53 Boulazac1010%47.070.0-23.0
54 Chartres1010%77.0100.0-23.0
55 Nancy1010%66.0106.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez3518141178
Paris32273117107
← all games of the day
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